Mad-Glen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$817

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

519

Trades

1,719

lifetime

Volume

$236.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-28 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Other

73% 65% +$1,201

Crypto

19% 37% -$2,217

Sports

6% 50% -$171

Politics

2% 67% +$370

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+25	$3	14¢	$3	+$1	08-24 00:13
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+54	$18	4¢	$2	-$16	09-14 07:58
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	+30	$2	6¢	$2	+$0	08-24 00:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	6	$13.2K	6,644	6,644	+0	No	+$41	05-03 08:35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$13.2K	40,051	40,131	-79	No	-$119	07-13 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	2	$12.9K	12,883	0	+12,883	No	+$18	05-18 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$12.6K	12,643	0	+12,643	No	+$13	05-16 01:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$12.0K	6,030	6,030	+0	No	+$24	04-30 17:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$10.4K	5,343	5,343	+0	No	+$251	05-18 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$10.0K	5,001	5,001	+0	No	+$10	05-05 13:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$9.6K	5,025	5,011	+14	No	+$233	04-29 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$7.6K	7,583	0	+7,583	No	+$23	05-15 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$7.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$0	04-22 09:10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	7	$5.1K	5,194	0	+5,194	No	+$93	05-04 05:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 17?	1	$5.0K	5,012	0	+5,012	No	+$12	05-16 23:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	04-23 12:36
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$4.4K	2,214	2,214	+0	No	+$8	05-01 07:26
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	5	$4.0K	2,107	2,107	+0	Yes	+$30	06-15 01:14
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$3.3K	1,644	1,644	+0	No	+$7	05-03 21:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$3.2K	2,378	2,378	+0	No	-$958	05-07 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$24	05-03 15:32
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	6	$2.7K	1,696	1,696	+0	No	+$268	06-04 03:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	43	$2.6K	3,469	2,776	+692	Up	-$183	04-24 11:07
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 17?	1	$2.5K	2,545	0	+2,545	No	+$3	05-16 23:30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,260	1,260	+0	No	+$7	05-04 00:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$2.2K	1,235	1,235	+0	Yes	+$222	05-06 10:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$54	05-04 08:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	8	$1.9K	1,224	1,208	+16	No	+$508	06-03 13:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	3	$1.9K	962	962	+0	No	+$50	05-27 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	05-05 21:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	6	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$165	05-08 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,804	0	+1,804	No	+$4	05-08 11:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	3	$1.7K	839	839	+0	No	+$5	05-28 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:42:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	70¢	$91	0x19974e…
10-28 07:34:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	83¢	$98	0x3b258f…
10-28 07:34:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5033a9…
10-28 03:47:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7,248	0¢	$7	0xe94688…
10-28 03:44:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	189	0¢	$0	0x531963…
10-28 03:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x80ec77…
10-28 03:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2,158	0¢	$2	0xe6d228…
10-28 03:40:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x52f22b…
10-28 03:36:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x4c54a0…
10-28 03:17:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x4b0cd4…
10-28 03:16:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xb59ded…
10-28 03:15:15	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x4592a5…
10-28 03:14:41	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x73245f…
10-28 03:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x59e1e7…
10-28 03:09:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	182	0¢	$0	0xeda3bd…
10-28 03:09:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x33f346…
10-28 03:08:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	212	0¢	$0	0x00ec2e…
10-28 03:06:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x28bdc7…
10-28 02:16:41	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xf16194…
10-27 21:31:38	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x59ce70…
10-27 15:30:57	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x22d661…
10-27 00:43:18	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x980e73…
10-27 00:43:18	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x8eaac7…
10-26 22:27:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaab609…
10-26 21:46:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x998fa3…
10-26 18:39:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb566fc…
10-26 17:37:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	794	0¢	$1	0x620907…
10-26 14:48:50	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5adc33…
10-25 23:27:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	142	98¢	$139	0x70afb8…
10-25 09:20:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	142	89¢	$127	0x0db6ed…
10-25 03:27:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x60d174…
10-24 20:48:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x69ca5a…
10-24 20:48:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x5c1e0e…
10-24 20:26:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa49293…
10-24 20:26:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	86	0¢	$0	0x27f2a7…
10-24 20:19:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x374689…
10-24 20:15:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1437ac…
10-24 18:58:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9f0d0a…
10-24 17:59:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0x03f5a1…
10-24 17:21:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$1	0xacc586…
10-24 16:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec68f8…
10-24 15:30:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd4d8bb…
10-24 15:29:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x79e0b2…
10-23 22:47:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x7ee9aa…
10-23 14:17:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x78242f…
10-23 13:42:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xd659a2…
10-23 13:31:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	96	88¢	$85	0x248506…
10-23 12:39:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x789684…
10-23 12:26:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xa10ae8…
10-23 03:11:54	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	614	1¢	$5	0x64fc8f…
10-23 03:11:48	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x045e3f…
10-23 03:11:45	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x2761fb…
10-23 03:11:33	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x9844e6…
10-23 03:11:26	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x5103b0…
10-23 03:11:24	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x02f920…
10-23 03:11:02	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xf9562c…
10-23 03:10:44	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xe12b4a…
10-23 03:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xabaecd…
10-23 03:10:23	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x609d21…
10-23 03:10:17	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x86da97…
10-23 03:02:30	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0456e3…
10-23 02:57:45	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd5d598…
10-22 16:48:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	78	88¢	$68	0x441aac…
10-22 15:14:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x013aed…
10-22 08:21:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	126	98¢	$123	0x4ca158…
10-22 08:21:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1dea5f…
10-22 07:51:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xa6c8ad…
10-22 07:51:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	126	90¢	$113	0x1a558e…
10-21 16:05:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	48	57¢	$27	0xda0851…
10-21 16:00:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x2210f4…
10-21 16:00:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x9f4ba6…
10-21 15:07:12	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	701	1¢	$5	0x152e53…
10-21 15:02:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9,949	0¢	$10	0x85fffc…
10-21 14:54:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xa8cae4…
10-21 14:43:56	Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0xf05e59…
10-21 14:23:59	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xd792b0…
10-21 13:05:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	185	91¢	$168	0x8db227…
10-21 07:13:08	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0x4f553c…
10-21 03:03:56	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3,573	0¢	$4	0xbcc3a5…
10-21 02:58:45	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6,427	0¢	$6	0x9732e1…
10-21 01:50:03	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0xed5033…
10-21 01:48:47	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	223	4¢	$10	0x55ea1b…
10-21 01:48:18	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xb24eab…
10-21 01:10:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xc1be11…
10-21 01:10:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x314dbf…
10-20 23:52:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9,995	0¢	$10	0x07f124…
10-20 16:12:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x2bac8f…
10-20 15:12:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb8813c…
10-20 14:45:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0xa87b96…
10-20 14:45:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x5b3559…
10-20 14:45:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x560750…
10-20 14:42:12	Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x9fcfb2…
10-20 14:28:50	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xa8cd1d…
10-20 02:26:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x88eb59…
10-20 02:08:15	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x2407bd…
10-19 22:44:14	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8,801	0¢	$9	0x2b4731…
10-19 21:40:28	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x49942e…
10-19 21:36:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x8580be…
10-19 21:35:27	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe9e914…
10-19 21:33:55	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xc43f89…