Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
Yes won
Total volume
$9,781
Trades
1,046
Unique wallets
415
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-08
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-07 18:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+18.8¢
(top1%: 95% YES on $5.4K
vs crowd: 76% YES on $8.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $4.5K | $536 | +$3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 34 | $284 | $845 | $561 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $1.0K | $381 | +$634 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 342 | $938 | $383 | +$555 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 15 | $5.1K | $292 | +$4.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $66 | $231 | $165 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $45 | $24 | +$21 |
| Median | 261 | $140 | $366 | $226 |
| Below median | 78 | $82 | $219 | $136 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $75 | $113 | $38 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $726 | $107 | +$619 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $445 | $793 | $348 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x11f8…ed31 | No | +4,601 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-07 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe9f…014a | Yes | +4,227 | $4,223 | $4,223 | 1 | 10-07 18:03 |
| Miniature-Doctrine 0xfe72…9025 | Yes | +944 | $899 | $899 | 1 | 10-07 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | +797 | $670 | $670 | 11 | 10-07 15:52 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +650 | $16 | $16 | 11 | 10-07 17:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +598 | $224 | $224 | 40 | 10-07 17:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +530 | $132 | $132 | 67 | 10-06 17:09 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +240 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 10-07 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x75a2…6992 | No | +216 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 10-03 21:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | No | +193 | $34 | $34 | 11 | 10-07 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ef3…7bd0 | Yes | +134 | $40 | $40 | 6 | 10-07 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +105 | $38 | $44 | 8 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | No | +102 | $60 | $60 | 20 | 10-07 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +100 | $39 | $45 | 7 | 10-07 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +100 | $66 | $66 | 5 | 10-07 16:13 |
| Close-Dogwood 0x600a…bd08 | Yes | +87 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 10-01 07:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | Yes | +84 | $50 | $64 | 34 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5d1…67cc | No | +78 | $45 | $119 | 88 | 10-02 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +70 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-06 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +64 | $52 | $52 | 8 | 10-07 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +62 | $46 | $46 | 6 | 10-05 01:34 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | No | +60 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-04 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +51 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +51 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 10-05 11:32 |
| Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | +49 | -$16 | $21 | 16 | 10-07 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +49 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc88…931c | No | +46 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-03 21:42 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | Yes | +46 | $17 | $17 | 11 | 10-05 11:32 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | No | +46 | $29 | $29 | 10 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +45 | $18 | $26 | 9 | 10-05 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +45 | $30 | $32 | 5 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x813f…26ec | No | +44 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 10-02 10:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +44 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 10-07 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xee22…2557 | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 19 | 10-02 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xee22…2557 | Yes | +39 | $18 | $27 | 27 | 10-02 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | No | +37 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-07 15:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-07 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-01 18:44 |
| Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | No | +24 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-07 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa89c…1410 | Yes | +23 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cb0…451d | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-05 11:32 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-02 01:39 |
| Dim-Crumb 0x9629…ee15 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-01 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfca6…6595 | No | +20 | -$4 | $14 | 4 | 10-07 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-05 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x12d9…1a06 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-07 18:03 |
| Dim-Crumb 0x9629…ee15 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-01 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa89c…1410 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-04 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cb0…451d | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-01 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5de8…f004 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 10-06 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +13 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-07 17:15 |
| Empty-Avenue 0x5999…ae94 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-07 17:35 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-06 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-07 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-07 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1bd…134c | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-02 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0064…cf5d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-02 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5853…cfff | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-02 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7873…25dc | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-02 09:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 18:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x12d9…1a06 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd3ee85… |
| 10-07 18:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…ed31 | No | BUY | 3,300 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xd3ee85… |
| 10-07 18:03:04 | (anonymous) 0xbe9f…014a | Yes | BUY | 4,227 | 100¢ | $4,223 | 0xd3ee85… |
| 10-07 17:52:09 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…ed31 | No | BUY | 201 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x88b841… |
| 10-07 17:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xed7c…98ec | No | SELL | 201 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x88b841… |
| 10-07 17:37:42 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…ed31 | No | BUY | 193 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8d639… |
| 10-07 17:37:42 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8d639… |
| 10-07 17:37:42 | Cuddly-Anime 0x6a17…d13e | No | SELL | 199 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8d639… |
