Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?
Yes won
Total volume
$28,791
Trades
673
Unique wallets
109
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-07
First seen
2026-10-06
last 10-07 02:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.3¢
(top1%: 21% YES on $15.1K
vs crowd: 33% YES on $24.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $5.6K | $14.4K | $8.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 44 | $1.9K | $1.2K | +$730 |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $433 | $528 | $95 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $137 | $43 | +$94 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $3.2K | $11.9K | $8.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 36 | $1.6K | $2.9K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $23 | $14 |
| Median | 5 | $4 | $16 | $12 |
| Below median | 15 | $221 | $25 | +$196 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $428 | $246 | +$182 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $307 | $326 | $19 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $2.3K | $764 | +$1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +13,087 | $10,240 | $10,240 | 46 | 10-06 16:08 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +4,420 | $1,649 | $1,649 | 45 | 10-06 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1476…ec90 | Yes | +4,342 | $950 | $950 | 1 | 10-06 11:39 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | +4,110 | $678 | $2,503 | 54 | 10-06 23:55 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | +2,292 | $1,616 | $2,132 | 32 | 10-06 14:30 |
| Corny-Mincemeat 0x7e52…00f5 | Yes | +1,000 | -$14 | $849 | 13 | 10-06 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +963 | $652 | $652 | 29 | 10-07 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +924 | $301 | $301 | 28 | 10-07 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x31fe…ad2d | Yes | +868 | $843 | $843 | 5 | 10-07 01:56 |
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +706 | $112 | $112 | 7 | 10-06 20:25 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +623 | $346 | $731 | 27 | 10-07 01:54 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +601 | $490 | $2,178 | 47 | 10-07 01:55 |
| Each-Brownie 0xfc95…0b9c | No | +500 | $165 | $1,015 | 4 | 10-07 01:54 |
| Dearest-Realm 0xbe4e…d0c6 | Yes | +359 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 10-06 21:17 |
| Whole-Proponent 0xeee8…79df | Yes | +300 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-06 13:35 |
| Delayed-Blend 0x890d…c369 | Yes | +286 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 10-07 00:28 |
| Bright-Exercise 0x6f11…15b5 | Yes | +286 | $47 | $47 | 5 | 10-06 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe35b…b542 | Yes | +269 | $51 | $51 | 6 | 10-06 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6920…d8de | No | +217 | $162 | $162 | 2 | 10-06 19:21 |
| Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | +200 | $154 | $154 | 6 | 10-07 00:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x700f…ba06 | No | +122 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-07 00:18 |
| Portly-Lead-Coevolution 0xdc8f…d0e4 | No | +103 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-07 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c85…755d | Yes | +100 | -$11 | $467 | 18 | 10-07 01:52 |
| Intrepid-Water 0xfb12…d1b3 | No | +100 | -$13 | $213 | 3 | 10-07 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9f0…dc0a | No | +97 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 10-06 21:44 |
| Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | +93 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 10-07 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1875…a782 | Yes | +90 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 10-07 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +75 | $46 | $46 | 16 | 10-07 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +74 | $26 | $26 | 15 | 10-07 00:37 |
| Paltry-Blank 0x9473…3b20 | No | +68 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 10-07 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | No | +67 | $51 | $51 | 8 | 10-07 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | No | +67 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 10-06 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Yes | +61 | $11 | $11 | 7 | 10-07 01:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xec35…1d90 | No | +50 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 10-07 01:55 |
| Dramatic-Cheese 0x083c…65f2 | No | +42 | $31 | $31 | 4 | 10-06 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 10-07 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 10-06 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe3b…5a41 | Yes | +37 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-06 10:11 |
| General-Robin 0xba81…7ffe | No | +34 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 10-07 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x01b5…1d18 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-07 01:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 10-07 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 10-06 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xec35…1d90 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-06 19:21 |
| Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 10-07 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 10-06 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6250…f49a | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 10-06 16:08 |
| Unlawful-Adulthood 0xe087…bc81 | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 10-06 16:09 |
| Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | Yes | +29 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 10-07 00:29 |
| Muffled-Drill 0xc250…4faf | No | +28 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-06 16:04 |
| Unlawful-Adulthood 0xe087…bc81 | Yes | +28 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-06 15:53 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-06 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9176…3ad0 | Yes | +25 | $9 | $11 | 3 | 10-06 15:50 |
| Hideous-Package 0x21c5…3533 | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-06 17:59 |
| Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | No | +23 | -$21 | $101 | 3 | 10-06 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 10-07 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-06 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6250…f49a | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-06 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4a4…c284 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-06 23:55 |
| Only-Thermometer 0x2232…a2c5 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-07 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-06 17:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0xe044…e14c | Yes | SELL | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0x425a75… |
| 10-07 02:01:41 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0x425a75… |
| 10-07 01:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x3a7e…6655 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x92e1b3… |
| 10-07 01:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x1875…a782 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x92e1b3… |
| 10-07 01:57:50 | Unused-Wording 0x33fb…897c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x3cbb9a… |
| 10-07 01:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x1875…a782 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x3cbb9a… |
| 10-07 01:56:12 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | SELL | 575 | 99¢ | $570 | 0x3b2e95… |
| 10-07 01:56:12 | (anonymous) 0x31fe…ad2d | Yes | BUY | 575 | 99¢ | $570 | 0x3b2e95… |
| 10-07 01:56:09 | (anonymous) 0x31fe…ad2d | Yes | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xc8a98e… |
| 10-07 01:56:09 | Portly-Lead-Coevolution 0xdc8f…d0e4 | No | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc8a98e… |
| 10-07 01:55:45 | (anonymous) 0x31fe…ad2d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x114802… |
| 10-07 01:55:45 | (anonymous) 0x2a81…a8fc | Yes | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x114802… |
| 10-07 01:55:24 | (anonymous) 0x9808…d9c6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x03171e… |
| 10-07 01:55:24 | (anonymous) 0x31fe…ad2d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x03171e… |
| 10-07 01:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x31fe…ad2d | Yes | BUY | 231 | 92¢ | $212 | 0xfd316c… |
| 10-07 01:55:15 | (anonymous) 0xec83…13f7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xfd316c… |
| 10-07 01:55:15 | Mad-Glen 0xb42b…afe0 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 98¢ | $103 | 0xfd316c… |
| 10-07 01:55:15 | (anonymous) 0xec35…1d90 | No | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xfd316c… |
| 10-07 01:55:15 | Portly-Lead-Coevolution 0xdc8f…d0e4 | No | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xfd316c… |
| 10-07 01:55:15 | General-Robin 0xba81…7ffe | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfd316c… |
| 10-07 01:55:08 | (anonymous) 0xec83…13f7 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 79¢ | $12 | 0xd971e4… |
| 10-07 01:55:08 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 116 | 20¢ | $23 | 0xd971e4… |
| 10-07 01:55:08 | Intrepid-Water 0xfb12…d1b3 | No | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xd971e4… |
| 10-07 01:55:05 | (anonymous) 0xec83…13f7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xb6e031… |
| 10-07 01:55:05 | Portly-Lead-Coevolution 0xdc8f…d0e4 | No | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xb6e031… |
| 10-07 01:55:05 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xb6e031… |
| 10-07 01:54:45 | (anonymous) 0xec35…1d90 | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xc925fb… |
| 10-07 01:54:45 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 515 | 54¢ | $280 | 0xc925fb… |
| 10-07 01:54:45 | Each-Brownie 0xfc95…0b9c | No | BUY | 500 | 45¢ | $225 | 0xc925fb… |
| 10-07 01:52:29 | (anonymous) 0x0c85…755d | Yes | SELL | 90 | 32¢ | $29 | 0x965723… |
| 10-07 01:52:29 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 32¢ | $29 | 0x965723… |
| 10-07 01:49:33 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 32 | 69¢ | $22 | 0x66e8dc… |
| 10-07 01:49:33 | (anonymous) 0x01b5…1d18 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x66e8dc… |
| 10-07 01:45:54 | (anonymous) 0x2a81…a8fc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x7d1451… |
| 10-07 01:45:54 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0x7d1451… |
| 10-07 01:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x3d3650… |
| 10-07 01:38:12 | Last-Television 0x85b3…0b2e | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x3d3650… |
| 10-07 01:36:00 | (anonymous) 0x0c85…755d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x7e729e… |
| 10-07 01:36:00 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x7e729e… |
| 10-07 01:34:02 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 72 | 61¢ | $44 | 0xfaae8d… |
| 10-07 01:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x3a7e…6655 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 39¢ | $28 | 0xfaae8d… |
