Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$67
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,870
lifetime
Volume
$106.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$542
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-22 07:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
52% 0% $-14
Politics
30%
Crypto
11% 0% $-22
Tech
5%
Sports
1% 100% +$18
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Discord IPO before 2027? No +376 $238 66¢ $246 +$8 07-20 22:14
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -87 $-77 90¢ $-77 $-0 07-06 08:20
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -70 $-27 45¢ $-31 $-4 07-08 06:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $65 30¢ $29 $-35 06-25 22:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $23 11¢ $25 +$2 07-16 20:25
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -30 $-21 74¢ $-22 $-1 07-08 08:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-34 20¢ $-20 +$14 07-09 22:22
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -30 $-18 60¢ $-18 $-0 07-07 20:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $14 44¢ $-17 $-31 07-20 22:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $22 47¢ $17 $-5 06-14 04:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $19 $14 $-6 06-03 04:10
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +40 $8 22¢ $9 +$0 07-12 00:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $16 10¢ $8 $-8 06-02 22:41
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +50 $6 14¢ $7 +$1 07-20 01:00