Realized P&L
+$40.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$103
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
17,195
Trades
131,141
lifetime
Volume
$1.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$881
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-26 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 211 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 49% +$41,498
Other
3% 39% -$1,176
Politics
0% 30% -$414
Tech
0% 29% -$136
Sports
0% 6% +$972
Pop-Culture
0% 62% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +91 $80 96¢ $88 +$8 10-14 14:53
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +49 $44 94¢ $46 +$1 10-18 17:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +102 $71 41¢ $42 -$30 10-12 20:33
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +50 $26 82¢ $41 +$15 09-04 04:59
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +46 $40 86¢ $39 -$1 10-23 12:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +42 $40 87¢ $36 -$4 10-20 23:05
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +86 $40 40¢ $34 -$6 10-19 07:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $32 82¢ $33 +$1 10-16 08:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $28 82¢ $33 +$4 09-29 18:23
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +37 $30 88¢ $32 +$2 09-26 17:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +262 $60 12¢ $30 -$30 10-03 02:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +66 $40 44¢ $29 -$11 10-14 13:33
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +152 $67 18¢ $28 -$39 10-14 10:16
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +100 $41 26¢ $26 -$14 10-14 15:42
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +26 $20 98¢ $25 +$5 09-27 11:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +26 $24 99¢ $25 +$1 10-15 13:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +28 $20 86¢ $24 +$4 09-27 11:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +27 $20 88¢ $24 +$3 09-28 17:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +54 $30 44¢ $23 -$7 10-16 08:31
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +25 $20 88¢ $22 +$2 09-28 08:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $20 78¢ $22 +$2 09-28 08:21
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +100 $36 22¢ $22 -$14 09-30 11:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 10-04 09:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 09-27 20:49
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 31 2026 copy No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 10-14 22:01
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +20 $16 98¢ $20 +$4 09-29 14:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-14 16:13
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 Yes +50 $20 38¢ $19 -$1 10-01 16:33
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +24 $20 78¢ $19 -$1 10-22 22:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +26 $17 56¢ $15 -$2 10-18 09:53