Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$142,663
$7,562 in 24h
Trades
953
Unique wallets
310
Liquidity
$31,447
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
19¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 22:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.1¢
(top1%: 87% YES on $4.1K
vs crowd: 87% YES on $57.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $6.5K | $571 | +$5.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 50 | $25.3K | $4.0K | +$21.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 99 | $11.7K | $1.8K | +$9.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 144 | $6.9K | $996 | +$5.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $3.6K | $524 | +$3.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $12.4K | $679 | +$11.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $905 | $443 | +$463 |
| Median | 45 | $337 | $22 | +$315 |
| Below median | 29 | $3.5K | $301 | +$3.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $8.0K | $167 | +$7.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $463 | $2 | +$461 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $647 | — | +$647 |
| unranked | 159 | $20.6K | $5.2K | +$15.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +12,776 | $3,066 | $3,066 | 1 | 06-07 01:05 |
| Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | Yes | +5,041 | $3,582 | $11,482 | 12 | 06-29 23:18 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +4,858 | $3,695 | $5,515 | 39 | 07-09 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd189…b261 | No | +3,800 | $1,121 | $1,121 | 1 | 06-17 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x80d5…7344 | Yes | +3,138 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 2 | 06-12 06:31 |
| Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | +2,900 | $2,349 | $2,349 | 4 | 07-15 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5a8…bdb5 | Yes | +2,096 | $1,603 | $1,603 | 4 | 06-18 23:03 |
| Whispered-Lead 0x6fbb…a41a | Yes | +1,947 | $1,285 | $1,285 | 1 | 06-17 11:49 |
| Insecure-Fire 0xa172…b716 | No | +1,920 | $406 | $406 | 2 | 06-23 07:05 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +1,847 | $399 | $399 | 5 | 06-30 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +1,500 | $283 | $283 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| Unfinished-Police 0xf191…79bb | No | +1,430 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-23 08:23 |
| Downright-Colonial 0xd895…7004 | No | +986 | $204 | $204 | 2 | 06-03 06:52 |
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +760 | $124 | $124 | 4 | 07-11 15:19 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +745 | $557 | $557 | 25 | 07-22 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | No | +710 | $149 | $149 | 5 | 06-23 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4527…f137 | Yes | +699 | $531 | $531 | 1 | 06-19 10:42 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +658 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 06-06 14:49 |
| Creamy-Favorite 0x439b…8cd7 | Yes | +610 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-15 11:18 |
| Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | Yes | +600 | $472 | $472 | 3 | 06-27 04:35 |
| Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fe…423a | No | +550 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 07-13 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…78db | No | +531 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-08 06:32 |
| Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 06-23 08:23 |
| Delectable-Hello 0x88aa…ea6f | Yes | +500 | $370 | $1,910 | 3 | 06-01 12:02 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | +413 | $332 | $352 | 4 | 07-20 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +341 | $263 | $263 | 6 | 07-03 09:31 |
| Black-Bathroom 0x5b57…0b88 | Yes | +337 | $266 | $266 | 1 | 06-30 08:43 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +330 | $264 | $264 | 3 | 07-05 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | +318 | $58 | $58 | 5 | 07-22 13:01 |
| Blind-Salary 0xeb81…423a | Yes | +300 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 07-11 15:19 |
| Loose-Wasp 0x051f…0690 | Yes | +288 | $222 | $222 | 1 | 06-10 09:57 |
| Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | +283 | $207 | $207 | 1 | 06-08 08:10 |
| Finished-Thorn 0x2e4b…83e2 | No | +212 | $48 | $48 | 17 | 06-08 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7109…9308 | Yes | +200 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-18 13:49 |
| Shameless-Advance 0x7f51…4530 | Yes | +200 | $156 | $156 | 7 | 06-29 16:25 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +159 | $116 | $1,780 | 20 | 07-17 16:27 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Bonsai 0x5d59…bdf3 | Yes | +137 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-15 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x777f…c451 | Yes | +133 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 07-02 13:13 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +130 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 07-09 10:57 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +130 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 07-09 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a00…f048 | Yes | +120 | $94 | $94 | 8 | 06-02 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xca54…79a2 | No | +108 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-20 13:24 |
