Exhausted-Top — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,988

lifetime

Volume

$300.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-10 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$3

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

13% 100% +$7

Politics

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	31	$17.4K	8,500	9,401	-901	open	—	03-16 10:52
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	21	$17.4K	8,523	9,000	-477	open	—	02-24 02:20
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 5pt5	7	$7.8K	5,200	3,000	+2,200	open	—	07-09 12:46
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 6pt5	9	$5.8K	3,005	3,005	+0	open	—	07-11 10:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$5.0K	2,515	2,515	+0	open	—	03-01 10:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$5.0K	2,861	2,284	+577	open	—	03-23 02:51
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	4	$5.0K	3,900	3,850	+50	open	—	03-19 07:59
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 6pt5	7	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-10 09:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	20	$4.7K	3,809	1,000	+2,809	open	—	04-16 14:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	15	$4.5K	2,402	2,402	+0	open	—	02-12 07:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	28	$4.4K	3,129	1,628	+1,501	open	—	02-28 07:39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$4.0K	4,014	0	+4,014	open	—	05-11 05:30
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-21 01:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	5	$4.0K	4,010	0	+4,010	open	—	04-07 04:05
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	21	$3.5K	2,039	1,508	+531	open	—	02-28 11:27
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	10	$3.2K	1,653	1,653	+0	open	—	02-05 22:53
cbb iowa clmsn 2026 03 20	15	$3.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-20 23:23
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	8	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	open	—	02-19 23:13
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	4	$2.4K	1,213	1,213	+0	open	—	01-30 02:18
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$2.3K	2,961	0	+2,961	open	—	01-20 06:18
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$2.1K	2,410	100	+2,310	open	—	03-03 23:44
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	4	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+0	open	—	02-11 09:22
will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	1	$2.0K	2,011	0	+2,011	open	—	01-09 05:37
will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	2	$2.0K	2,007	0	+2,007	open	—	01-30 04:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	6	$2.0K	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	03-02 22:44
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-17 13:07
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	6	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	open	—	03-08 01:47
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 6pt5	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-15 14:29
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-23 01:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	13	$2.0K	1,000	983	+17	open	—	03-11 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 22:23:22	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xf11cbf…
08-10 15:32:15	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x7e917b…
08-10 08:10:12	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	185	74¢	$137	0xf37618…
08-10 00:31:19	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x2b424c…
08-10 00:30:48	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	347	86¢	$300	0xfa583a…
08-09 23:39:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xaf0744…
08-08 05:05:00	btc updown 5m 1786165500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x650835…
08-08 05:03:27	btc updown 5m 1786165500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4fb611…
08-08 05:00:00	btc updown 5m 1786165200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb5ddb2…
08-08 04:57:49	btc updown 5m 1786165200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdd9480…
08-08 04:54:25	btc updown 5m 1786164900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd90965…
08-08 04:52:46	btc updown 5m 1786164900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xef72ce…
08-08 04:50:24	btc updown 5m 1786164600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x21beaf…
08-08 04:49:31	btc updown 5m 1786164600	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa6262c…
08-08 04:49:31	btc updown 5m 1786164600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3c6f7a…
08-08 04:42:43	btc updown 5m 1786164300	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b8b4e…
08-08 04:41:58	btc updown 5m 1786164300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x00dda5…
08-08 04:39:15	btc updown 5m 1786164000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f7e82…
08-08 04:38:36	btc updown 5m 1786164000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x67ab49…
08-08 04:33:12	btc updown 5m 1786163700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa27f09…
08-08 04:29:12	btc updown 5m 1786163400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x222014…
08-08 04:29:09	btc updown 5m 1786163400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ba9fc…
08-08 04:26:36	btc updown 5m 1786163100	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0c5682…
08-07 02:11:18	btc updown 5m 1786068600	Down	SELL	51	88¢	$45	0xe8ccec…
08-07 02:09:22	btc updown 5m 1786068600	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$10	0x3fd6e4…
08-07 02:09:06	btc updown 5m 1786068600	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$15	0x2e2f0c…
08-07 02:07:33	btc updown 5m 1786068300	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x58d3b2…
08-07 01:45:52	btc updown 5m 1786067100	Up	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x5be3bb…
