Realized P&L
-$7.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.09K
Hit rate
4.6%
Resolved
8,116
Trades
44,784
lifetime
Volume
$397.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$13.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 10-27 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Other
79% 7% -$6,228
Crypto
9% 42% -$199
Politics
8% 3% -$697
Tech
2% 2% -$257
Sports
1% 12% -$49
Pop-Culture
1% 11% -$102
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,417 $1,150 70¢ $999 -$151 10-14 21:13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +853 $416 97¢ $826 +$410 10-06 03:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +858 $644 78¢ $672 +$28 10-04 20:51
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +681 $465 94¢ $637 +$172 10-21 23:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +770 $586 79¢ $608 +$23 10-23 13:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +659 $500 88¢ $577 +$77 10-04 14:08
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +606 $342 84¢ $509 +$167 09-22 14:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +868 $403 58¢ $504 +$101 10-23 12:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +689 $412 68¢ $469 +$57 10-22 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +557 $484 82¢ $459 -$25 10-15 00:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +591 $392 76¢ $446 +$54 10-02 12:30
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +514 $192 84¢ $434 +$242 10-19 22:21
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +579 $427 74¢ $431 +$4 09-20 05:51
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +500 $184 84¢ $422 +$238 10-20 11:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,417 $283 30¢ $418 +$135 10-14 21:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +576 $386 72¢ $415 +$28 10-22 16:55
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +487 $335 82¢ $402 +$68 10-24 01:41
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +450 $288 88¢ $398 +$110 10-22 02:14
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +444 $368 87¢ $387 +$19 10-26 17:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +666 $402 57¢ $383 -$19 10-22 13:06
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +868 $483 42¢ $365 -$118 10-23 12:28
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +595 $272 59¢ $351 +$79 10-19 17:29
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +375 $303 94¢ $351 +$48 09-20 16:22
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +335 $242 97¢ $325 +$83 09-28 17:17
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +413 $312 76¢ $312 $0 10-26 18:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +525 $233 57¢ $299 +$66 10-24 13:30
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +299 $204 97¢ $290 +$86 10-06 04:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +408 $210 70¢ $283 +$74 09-20 05:50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +666 $270 42¢ $283 +$13 10-22 13:06
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +292 $252 94¢ $273 +$21 10-25 06:50