| Idealistic-Electrocardiogram 0xcb0f…53b0 | No | +108 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-21 01:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 22:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | SELL | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0x9f6ca0… |
| 07-22 22:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x1603…913b | No | SELL | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x9f6ca0… |
| 07-22 21:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 90 | 19¢ | $17 | 0x96274e… |
| 07-22 21:12:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 81¢ | $73 | 0x96274e… |
| 07-22 21:12:19 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x4867f9… |
| 07-22 21:12:19 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 82¢ | $72 | 0x4867f9… |
| 07-22 21:12:19 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x4867f9… |
| 07-22 21:12:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 82¢ | $74 | 0x4867f9… |
| 07-22 21:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 1,288 | 19¢ | $245 | 0x4867f9… |
| 07-22 21:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 1,500 | 19¢ | $283 | 0x4867f9… |
| 07-22 19:45:13 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 83¢ | $26 | 0xed5394… |
| 07-22 19:45:13 | (anonymous) 0xea81…81b9 | No | SELL | 31 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xed5394… |
| 07-22 19:28:15 | (anonymous) 0xae8c…dc39 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xf6b0af… |
| 07-22 19:28:15 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xf6b0af… |
| 07-22 13:01:19 | Glamorous-Sprout 0x4759…f916 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 82¢ | $42 | 0xd22c6d… |
| 07-22 13:01:19 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 77 | 18¢ | $14 | 0xd22c6d… |
| 07-22 13:01:19 | Thrifty-Nonsense 0x9dc5…d6b7 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 82¢ | $21 | 0xd22c6d… |
| 07-21 21:07:43 | Glamorous-Sprout 0x4759…f916 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0xd013ad… |
| 07-21 21:07:43 | Bountiful-Broad 0x66fe…e29f | Yes | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0xd013ad… |
| 07-21 20:26:37 | Disloyal-Clamp 0xac1b…92de | No | SELL | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0xd09278… |
| 07-21 20:26:37 | (anonymous) 0x920a…fc10 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xd09278… |
| 07-21 05:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xa3c5f4… |
| 07-21 05:40:58 | Glamorous-Sprout 0x4759…f916 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0xa3c5f4… |
| 07-20 11:11:55 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xa24786… |
| 07-20 11:11:55 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | SELL | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa24786… |
| 07-20 01:12:31 | (anonymous) 0xc83c…f4c6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd14e15… |
| 07-20 01:12:31 | Glamorous-Sprout 0x4759…f916 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd14e15… |
| 07-17 16:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x920a…fc10 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 83¢ | $64 | 0xdf6202… |
| 07-17 16:27:46 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xdf6202… |
| 07-17 16:27:46 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 83¢ | $830 | 0xdf6202… |
| 07-17 16:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x28df…13eb | No | SELL | 1,297 | 17¢ | $221 | 0xdf6202… |
| 07-17 16:27:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xdf6202… |
| 07-17 16:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 98 | 19¢ | $19 | 0xe1dee5… |
| 07-17 16:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 98 | 19¢ | $19 | 0xe1dee5… |
| 07-17 14:43:51 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xc50766… |
| 07-17 14:43:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xc50766… |
| 07-17 14:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | BUY | 96 | 18¢ | $17 | 0x2a9e7d… |
| 07-17 14:43:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x2a9e7d… |
| 07-17 14:43:48 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x2a9e7d… |
| 07-17 14:43:48 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x2a9e7d… |
| 07-17 14:43:48 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x2a9e7d… |
| 07-17 14:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x3303…9266 | No | SELL | 144 | 17¢ | $24 | 0xff95b3… |
| 07-17 14:12:48 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 144 | 83¢ | $119 | 0xff95b3… |
| 07-17 13:21:00 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x685c22… |
| 07-17 13:21:00 | (anonymous) 0x7b97…464a | No | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x685c22… |
| 07-17 13:06:18 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 52 | 83¢ | $43 | 0xb62be5… |
| 07-17 13:06:18 | Equatorial-Digger 0x7982…3f7b | No | SELL | 52 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xb62be5… |
| 07-17 06:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x294d…df59 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x930eec… |
| 07-17 06:58:18 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x930eec… |
| 07-16 17:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x6e18…9abf | No | SELL | 104 | 17¢ | $18 | 0xeaa898… |
| 07-16 17:33:02 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xeaa898… |