| 10-07 17:37:42 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8d639… |
| 10-07 17:35:55 | Empty-Avenue 0x5999…ae94 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3412db… |
| 10-07 17:35:55 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3412db… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | No | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | (anonymous) 0xed7c…98ec | No | BUY | 39 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Miniature-Doctrine 0xfe72…9025 | Yes | BUY | 944 | 95¢ | $899 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 42 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:15:20 | (anonymous) 0xfca6…6595 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xcf6912… |
| 10-07 17:07:08 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | SELL | 8 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xdc816a… |
| 10-07 17:07:08 | Hard-Public 0xe562…4fa9 | No | BUY | 24 | 58¢ | $14 | 0xdc816a… |
| 10-07 17:07:08 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0xdc816a… |
| 10-07 17:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xdc816a… |
| 10-07 16:19:52 | (anonymous) 0x4ffb…a435 | No | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xf80d4c… |
| 10-07 16:19:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xf80d4c… |
| 10-07 16:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x4ffb…a435 | No | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x7d7053… |
| 10-07 16:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x7d7053… |
| 10-07 16:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x4ffb…a435 | No | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xd19122… |
| 10-07 16:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xd19122… |
| 10-07 16:03:58 | (anonymous) 0xfca6…6595 | No | SELL | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0x587736… |
| 10-07 16:03:58 | (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x587736… |
| 10-07 16:03:58 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | SELL | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x66266e… |
| 10-07 16:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x4ffb…a435 | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x587736… |
| 10-07 16:03:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x66266e… |
| 10-07 15:52:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x68868b… |
| 10-07 15:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x68868b… |
| 10-07 15:45:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x85d6c4… |
| 10-07 15:45:50 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x85d6c4… |
| 10-07 15:40:41 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xcfd728… |
| 10-07 15:40:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xcfd728… |
| 10-07 15:35:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xcf0c57… |
| 10-07 15:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xcf0c57… |
| 10-07 15:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x44aa36… |
| 10-07 15:34:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x44aa36… |
| 10-07 15:32:19 | (anonymous) 0xed7c…98ec | No | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xda3761… |
| 10-07 15:32:19 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xda3761… |
| 10-07 15:30:04 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xbbb4a4… |
| 10-07 15:30:04 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xbbb4a4… |
| 10-07 15:30:04 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xbbb4a4… |
| 10-07 15:30:04 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbb4a4… |
| 10-07 15:30:04 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbb4a4… |
| 10-07 15:29:40 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xca5e97… |
| 10-07 15:29:40 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xca5e97… |
| 10-07 15:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 115 | 87¢ | $100 | 0xca5e97… |
| 10-07 15:29:40 | (anonymous) 0xfca6…6595 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xca5e97… |
| 10-07 15:29:02 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xf7d356… |
| 10-07 15:29:02 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf7d356… |
| 10-07 15:29:02 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf7d356… |
| 10-07 15:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 112 | 90¢ | $100 | 0xf7d356… |
| 10-07 15:28:41 | (anonymous) 0xfca6…6595 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x6e2df0… |
| 10-07 15:28:41 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6e2df0… |
| 10-07 15:28:41 | (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | No | BUY | 37 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x6e2df0… |
| 10-07 15:28:41 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 59 | 84¢ | $50 | 0x6e2df0… |
| 10-07 15:27:14 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb1fbfb… |
| 10-07 15:27:14 | (anonymous) 0xf2a2…eb73 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb1fbfb… |
| 10-07 15:27:10 | Modern-Wolf 0x0bf7…43a2 | No | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae9ce9… |
| 10-07 15:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xae9ce9… |
| 10-07 15:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 68 | 73¢ | $50 | 0xae9ce9… |
| 10-07 15:27:10 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae9ce9… |
| 10-07 15:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xae9ce9… |
| 10-07 15:27:10 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xae9ce9… |
| 10-07 15:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xc7d5…6b08 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xae9ce9… |
| 10-07 15:26:19 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 33¢ | $16 | 0x004abd… |
| 10-07 15:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | No | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x004abd… |
| 10-07 15:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x1e06…710f | Yes | BUY | 57 | 35¢ | $20 | 0x004abd… |
| 10-07 15:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x4ef3…7bd0 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 33¢ | $29 | 0x2dd703… |
| 10-07 15:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x4ef3…7bd0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x0bcfcb… |
| 10-07 15:13:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 89 | 67¢ | $60 | 0x2dd703… |
| 10-07 15:13:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x0bcfcb… |
| 10-07 15:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xa165f4… |
| 10-07 15:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xa165f4… |
| 10-07 15:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x4ef3…7bd0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xa165f4… |
| 10-07 15:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x4ef3…7bd0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x6ac360… |
| 10-07 15:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x6ac360… |
| 10-07 15:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x4ef3…7bd0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x337103… |
| 10-07 15:08:10 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x337103… |
| 10-07 15:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 13 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x2b7139… |
| 10-07 15:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x4ef3…7bd0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x2b7139… |
| 10-07 05:41:56 | (anonymous) 0xb13c…fc9b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5b31e6… |
| 10-07 05:41:56 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5b31e6… |
| 10-06 19:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xf006ea… |
| 10-06 19:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x4cff…7cdb | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xf006ea… |
| 10-06 18:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xc68838… |