| 10-07 01:30:12 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 99 | 70¢ | $69 | 0xaa0e07… |
| 10-07 01:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x0c85…755d | Yes | SELL | 99 | 30¢ | $30 | 0xaa0e07… |
| 10-07 01:07:41 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 34 | 29¢ | $10 | 0x4ea17d… |
| 10-07 01:07:41 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 34 | 71¢ | $24 | 0x4ea17d… |
| 10-07 01:07:03 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 164 | 29¢ | $48 | 0x005b0a… |
| 10-07 01:07:03 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 154 | 71¢ | $109 | 0x005b0a… |
| 10-07 01:07:03 | Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x005b0a… |
| 10-07 01:05:51 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x2d8eb3… |
| 10-07 01:05:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 36 | 73¢ | $27 | 0x2d8eb3… |
| 10-07 01:05:51 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 46 | 27¢ | $13 | 0x2d8eb3… |
| 10-07 01:05:44 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x723657… |
| 10-07 01:05:44 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x723657… |
| 10-07 01:05:39 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xd6cfd6… |
| 10-07 01:05:39 | Only-Thermometer 0x2232…a2c5 | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xd6cfd6… |
| 10-07 01:05:24 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x6824fb… |
| 10-07 01:05:24 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x6824fb… |
| 10-07 01:05:00 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xa065a4… |
| 10-07 01:05:00 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa065a4… |
| 10-07 01:03:26 | (anonymous) 0xc2d1…3935 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 25¢ | $26 | 0x91bfc6… |
| 10-07 01:03:26 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 105 | 25¢ | $26 | 0x91bfc6… |
| 10-07 00:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xeeee…d88a | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x2963ce… |
| 10-07 00:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xaf53…ca3b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x2963ce… |
| 10-07 00:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x39cf0f… |
| 10-07 00:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x39cf0f… |
| 10-07 00:37:05 | Intent-Bag 0xe57f…7337 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x39cf0f… |
| 10-07 00:29:14 | Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe2185d… |
| 10-07 00:29:14 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe2185d… |
| 10-07 00:29:14 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe2185d… |
| 10-07 00:29:14 | Paltry-Blank 0x9473…3b20 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xe2185d… |
| 10-07 00:29:11 | Paltry-Blank 0x9473…3b20 | No | BUY | 38 | 84¢ | $32 | 0x34d8ff… |
| 10-07 00:29:11 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x34d8ff… |
| 10-07 00:28:58 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xc44a47… |
| 10-07 00:28:58 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 154 | 71¢ | $109 | 0xc44a47… |
| 10-07 00:28:58 | Handy-Thrush 0x9028…43c8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xc44a47… |
| 10-07 00:28:58 | Delayed-Blend 0x890d…c369 | Yes | BUY | 286 | 29¢ | $83 | 0xc44a47… |
| 10-07 00:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x0c85…755d | Yes | SELL | 81 | 30¢ | $24 | 0xc44a47… |
| 10-07 00:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 39 | 72¢ | $28 | 0xc44a47… |
| 10-07 00:28:53 | (anonymous) 0xeeee…d88a | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xc7662c… |
| 10-07 00:28:53 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xc7662c… |
| 10-07 00:22:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 47 | 79¢ | $37 | 0xe82ba7… |
| 10-07 00:22:24 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 47 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xe82ba7… |
| 10-07 00:22:11 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xff7988… |
| 10-07 00:22:11 | (anonymous) 0xc216…888c | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xff7988… |
| 10-07 00:22:02 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xedfcf9… |
| 10-07 00:22:02 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xedfcf9… |
| 10-07 00:19:29 | (anonymous) 0xeeee…d88a | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xcbf687… |
| 10-07 00:19:29 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xcbf687… |
| 10-07 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x700f…ba06 | No | BUY | 122 | 82¢ | $100 | 0x4f8d69… |
| 10-07 00:18:51 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 122 | 18¢ | $22 | 0x4f8d69… |
| 10-07 00:16:30 | Hateful-Sickness 0x3080…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xcd13d0… |
| 10-07 00:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x8da8…efea | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xcd13d0… |
| 10-06 23:55:56 | (anonymous) 0xf4a4…c284 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xd0b94b… |
| 10-06 23:55:56 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd0b94b… |
| 10-06 23:51:40 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 180 | 15¢ | $27 | 0xbd1d77… |
| 10-06 23:51:40 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 180 | 85¢ | $153 | 0xbd1d77… |
| 10-06 23:50:59 | (anonymous) 0xe35b…b542 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x988747… |
| 10-06 23:50:59 | Skeletal-Schooner 0x3b83…008b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x988747… |
| 10-06 23:50:38 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x44d924… |
| 10-06 23:50:38 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x44d924… |