Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$164,695
$7,562 in 24h
Trades
1,198
Unique wallets
364
Liquidity
$31,447
Latest YES mid
81¢
Latest NO mid
19¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-13 10:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.0¢
(top1%: 89% YES on $4.8K
vs crowd: 87% YES on $69.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $14.6K | $598 | +$14.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 63 | $25.4K | $4.2K | +$21.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 105 | $12.7K | $2.6K | +$10.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 174 | $8.1K | $1.5K | +$6.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $4.3K | $524 | +$3.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $16.6K | $1.2K | +$15.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $1.8K | $443 | +$1.4K |
| Median | 50 | $566 | $47 | +$519 |
| Below median | 39 | $3.7K | $331 | +$3.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $8.0K | $169 | +$7.9K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $534 | — | +$534 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $862 | — | +$862 |
| unranked | 193 | $24.5K | $6.2K | +$18.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +12,776 | $3,066 | $3,066 | 1 | 06-07 01:05 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +9,724 | $7,240 | $9,386 | 52 | 08-11 17:38 |
| Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | Yes | +5,041 | $3,582 | $11,482 | 12 | 06-29 23:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd189…b261 | No | +3,800 | $1,121 | $1,121 | 1 | 06-17 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x80d5…7344 | Yes | +3,138 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 2 | 06-12 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +2,975 | $623 | $623 | 3 | 08-04 16:09 |
| Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | +2,900 | $2,349 | $2,349 | 4 | 07-15 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5a8…bdb5 | Yes | +2,096 | $1,603 | $1,603 | 4 | 06-18 23:03 |
| Whispered-Lead 0x6fbb…a41a | Yes | +1,947 | $1,285 | $1,285 | 1 | 06-17 11:49 |
| Insecure-Fire 0xa172…b716 | No | +1,920 | $406 | $406 | 2 | 06-23 07:05 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +1,847 | $399 | $399 | 5 | 06-30 14:01 |
| Unfinished-Police 0xf191…79bb | No | +1,430 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-23 08:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | +1,241 | $289 | $289 | 14 | 08-13 10:24 |
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +1,000 | $750 | $750 | 2 | 08-04 16:09 |
| Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | +1,000 | $765 | $765 | 3 | 08-05 13:50 |
| Downright-Colonial 0xd895…7004 | No | +986 | $204 | $204 | 2 | 06-03 06:52 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +940 | $710 | $710 | 36 | 08-04 16:09 |
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +760 | $124 | $124 | 4 | 07-11 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | No | +710 | $149 | $149 | 5 | 06-23 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4527…f137 | Yes | +699 | $531 | $531 | 1 | 06-19 10:42 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +658 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 06-06 14:49 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | +635 | $470 | $470 | 6 | 08-13 10:24 |
| Creamy-Favorite 0x439b…8cd7 | Yes | +610 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-15 11:18 |
| Knobby-Eyelashes 0xf8bb…f9c0 | Yes | +591 | $385 | $2,439 | 15 | 08-10 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…78db | No | +531 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-08 06:32 |
| Delectable-Hello 0x88aa…ea6f | Yes | +500 | $370 | $1,910 | 3 | 06-01 12:02 |
| Truthful-Saddle 0x8497…85f3 | Yes | +460 | $349 | $349 | 1 | 08-07 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4be8…26ad | No | +435 | $118 | $118 | 2 | 08-11 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | Yes | +400 | $300 | $300 | 6 | 08-03 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +341 | $263 | $263 | 6 | 07-03 09:31 |
| Black-Bathroom 0x5b57…0b88 | Yes | +337 | $266 | $266 | 1 | 06-30 08:43 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +330 | $264 | $264 | 3 | 07-05 04:56 |
| Blind-Salary 0xeb81…423a | Yes | +300 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 07-11 15:19 |
| Loose-Wasp 0x051f…0690 | Yes | +288 | $222 | $222 | 1 | 06-10 09:57 |
| Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | +283 | $207 | $207 | 1 | 06-08 08:10 |
| Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | Yes | +267 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 08-07 09:36 |
| Finished-Thorn 0x2e4b…83e2 | No | +212 | $48 | $48 | 17 | 06-08 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6121…6d8a | No | +207 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-28 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7109…9308 | Yes | +200 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-18 13:49 |
| Shameless-Advance 0x7f51…4530 | Yes | +200 | $156 | $156 | 7 | 06-29 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5503…a2f5 | Yes | +200 | $158 | $158 | 2 | 07-27 16:32 |
| Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | +200 | $148 | $148 | 2 | 08-10 15:32 |
| Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | Yes | +189 | $143 | $801 | 11 | 07-30 07:16 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +179 | $132 | $1,828 | 22 | 07-30 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x67f9…5562 | No | +166 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 08-09 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0b…e3a8 | No | +160 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 08-03 11:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 10:24:31 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 74¢ | $111 | 0xf39300… |
| 08-13 10:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 149 | 26¢ | $39 | 0xf39300… |
| 08-13 09:53:39 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 74¢ | $111 | 0x56899f… |
| 08-13 09:53:39 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 149 | 26¢ | $39 | 0x56899f… |
| 08-13 09:23:01 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 149 | 26¢ | $39 | 0x60f137… |
| 08-13 09:23:01 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 74¢ | $111 | 0x60f137… |
| 08-13 04:45:10 | Thrifty-Nonsense 0x9dc5…d6b7 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 74¢ | $19 | 0x56bdcd… |
| 08-13 04:45:10 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 74¢ | $19 | 0x56bdcd… |
| 08-12 21:32:43 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0xb58dc0… |
| 08-12 21:32:43 | Suburban-Fiber 0x9f3e…5bc9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0xb58dc0… |
| 08-12 09:04:01 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 74¢ | $38 | 0xea34cd… |
| 08-12 09:04:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xea34cd… |
| 08-12 09:04:01 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 74¢ | $45 | 0xea34cd… |
| 08-11 17:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x345ec8… |
| 08-11 17:38:58 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x345ec8… |
| 08-11 17:38:57 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 402 | 73¢ | $293 | 0x235a1e… |
| 08-11 17:38:57 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 402 | 73¢ | $293 | 0x235a1e… |
| 08-11 13:22:55 | (anonymous) 0xac81…3ec0 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0x5492a4… |
| 08-11 13:22:55 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0x5492a4… |
| 08-11 02:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x48ce…6a24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xfd768a… |
| 08-11 02:13:19 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xfd768a… |
| 08-11 01:31:31 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xb110c4… |
| 08-11 01:31:31 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xb110c4… |
| 08-11 01:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x4be8…26ad | No | BUY | 218 | 27¢ | $59 | 0x582102… |
| 08-11 01:31:28 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 218 | 73¢ | $159 | 0x582102… |
| 08-11 01:19:04 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 218 | 73¢ | $159 | 0x25f3f2… |
| 08-11 01:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x4be8…26ad | No | BUY | 218 | 27¢ | $59 | 0x25f3f2… |
| 08-10 15:32:18 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 73¢ | $110 | 0xaa6344… |
| 08-10 15:32:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 73¢ | $110 | 0xaa6344… |
| 08-10 15:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 73¢ | $25 | 0xbaa5ae… |
| 08-10 15:32:16 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 73¢ | $25 | 0xbaa5ae… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 74¢ | $111 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x8cf8…9b55 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x0086…4720 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 74¢ | $26 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x423b…c120 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 74¢ | $296 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 15:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x76d0…008c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x7e917b… |
| 08-10 08:10:12 | Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | BUY | 185 | 74¢ | $137 | 0xf37618… |
| 08-10 08:10:12 | Knobby-Eyelashes 0xf8bb…f9c0 | Yes | BUY | 815 | 74¢ | $603 | 0xf37618… |
| 08-10 08:10:12 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 74¢ | $740 | 0xf37618… |
| 08-10 06:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | SELL | 44 | 76¢ | $33 | 0x0f8ead… |
| 08-10 06:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xa637…dae9 | No | SELL | 44 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x0f8ead… |
| 08-10 05:54:15 | (anonymous) 0xa637…dae9 | No | BUY | 44 | 26¢ | $11 | 0x28effb… |
| 08-10 05:54:15 | Knobby-Eyelashes 0xf8bb…f9c0 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 74¢ | $33 | 0x28effb… |
| 08-09 18:22:13 | Knobby-Eyelashes 0xf8bb…f9c0 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 74¢ | $65 | 0x679351… |
| 08-09 18:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x67f9…5562 | No | BUY | 88 | 26¢ | $23 | 0x679351… |
| 08-09 11:06:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 75¢ | $112 | 0xd4764d… |
