Realized P&L
+$40.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
17,198
Trades
131,143
lifetime
Volume
$1.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$876
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-27 22:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 211 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 49% +$41,498
Other
3% 39% -$1,222
Politics
0% 30% -$414
Tech
0% 29% -$136
Sports
0% 6% +$972
Pop-Culture
0% 62% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +91 $80 97¢ $88 +$8 10-14 14:53
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +49 $44 94¢ $46 +$1 10-18 17:39
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +50 $26 82¢ $41 +$15 09-04 04:59
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +46 $40 86¢ $39 -$1 10-23 12:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +42 $40 92¢ $39 -$1 10-20 23:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +102 $71 38¢ $38 -$33 10-12 20:33
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $28 92¢ $37 +$9 09-29 18:23
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +86 $40 39¢ $33 -$7 10-19 07:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $32 82¢ $33 +$1 10-16 08:02
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +37 $30 88¢ $32 +$2 09-26 17:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +262 $60 12¢ $30 -$30 10-03 02:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +66 $40 40¢ $27 -$13 10-14 13:33
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +152 $67 18¢ $27 -$41 10-14 10:16
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +100 $41 26¢ $26 -$16 10-14 15:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +26 $24 99¢ $25 +$2 10-15 13:54
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +26 $20 97¢ $25 +$5 09-27 11:05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $20 85¢ $24 +$4 09-28 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +27 $20 88¢ $24 +$3 09-28 17:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +28 $20 84¢ $24 +$4 09-27 11:06
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +54 $30 43¢ $23 -$7 10-16 08:31
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +25 $20 88¢ $22 +$2 09-28 08:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 10-04 09:13
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +100 $36 22¢ $22 -$15 09-30 11:48
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 31 2026 copy No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 10-14 22:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 09-27 20:49
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +20 $16 98¢ $20 +$4 09-29 14:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +22 $20 90¢ $19 -$1 10-14 16:13
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +24 $20 80¢ $19 -$1 10-22 22:08
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 Yes +50 $20 31¢ $16 -$5 10-01 16:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +26 $17 54¢ $14 -$3 10-18 09:53