Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$10.0K

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

127

Trades

3,249

lifetime

Volume

$933.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$287

Open exposure

$9.68K

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-27 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

45% 66% -$18,262

Crypto

43% 64% -$5,001

Politics

7% 56% -$2,047

Sports

3% 33% -$458

Tech

2% 75% +$696

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-5,000	-$4,565	98¢	$-4877	-$312	06-29 16:25
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-1,940	-$1,787	98¢	$-1897	-$110	06-01 09:08
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	-23,669	-$8,549	4¢	$-1065	+$7,484	08-31 21:43
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	-3,744	$179	24¢	$-880	-$1,059	10-27 09:45
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-9,998	-$5,217	7¢	$-700	+$4,517	06-13 12:07
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-204	-$139	97¢	$-198	-$59	05-05 06:34
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	-561	-$1,345	12¢	$-64	+$1,281	10-25 00:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	06-21 10:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1,692	4¢	$0	-$1,692	07-04 00:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	497	$118.6K	91,144	91,144	+0	open	—	08-03 12:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	90	$90.5K	163,073	163,068	+5	Yes	-$24,970	09-16 12:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	195	$68.3K	34,906	34,856	+50	Yes	+$116	04-08 05:18
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	54	$55.5K	27,949	27,949	+0	No	+$156	08-19 17:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	43	$36.7K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$73	07-29 16:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	81	$34.5K	45,415	24,000	+21,415	No	-$1,290	06-03 17:12
will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in august 2026	56	$29.8K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$95	08-23 02:06
will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	63	$29.7K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$106	08-25 17:18
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	28	$28.5K	19,050	19,050	+0	open	—	09-21 08:58
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	9	$28.3K	14,358	14,358	+0	No	+$159	08-26 08:44
Celtics vs. 76ers	9	$18.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	Celtics	+$100	04-27 00:09
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	102	$18.2K	34,998	24,998	+10,000	Yes	-$2,100	04-04 14:48
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	76	$17.8K	34,000	29,000	+5,000	Yes	-$673	03-30 13:09
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	22	$17.7K	8,911	8,911	+0	Yes	+$45	08-18 08:45
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$14.1K	7,293	7,293	+0	Yes	+$90	07-30 16:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$13.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$100	05-04 21:27
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?	28	$10.8K	12,743	0	+12,743	No	+$1,986	05-12 18:52
Fed rate hike in 2026?	60	$10.7K	16,839	16,839	+0	Yes	+$923	07-29 18:49
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$10.5K	9,676	1,021	+8,654	Yes	+$221	05-26 19:57
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	5	$10.3K	10,000	371	+9,629	Yes	+$119	07-30 18:27
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	10	$10.2K	5,286	5,286	+0	No	+$26	05-07 03:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	11	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$112	05-30 01:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$5	04-02 22:10
cs2 vit aur1 2026 03 28	21	$9.8K	11,594	5	+11,589	Vitality	+$1,846	03-28 13:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$0	04-06 02:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	25	$9.3K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	10-12 14:56
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	36	$9.3K	1,111	24,780	-23,669	open	—	08-31 21:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	39	$9.2K	6,003	6,003	+0	Yes	+$600	06-04 05:03
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	9	$9.0K	9,565	0	+9,565	Yes	+$601	06-18 18:42
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$9.0K	5,559	5,559	+0	Yes	+$288	03-30 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:45:59	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,271	24¢	$305	0x4324dc…
10-27 09:30:44	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	78	24¢	$19	0x015c17…
10-27 09:15:39	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	125	24¢	$30	0x427cb2…
10-26 19:09:09	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	417	24¢	$100	0x96d39c…
10-26 18:53:15	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	782	24¢	$188	0xc11336…
10-26 16:36:36	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x6a3ae2…
10-26 13:47:02	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x902edc…
10-25 00:04:29	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	312	16¢	$50	0x17116d…
10-24 23:35:56	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	122	16¢	$20	0x0f196e…
10-24 17:03:12	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,642	26¢	$427	0xcc10d0…
10-24 13:27:39	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x626aa0…
10-24 12:07:02	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	266	26¢	$69	0x4b73df…
10-22 19:00:54	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,389	26¢	$621	0xbf6e94…
10-12 14:56:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	496	17¢	$84	0x1a4013…
10-12 14:52:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,336	17¢	$1,077	0xc6b985…
10-12 14:29:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,376	17¢	$404	0x19b628…
10-12 14:24:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	792	17¢	$135	0xd761ba…
10-11 19:30:09	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0x6532b3…
10-11 19:20:45	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xe2c705…
10-11 19:20:42	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	405	22¢	$89	0x4db45b…
10-06 03:58:34	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,000	30¢	$600	0x8ed6d4…
10-03 20:50:40	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	2,709	14¢	$379	0x6f44af…