| 07-16 17:33:02 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | SELL | 99 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xeaa898… |
| 07-16 08:39:35 | (anonymous) 0xb933…80b6 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x52568e… |
| 07-16 08:39:35 | (anonymous) 0xb06d…81ec | No | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x52568e… |
| 07-15 18:01:08 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa0c88a… |
| 07-15 18:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x0e38…e544 | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa0c88a… |
| 07-15 18:01:08 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $0 | 0xa0c88a… |
| 07-15 11:19:47 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x44a47d… |
| 07-15 11:19:47 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x44a47d… |
| 07-15 11:18:49 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 2,340 | 81¢ | $1,895 | 0x0b898f… |
| 07-15 11:18:49 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | SELL | 2,340 | 81¢ | $1,895 | 0x0b898f… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | SELL | 3,690 | 82¢ | $3,026 | 0x481256… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | (anonymous) 0x15a9…9800 | No | SELL | 800 | 18¢ | $144 | 0x481256… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | Creamy-Favorite 0x439b…8cd7 | Yes | BUY | 610 | 82¢ | $500 | 0x481256… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | (anonymous) 0xc973…dbc7 | No | SELL | 1,600 | 18¢ | $288 | 0x481256… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x481256… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x481256… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x481256… |
| 07-15 11:18:38 | (anonymous) 0xea81…81b9 | No | SELL | 530 | 18¢ | $95 | 0x481256… |
| 07-13 18:54:52 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x816b77… |
| 07-13 18:54:52 | Taut-Limo 0x0ba0…3f91 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 82¢ | $327 | 0x816b77… |
| 07-13 18:54:52 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 186 | 82¢ | $153 | 0x816b77… |
| 07-13 18:54:52 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 81¢ | $92 | 0x816b77… |
| 07-13 14:04:40 | Black-Quest 0xf76d…197b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 82¢ | $13 | 0x4bfbfc… |
| 07-13 14:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xc91d…ebd1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x4bfbfc… |
| 07-13 14:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xbbdc…af5e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x4bfbfc… |
| 07-13 14:04:40 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 114 | 82¢ | $93 | 0x4bfbfc… |
| 07-13 14:04:40 | Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fe…423a | No | BUY | 200 | 18¢ | $36 | 0x4bfbfc… |
| 07-13 14:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x402b…5130 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x4bfbfc… |
| 07-13 14:04:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x8f7be7… |
| 07-13 14:04:17 | Black-Quest 0xf76d…197b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x8f7be7… |
| 07-13 14:04:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 83¢ | $20 | 0x8f7be7… |
| 07-13 14:04:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x22a665… |
| 07-13 14:04:16 | (anonymous) 0x0e38…e544 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x22a665… |
| 07-13 14:04:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x1a7e2b… |
| 07-13 14:04:13 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x1a7e2b… |
| 07-13 14:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x920a…fc10 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x1a7e2b… |
| 07-13 14:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xa488…9d2c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x1a7e2b… |
| 07-13 14:04:13 | Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fe…423a | No | BUY | 350 | 17¢ | $60 | 0x1a7e2b… |
| 07-13 11:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x920a…fc10 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 83¢ | $45 | 0xa3abbb… |
| 07-13 11:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xdd6c…d1eb | Yes | SELL | 54 | 83¢ | $45 | 0xa3abbb… |
| 07-13 07:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x6a15…f23b | Yes | SELL | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x78d625… |
| 07-13 07:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x9942…926d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x78d625… |
| 07-13 07:42:43 | (anonymous) 0x2e79…f833 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x28d9f1… |
| 07-13 07:42:43 | (anonymous) 0xda08…1a63 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x28d9f1… |
| 07-13 02:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xb1b4…5353 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 84¢ | $31 | 0x49de74… |
| 07-13 02:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xf796…7764 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 84¢ | $31 | 0x49de74… |
| 07-13 02:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xa899…afe9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x5a60ee… |
| 07-13 02:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xb1b4…5353 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x5a60ee… |
| 07-13 01:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x3812…2c5c | Yes | SELL | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0xc6c1df… |