Realized P&L
-$4.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$148
Hit rate
85.8%
Resolved
388
Trades
2,411
lifetime
Volume
$382.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$3.46K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 05:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
56% 76% -$7,037
Crypto
37% 83% +$2,629
Politics
7% 69% +$319
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,000 -$820 96¢ $-961 -$141 04-30 05:43
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +992 $817 87¢ $863 +$46 10-06 05:19
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -300 -$279 98¢ $-295 -$16 05-01 13:23
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +261 $230 96¢ $251 +$22 10-22 00:53
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +256 $235 96¢ $246 +$10 10-13 15:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -202 -$172 98¢ $-199 -$27 04-30 12:23
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -200 -$162 99¢ $-197 -$35 08-28 10:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +250 $178 74¢ $184 +$6 10-22 13:28
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +101 $84 89¢ $90 +$6 10-29 02:40
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +85 $71 94¢ $80 +$9 08-11 04:52
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +83 $60 86¢ $71 +$12 08-23 11:23
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 09-01 16:27
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -3 $37 99¢ $-3 -$40 09-11 14:02