08-07 01:45:03	btc updown 5m 1786067100	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc40ef1…
08-07 01:45:03	btc updown 5m 1786067100	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x6a7510…
08-07 01:39:49	btc updown 5m 1786066800	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x839562…
08-07 01:36:37	btc updown 15m 1786066200	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x95ea30…
08-06 12:14:33	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x95cd6c…
08-06 12:13:59	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0c30fb…
08-06 12:13:44	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x378caa…
08-04 02:07:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x70d9da…
08-03 03:04:38	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0x841207…
08-02 03:02:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xabbaab…
08-02 03:01:32	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x5eab6c…
08-02 03:01:02	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	105	84¢	$88	0x42086a…
08-02 03:00:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xf4f83c…
08-02 02:58:47	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x1c9046…
08-02 02:58:11	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0x6cc663…
08-01 15:40:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x60b4af…
08-01 15:04:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0x969539…
08-01 14:38:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xda90f9…
08-01 14:24:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x586f55…
08-01 14:22:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x9eaad9…
08-01 07:51:11	lol al tt 2026 08 01 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xecc259…
08-01 06:34:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	173	24¢	$42	0x725ce7…
08-01 06:34:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	101	24¢	$24	0x2ef9fb…
08-01 06:33:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0x606bb6…
08-01 06:33:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	108	24¢	$26	0xee63cd…
08-01 06:31:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x951f63…
08-01 06:28:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	345	24¢	$83	0x82bd4a…
08-01 06:28:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	52	24¢	$13	0x31a940…
08-01 06:28:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x4b10d7…
08-01 06:28:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x139931…
08-01 06:28:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x69862a…
08-01 06:25:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0xff1b5b…
08-01 06:09:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xd0a449…
08-01 05:55:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	1,472	24¢	$353	0xa1aa20…
08-01 05:55:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0xaf78e8…
08-01 05:55:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xb16a6e…
08-01 05:37:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x1c5d28…
08-01 05:23:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x1aa686…
08-01 04:32:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0xe3fa5c…
08-01 04:28:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	2,000	6¢	$120	0xce8c64…
08-01 04:22:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x691fc1…
08-01 03:51:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	328	8¢	$26	0xc2c3dd…
08-01 03:51:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	1,700	8¢	$136	0xb7ea76…
08-01 03:49:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	2,028	8¢	$162	0x7d6639…
08-01 03:22:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xe2c0bc…
08-01 03:17:50	mlb mil laa 2026 07 31	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x30c8c3…
07-30 01:10:21	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2bdc0c…
07-30 01:08:27	mlb nyy cws 2026 07 29	New York Yankees	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0x611194…
07-30 01:08:02	mlb cle cin 2026 07 29	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	143	91¢	$130	0x9cb9ac…
07-24 16:04:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$4	0x0fb8e5…
07-24 04:02:54	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x6904d7…
07-22 01:48:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x16d442…
07-22 01:48:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x7522bb…
07-22 01:47:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	377	96¢	$361	0xa7dc19…
07-22 01:47:27	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	326	90¢	$293	0x011ef1…
07-22 01:47:01	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	132	88¢	$116	0xabdff1…
07-21 15:39:46	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x380b66…
07-21 15:39:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0x597a5e…
07-21 00:08:09	mlb min cle 2026 07 20	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8a63d4…
07-20 15:03:46	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xf646c8…
07-20 15:03:33	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x5888dd…
07-15 14:29:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0xb596a1…
07-15 13:35:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x4142ab…
07-15 13:34:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x47591e…
07-15 13:24:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	205	91¢	$186	0xe66b41…
07-15 13:24:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	452	91¢	$410	0xd15a83…
07-15 13:13:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1ac23d…
07-15 13:04:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	188	91¢	$171	0x7ac232…
07-15 09:28:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xef24d4…
07-15 08:56:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x91600b…
07-15 08:56:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0f4e36…
07-15 08:55:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x497f08…