Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$786

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

541

Trades

1,199

lifetime

Volume

$39.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-17

last 10-15 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 62% -$576

Other

14% 52% -$203

Politics

4% 75% +$39

Sports

1% 50% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	6	$1.1K	1,244	1,244	+0	No	-$57	08-30 15:51
lol drx bro2 2026 08 16	8	$1.0K	747	747	+0	HANJIN BRION	-$31	08-16 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:15 UTC	4	$864	1,245	1,245	+0	Up	+$52	08-21 00:17
cs2 ast10 nip 2026 08 16	6	$858	573	572	+1	Astralis	+$19	08-16 18:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:25 UTC	2	$842	448	448	+0	Up	+$2	08-20 23:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	3	$823	458	458	+0	Down	+$23	08-19 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:35 UTC	4	$793	446	446	+0	Up	+$91	08-19 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 16:15 UTC	2	$636	352	352	+0	Up	+$36	08-19 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:40 UTC	2	$626	444	444	+0	Down	+$126	08-20 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:25 UTC	2	$598	324	324	+0	Down	-$2	08-20 10:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:55 UTC	2	$582	306	306	+0	Up	-$8	08-21 16:59
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	4	$567	315	315	+0	Yes	-$13	09-21 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:35 UTC	2	$563	381	381	+0	Down	-$37	08-20 10:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:10 UTC	4	$526	439	439	+0	Up	+$26	08-19 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:15 UTC	3	$461	386	386	+0	Down	-$139	08-19 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:25 UTC	2	$455	301	301	+0	Up	+$135	08-19 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	2	$439	297	297	+0	Up	+$79	08-21 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	4	$437	574	565	+9	Up	-$204	08-21 01:34
will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	2	$420	278	278	+0	No	+$120	09-30 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:20 UTC	3	$389	427	240	+188	Up	-$41	08-19 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:40 UTC	1	$370	401	0	+401	Down	-$370	08-09 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:45 UTC	2	$363	186	186	+0	Up	+$9	08-17 12:59
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$361	204	204	+0	Yes	+$47	09-21 10:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:35 UTC	1	$350	371	0	+371	Up	+$21	08-09 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	2	$343	213	213	+0	Down	+$43	08-20 22:14
lol t1 gen 2026 08 16	2	$341	211	211	+0	Gen.G	+$41	08-16 09:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:55 UTC	2	$339	264	264	+0	Down	+$38	08-21 01:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	1	$330	347	0	+347	Down	+$17	08-09 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:00 UTC	2	$317	170	170	+0	Down	+$17	08-19 17:02
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?	2	$304	170	170	+0	No	+$35	08-15 23:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 13:54:35	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x0835c9…
10-15 13:53:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	159	1¢	$2	0xdd170b…
10-14 05:48:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	85	70¢	$59	0x523998…
10-13 10:42:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0x3a4519…
10-13 10:30:22	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xfb362d…
10-13 10:30:07	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	74¢	$46	0xacd6d4…
10-12 04:28:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x2d7a9d…
10-08 16:05:47	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0x02383e…
10-08 06:47:34	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xcfde79…
10-06 19:21:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	117	70¢	$82	0x387f7a…
10-06 18:26:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x8fbd50…
10-06 11:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2e0d2b…
10-06 11:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa531ad…
10-06 10:17:33	LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	RED Canids	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3b58c1…
10-06 09:58:12	LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	RED Canids	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x8da215…
10-06 00:29:52	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xe1835b…
10-05 09:59:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4d0792…
10-05 09:51:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x196dac…
10-05 09:50:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x01667d…
10-05 09:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x208a4e…
10-05 09:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x738955…
10-05 09:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x130b90…
10-05 09:25:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x574379…
10-05 09:24:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x36e17d…
10-05 07:09:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x366638…
10-05 07:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xf6e045…
10-05 07:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4dcd31…
10-05 07:02:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2ad23d…
10-04 16:24:55	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xc10cc2…
10-04 11:12:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0x24f737…
10-04 11:10:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xec0a22…
10-04 10:43:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	271	1¢	$3	0x4231ee…
10-04 10:42:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	271	2¢	$5	0xe6cac3…
10-04 07:11:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0xa625bd…
10-04 07:01:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8e6853…
10-04 06:08:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x372585…
10-04 05:56:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	31¢	$4	0xfe9501…
10-04 05:53:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x08fc90…
10-04 05:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8c31c7…
10-04 05:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3ac764…
10-02 17:26:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	106	36¢	$39	0xa90071…
10-02 17:19:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0xfc6c81…
10-02 16:43:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xc1ad09…
10-02 16:18:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0xaca497…
10-02 15:36:02	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	78	89¢	$70	0xfeebf7…
10-02 14:13:29	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xb2ee92…
10-02 03:54:21	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 28 october 4 2026	No	SELL	217	90¢	$196	0x92b94a…
10-01 15:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x32516d…
10-01 15:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xe11fb3…
10-01 15:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xc9b189…
10-01 15:25:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x193fc7…
10-01 15:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x5102f7…
10-01 02:52:14	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x899163…
09-30 14:02:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xdc699b…
09-30 14:01:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4e6993…
09-30 14:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x3511e5…
09-30 14:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x26393e…
09-30 13:57:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4e55d1…
09-30 13:56:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x886e3d…
09-30 13:09:12	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	278	97¢	$270	0x37e62e…
09-26 23:22:05	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0xb81b04…
09-26 23:18:50	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	111	75¢	$83	0x0f73d6…
09-26 23:18:42	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	81	94¢	$76	0xc5b148…
09-22 22:22:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	81	59¢	$48	0x8a2eea…
09-22 22:20:25	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xe70c50…
09-22 20:24:45	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	86	94¢	$80	0x7196cc…
09-22 10:17:57	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	86	62¢	$53	0x1a3ed5…
09-22 10:17:42	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	274	19¢	$52	0xd39ee1…
09-21 17:04:23	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	274	70¢	$192	0x168d39…
09-21 15:00:24	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	202	93¢	$189	0x3261be…
09-21 12:37:12	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	202	94¢	$190	0x939398…
09-21 11:50:21	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	112	78¢	$88	0x8b1031…
09-21 11:43:39	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	120	86¢	$103	0x8f320c…
09-21 11:21:02	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x13117e…
09-21 10:57:05	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x1fa590…
09-21 10:51:41	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x147e0c…
09-19 11:27:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	204	77¢	$157	0xbab67b…
09-19 11:27:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	SELL	169	93¢	$158	0x070c85…
09-15 13:51:03	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	169	50¢	$85	0xc46eb1…
09-15 11:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xda5285…
09-15 11:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x690d4c…
09-15 08:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0x85a23d…
09-15 08:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9d532b…
09-15 08:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x1cf520…
09-15 08:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x672922…
09-15 07:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x73a940…
09-15 07:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x51cc81…
09-15 07:35:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	90	87¢	$79	0xb03e83…
09-12 19:30:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0xa71640…
09-12 19:30:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	52	60¢	$31	0x6f1f30…
09-12 19:30:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	56	77¢	$43	0x188bfc…
09-04 04:28:00	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 3	No	BUY	91	38¢	$34	0x871da8…
09-03 16:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xe2ae89…
09-03 16:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9d2455…
09-03 15:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x394d01…
09-03 15:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1ced7d…
09-03 11:23:49	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	SELL	108	24¢	$26	0x04fd0e…
09-02 11:55:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x433c6b…
09-02 11:55:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xc5ad1c…
09-02 11:54:34	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	No	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xf18b39…