Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$89

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-31

last 11-02 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

79% 59% +$12

Politics

16% 62% +$1

Tech

4% 33% $0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	85¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$0	10-07 04:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-17 23:30
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 04:47
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-18 18:51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 11:45
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-25 14:02
spx up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	10-13 19:16
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-23 19:42
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-20 04:06
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-17 23:14
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-15 14:42
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-02 20:02
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-18 10:51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-18 15:17
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-01 19:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	10-27 23:31
will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-14 11:48
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-16 21:20
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-12 15:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	11-02 03:48
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-22 23:21
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 14:18
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 01:27
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-23 07:22
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-13 10:58
Trump renames AI by September 30?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-25 04:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-08 19:29
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-15 23:56
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	10-19 02:51
will warsh say labor force during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-16 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 20:02:21	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x46027a…
11-02 12:01:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x99e1d9…
11-02 04:01:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x474a3f…
11-02 03:48:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc2c44b…
11-01 19:46:45	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf624eb…
11-01 05:03:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa34903…
10-27 23:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeef4dc…
10-27 14:31:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdaa82c…
10-23 16:00:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x87bb74…
10-23 07:22:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6fc9f1…
10-22 23:21:56	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf0af92…
10-22 12:20:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe9cb57…
10-19 02:51:45	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xefed85…
10-18 18:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x35db57…
10-18 10:51:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x99cee5…
10-17 23:30:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf4c732…
10-17 23:14:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa395b6…
10-17 15:44:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc32e77…
10-16 08:15:00	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfc9c20…
10-15 23:56:39	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x231881…
10-15 14:42:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x595418…
10-15 06:37:56	houthi military action against saudi arabia on october 17	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0f4a56…
10-14 22:36:22	will wti dip to 90 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0b8082…
10-14 11:48:19	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x45d1a4…
10-14 03:17:05	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x343369…
10-13 19:16:43	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1c61d6…
10-13 11:07:46	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7f2771…
10-12 15:01:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1d6b59…
10-12 06:25:33	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x805032…
10-11 22:25:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4f0b33…
10-11 14:18:48	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9f9ef7…
10-11 10:53:06	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x982bb8…
10-11 01:27:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2bf4fc…
10-10 04:47:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x199631…
10-09 20:15:01	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcc9fbc…
10-09 11:31:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6c181b…
10-09 03:30:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x14e856…
10-08 19:29:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde3a4a…
10-08 13:07:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x611495…
10-08 12:16:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa1974e…
10-08 03:58:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa2c33d…
10-07 04:50:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfd80c8…
10-07 04:48:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf5abfa…
10-06 20:44:44	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x56d49f…
10-06 12:17:10	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb27bd0…
10-06 04:14:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe8f892…
10-05 19:51:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xad1fb5…
10-05 11:50:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2cfb15…
10-04 23:10:14	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x308af9…
10-02 12:06:29	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb87c43…
10-02 03:09:30	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x231b9f…
10-01 18:59:48	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb9ac0a…
10-01 10:54:26	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc8a3f3…
09-29 02:51:27	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x04a97e…
09-27 06:20:12	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd2ec0a…
09-26 22:13:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdd84eb…
09-26 10:19:08	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe17038…
09-25 14:02:09	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x21c779…
09-25 04:50:26	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x69b6f6…
09-23 19:42:59	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xda60d5…
09-23 11:40:08	will costco say hot dog during earnings call 20260924	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x663bf0…
09-23 03:32:32	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xff5693…
09-21 07:17:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcbc7c2…
09-20 22:22:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb0248a…
09-20 22:12:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe5b5fb…
09-20 04:06:00	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3c86c1…
09-19 05:22:25	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x90c87b…
09-18 15:17:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c1641…
09-17 05:21:51	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x52520d…
09-16 21:20:54	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x93b336…
09-16 13:16:09	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1c5f61…
09-16 05:15:54	will warsh say labor force during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x655f15…
09-09 11:45:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xad6b77…
09-08 12:34:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe424f3…
09-07 17:38:58	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x683ec2…
09-01 07:08:24	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf39d03…
08-19 15:20:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb530db…
08-17 11:52:12	will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x83a1e7…
08-17 02:41:30	will pltr reach 183 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3225bb…
08-13 19:06:34	tsla above 345 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x840288…
08-13 10:58:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3a8d57…
08-13 02:56:06	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4f630c…
08-03 17:46:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd41b1e…
08-03 09:44:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x680558…
08-02 22:50:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x622995…
08-01 02:15:39	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0c9bbb…
07-31 18:15:12	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f8147…
07-31 18:15:11	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc21001…
07-31 10:14:56	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ed2c2…