| 08-09 11:06:06 | Soft-Shorts 0x8043…91c8 | No | SELL | 92 | 25¢ | $23 | 0xd4764d… |
| 08-09 11:06:06 | Knobby-Eyelashes 0xf8bb…f9c0 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 74¢ | $39 | 0xd4764d… |
| 08-09 11:06:06 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xd4764d… |
| 08-09 11:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x920a…fc10 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xb27680… |
| 08-09 11:06:01 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | BUY | 1,016 | 24¢ | $244 | 0xb27680… |
| 08-09 11:06:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 76¢ | $114 | 0xb27680… |
| 08-09 11:06:01 | Willing-Purchase 0xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | BUY | 436 | 76¢ | $331 | 0xb27680… |
| 08-09 11:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xb27680… |
| 08-09 11:06:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xb27680… |
| 08-08 10:29:46 | Willing-Purchase 0xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 76¢ | $9 | 0x3b6c2d… |
| 08-08 10:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x762d…8b9b | No | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x3b6c2d… |
| 08-08 09:50:27 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 153 | 24¢ | $37 | 0xd86a26… |
| 08-08 09:50:27 | Willing-Purchase 0xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | BUY | 153 | 76¢ | $116 | 0xd86a26… |
| 08-08 00:01:01 | Soft-Shorts 0x8043…91c8 | No | SELL | 108 | 25¢ | $27 | 0xa2a923… |
| 08-08 00:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 108 | 25¢ | $27 | 0xa2a923… |
| 08-07 14:01:01 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0x75ed63… |
| 08-07 14:01:01 | Truthful-Saddle 0x8497…85f3 | Yes | BUY | 460 | 76¢ | $349 | 0x75ed63… |
| 08-07 14:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x920a…fc10 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0x75ed63… |
| 08-07 14:01:01 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 260 | 76¢ | $197 | 0x75ed63… |
| 08-07 13:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x90be…6224 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 76¢ | $114 | 0x85e545… |
| 08-07 13:49:19 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 76¢ | $114 | 0x85e545… |
| 08-07 09:36:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 150 | 25¢ | $38 | 0xc91f05… |
| 08-07 09:36:57 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 75¢ | $75 | 0xc91f05… |
| 08-07 09:36:57 | (anonymous) 0x920a…fc10 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0xc91f05… |
| 08-07 09:36:57 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xc91f05… |
| 08-07 09:36:55 | Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | No | BUY | 60 | 26¢ | $16 | 0xea99f9… |
| 08-07 09:36:55 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0xea99f9… |
| 08-07 09:36:55 | Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | Yes | BUY | 267 | 74¢ | $197 | 0xea99f9… |
| 08-07 09:36:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 150 | 26¢ | $39 | 0xea99f9… |
| 08-07 09:36:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xea99f9… |
| 08-06 08:30:57 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | BUY | 500 | 26¢ | $130 | 0x1fe23b… |
| 08-06 08:30:57 | Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fe…423a | No | SELL | 500 | 26¢ | $130 | 0x1fe23b… |
| 08-06 07:22:17 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | BUY | 46 | 26¢ | $12 | 0xdbd985… |
| 08-06 07:22:17 | (anonymous) 0x2ca0…f4af | Yes | BUY | 46 | 74¢ | $34 | 0xdbd985… |
| 08-05 23:29:06 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 73¢ | $134 | 0x6da927… |
| 08-05 23:29:06 | (anonymous) 0x4741…e6ca | Yes | SELL | 184 | 73¢ | $134 | 0x6da927… |
| 08-05 22:18:35 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 73¢ | $57 | 0xefe589… |
| 08-05 22:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x67f9…5562 | No | BUY | 78 | 27¢ | $21 | 0xefe589… |
| 08-05 14:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x9001d9… |
| 08-05 14:58:09 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9001d9… |
| 08-05 14:58:08 | Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | Yes | SELL | 3,718 | 73¢ | $2,714 | 0x8dd1dd… |
| 08-05 14:58:08 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 3,718 | 73¢ | $2,714 | 0x8dd1dd… |
| 08-05 13:50:27 | Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | BUY | 429 | 74¢ | $317 | 0xcf91a1… |
| 08-05 13:50:27 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | BUY | 607 | 26¢ | $158 | 0xcf91a1… |
| 08-05 13:50:27 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 74¢ | $58 | 0xcf91a1… |
| 08-05 13:50:27 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 73¢ | $57 | 0x3a54a9… |
| 08-05 13:50:27 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 78 | 27¢ | $21 | 0x3a54a9… |
| 08-05 13:50:27 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0xcf91a1… |
| 08-05 12:04:39 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 71 | 26¢ | $19 | 0x2209d8… |
| 08-05 12:04:39 | Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 74¢ | $53 | 0x2209d8… |
| 08-05 10:52:35 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe34a3b… |