Realized P&L
+$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$251
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
3,288
Trades
14,254
lifetime
Volume
$69.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 11-01 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
60% 44% +$650
Crypto
32% 51% +$1,014
Politics
7% 42% +$91
Tech
1% 36% +$5
Sports
0% 40% -$20
Pop-Culture
0% 38% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 782 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +100 $8 99¢ $99 +$91 10-28 15:41
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +74 $60 100¢ $74 +$14 10-29 13:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +77 $46 82¢ $63 +$17 10-27 23:17
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +70 $52 88¢ $61 +$9 10-25 14:02
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +60 $53 96¢ $58 +$4 10-31 04:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +60 $39 90¢ $54 +$16 10-30 01:25
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +70 $52 74¢ $52 $0 10-30 00:44
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +50 $36 100¢ $50 +$14 10-22 19:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +50 $21 99¢ $49 +$28 10-05 19:58
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +50 $42 94¢ $47 +$4 10-25 23:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +50 $38 89¢ $44 +$6 10-27 06:11
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +40 $37 94¢ $38 +$1 10-27 20:32
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +40 $12 93¢ $37 +$25 10-30 11:26
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +53 $40 69¢ $37 -$3 10-27 16:27
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +40 $37 91¢ $36 -$1 10-25 22:26
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +46 $34 68¢ $31 -$3 10-31 13:45
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +40 $28 76¢ $30 +$2 10-15 05:06
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +30 $18 100¢ $30 +$12 10-17 04:40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +30 $24 99¢ $30 +$5 10-31 01:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +30 $26 96¢ $29 +$3 10-31 08:22
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $32 66¢ $27 -$6 10-29 16:12
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +50 $21 51¢ $26 +$5 10-30 16:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +40 $24 64¢ $25 +$2 10-29 22:43
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +50 $22 49¢ $24 +$2 10-28 01:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +30 $24 79¢ $24 $0 10-17 19:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +39 $23 58¢ $23 $0 10-19 17:15
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +30 $19 76¢ $23 +$3 10-31 08:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +30 $19 74¢ $22 +$3 10-31 07:56
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +30 $22 72¢ $22 -$1 10-30 17:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +40 $23 54¢ $22 -$1 11-01 03:19