10-03 13:56:30	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	138	14¢	$19	0x3133da…
10-03 13:56:12	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	1,489	14¢	$208	0x4af177…
10-01 08:40:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	35¢	$1,750	0x26a68b…
10-01 01:38:30	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x1afaab…
09-30 22:07:44	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	108	14¢	$15	0x4aefb3…
09-30 12:35:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,169	32¢	$1,014	0x265bdf…
09-30 12:34:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,831	32¢	$586	0xce9c1d…
09-30 12:30:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	495	42¢	$208	0x173159…
09-30 12:30:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x5da569…
09-30 12:30:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x042428…
09-30 12:30:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	42¢	$37	0xbbb790…
09-30 12:30:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x70c207…
09-30 12:30:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	149	42¢	$63	0x2c5b6b…
09-30 12:30:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xdb149f…
09-30 12:30:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x9582eb…
09-30 12:30:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	44¢	$2,200	0x9026ca…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	169	42¢	$71	0xcacd2a…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	42¢	$43	0xabfe72…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	42¢	$336	0xaaefa1…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	42¢	$160	0x73c388…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x536f72…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	700	42¢	$294	0x47f7a9…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x422169…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x31838b…
09-30 12:30:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	42¢	$525	0x275181…
09-30 12:18:11	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	67	14¢	$9	0x1f4261…
09-30 12:14:17	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	389	14¢	$54	0x77106e…
09-21 08:58:33	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8,905	73¢	$6,501	0xd151ba…
09-18 00:52:16	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0xda28f6…
09-17 08:20:52	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x09796e…
09-16 12:50:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	713	12¢	$86	0xb58f1e…
09-16 12:50:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	369	12¢	$44	0x30222a…
09-16 12:48:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18,918	12¢	$2,270	0xe145b6…
09-16 09:46:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,417	12¢	$1,250	0x54aee6…
09-16 09:44:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x391daa…
09-16 09:42:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	179	12¢	$21	0xdbf92a…
09-16 09:40:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,491	12¢	$179	0x6c027e…
09-16 09:39:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xc66293…
09-16 09:39:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x4c5178…
09-16 09:38:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xdce895…
09-16 09:38:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x8867d6…
09-16 09:38:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	227	12¢	$27	0x224d85…
09-16 09:37:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7,000	12¢	$840	0x707259…
09-16 07:25:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19,995	13¢	$2,599	0x068457…
09-15 21:15:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10,000	12¢	$1,200	0x7402f0…
09-15 16:54:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,000	12¢	$1,200	0x74c876…
09-15 09:39:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25,168	12¢	$3,020	0xfe26d2…
09-15 09:38:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xae0eaa…
09-15 09:38:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x79877f…
09-15 09:38:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x678b85…
09-15 09:38:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	34,832	12¢	$4,180	0xe42600…
09-14 13:09:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,128	19¢	$214	0xac5a86…
09-14 13:09:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,872	19¢	$1,686	0xb44fd7…
09-13 11:42:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5,000	22¢	$1,100	0xe95970…
09-11 18:47:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,797	19¢	$342	0x7f8044…
09-11 18:32:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	336	18¢	$60	0xb5a4cf…
09-11 18:32:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	560	18¢	$101	0x64ae42…
09-11 18:30:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xdcc4ca…
09-11 18:22:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x89ffec…
09-11 18:19:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x9872e8…
09-11 18:19:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xeb30d7…
09-11 18:18:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	175	18¢	$32	0xf8940e…
09-11 18:17:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x250bc7…
09-11 18:16:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xfd0c73…
09-11 18:16:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x60e294…
09-11 18:16:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xac7f7a…
09-11 18:14:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x69ecc7…
09-11 18:13:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,080	18¢	$194	0xd80c97…
09-11 18:05:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa0762e…
09-11 18:02:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x156caf…
09-11 18:01:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x6a8386…
09-11 18:00:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,135	18¢	$924	0xd21378…
09-11 15:54:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5,000	19¢	$950	0x82b1e9…
09-11 14:56:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	19¢	$950	0xd9002a…
09-11 13:40:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5,000	20¢	$1,000	0x0db828…
09-11 13:04:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	19¢	$950	0x4c017c…
09-10 12:58:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	38¢	$1,900	0xfa9016…
09-10 12:24:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20,000	46¢	$9,200	0x96dfe7…