Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,119
$14,011 in 24h
Trades
82
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$35,452
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $787 | $166 | +$621 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| unranked | 36 | $787 | $151 | +$636 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bony-Fritter 0x024b…85ca | Yes | +1,664 | $228 | $228 | 2 | 05-05 17:59 |
| Superficial-Output 0x8565…0c43 | Yes | +1,042 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-05 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xac6b…a962 | Yes | +786 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-05 08:45 |
| Happy-Puritan 0xd2cc…b624 | Yes | +442 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-05 16:24 |
| Grounded-Hit 0x2a79…e2af | Yes | +233 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-05 13:10 |
| Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | +130 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-05 18:41 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +105 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-05 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cc4…1403 | Yes | +96 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-05 08:45 |
| Grumpy-Cart 0x2c19…b2f5 | Yes | +75 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 14:22 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | +41 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-05 11:55 |
| Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | Yes | +36 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 12:01 |
| Bland-Art 0x4a12…2ac7 | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 18:53 |
| Original-Blog 0x7608…7c72 | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5606…8ac2 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe46…8b21 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 22:04 |
| Shocking-Cirrus 0x7e8a…1e32 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 12:01 |
| Bulky-Sleet 0x382d…578f | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 12:47 |
| Diligent-Website 0x68ec…7c22 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:09 |
| Cheery-Pizza 0x6cb5…b230 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 20:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:25:04 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x9bef1f… |
| 05-05 21:25:04 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xf07894… |
| 05-05 21:25:04 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 27 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x6f3b61… |
| 05-05 21:25:02 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x1bca46… |
| 05-05 21:25:02 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xdb03ae… |
| 05-05 21:25:00 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xaa1e17… |
| 05-05 21:19:52 | Unwitting-Civilization 0x8905…b1cb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1aad1c… |
| 05-05 20:50:12 | Cheery-Pizza 0x6cb5…b230 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x527741… |
| 05-05 19:54:34 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | BUY | 105 | 86¢ | $90 | 0x9d97f1… |
| 05-05 19:37:28 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x8692c0… |
| 05-05 19:37:28 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xceaa97… |
| 05-05 19:37:28 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 38 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xc7456b… |
| 05-05 18:53:08 | (anonymous) 0x5606…8ac2 | No | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xf65a0a… |
| 05-05 18:53:08 | Bland-Art 0x4a12…2ac7 | No | BUY | 27 | 86¢ | $23 | 0xad8d49… |
| 05-05 18:41:18 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xa808bc… |
| 05-05 18:34:32 | Thorough-Statue 0xf262…c56d | Yes | SELL | 59 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x26957f… |
| 05-05 18:02:52 | Big-Hearted-Networking 0x47d7…df89 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x6596f9… |
| 05-05 17:59:50 | Bony-Fritter 0x024b…85ca | Yes | BUY | 416 | 16¢ | $66 | 0x946821… |
| 05-05 16:57:30 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x59f828… |
| 05-05 16:54:40 | Superficial-Output 0x8565…0c43 | Yes | BUY | 1,042 | 19¢ | $198 | 0x363ec5… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xbac39d… |
| 05-05 16:44:54 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 46 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x169ae2… |
| 05-05 16:44:52 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x98cae7… |
| 05-05 16:44:52 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xeea729… |
| 05-05 16:34:28 | Annual-Airmail 0x09ab…dd49 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x526458… |
| 05-05 16:24:48 | Happy-Puritan 0xd2cc…b624 | Yes | BUY | 442 | 18¢ | $80 | 0x312237… |
| 05-05 16:09:46 | Diligent-Website 0x68ec…7c22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x172c70… |
| 05-05 14:32:32 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x14d144… |
| 05-05 14:24:42 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x73aba5… |
| 05-05 14:24:42 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x6db3d3… |
| 05-05 14:24:42 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xc9b8c8… |
| 05-05 14:24:42 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0a6b7d… |
| 05-05 14:24:42 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x16530b… |
| 05-05 14:24:42 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5a545e… |
| 05-05 14:24:42 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x49d20a… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x120ce6… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x6bfdf9… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8cf9b2… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1ff944… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xd10fb8… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe43676… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xc4e81a… |
| 05-05 14:22:26 | Grumpy-Cart 0x2c19…b2f5 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 20¢ | $15 | 0x31ad26… |
| 05-05 13:57:12 | Quiet-Neuropsychiatry 0x3256…c1db | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x5bcc40… |
| 05-05 13:10:32 | Grounded-Hit 0x2a79…e2af | Yes | BUY | 233 | 19¢ | $44 | 0x2d8b0d… |
| 05-05 13:05:26 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x23b024… |
| 05-05 13:02:06 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xb1a52e… |
| 05-05 13:02:04 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x5effd2… |
| 05-05 13:02:04 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x1b07d9… |
| 05-05 13:02:02 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb6baba… |
| 05-05 13:02:02 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x996af9… |
| 05-05 13:02:00 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xa82e3f… |
| 05-05 13:00:24 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74b149… |
| 05-05 13:00:24 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x89d315… |
| 05-05 13:00:24 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x4aa3fd… |
| 05-05 13:00:24 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xb7d321… |
| 05-05 12:47:04 | Bulky-Sleet 0x382d…578f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc6509b… |
| 05-05 12:45:22 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x51ee77… |
| 05-05 12:01:52 | Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x48fa12… |
| 05-05 12:01:44 | Shocking-Cirrus 0x7e8a…1e32 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xde490c… |
| 05-05 11:55:24 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | BUY | 41 | 88¢ | $36 | 0xc14472… |
| 05-05 11:30:18 | Original-Blog 0x7608…7c72 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x6fc223… |
| 05-05 10:16:38 | Bony-Fritter 0x024b…85ca | Yes | BUY | 1,249 | 13¢ | $162 | 0xf28522… |
| 05-05 09:40:06 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x97b35d… |
| 05-05 08:50:14 | Violet-Complication 0xf201…b77c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1606e7… |
| 05-05 08:45:18 | Paltry-Neighbor 0xa472…ed4c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xbcba16… |
| 05-05 08:45:08 | (anonymous) 0x6cc4…1403 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 15¢ | $14 | 0x3065ef… |
| 05-05 08:45:08 | (anonymous) 0xac6b…a962 | Yes | BUY | 786 | 14¢ | $110 | 0x46d58f… |
| 05-05 08:36:30 | Quick-Witted-Synonym 0xa52a…2e8f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa701d6… |
| 05-05 08:30:56 | Amused-Degree 0x75f8…372c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6c507a… |
| 05-05 08:30:14 | Raw-Trooper 0x3ee6…1fa8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x817a99… |
| 05-05 08:16:08 | Tempting-Wampum 0x5f34…89c7 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x6c4056… |
| 05-05 07:25:20 | Unknown-Plea 0x491e…3489 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x22f75b… |
| 05-05 07:25:18 | Sore-Arm 0xf605…b676 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xc3a235… |
| 05-05 05:15:26 | Nifty-Hubris 0x5d3c…5467 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x2ef959… |
| 05-05 05:15:26 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x245792… |
| 05-05 02:25:00 | Narrow-Airport-Justification 0x983d…76ae | Yes | SELL | 59 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x1e0568… |
| 05-05 02:19:58 | Narrow-Airport-Justification 0x983d…76ae | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x4d0ce7… |
| 05-05 02:09:38 | Narrow-Airport-Justification 0x983d…76ae | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xdd89fa… |
| 05-04 23:59:46 | Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x98b880… |
| 05-04 22:04:44 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 20¢ | $11 | 0xdab9f8… |
| 05-04 22:04:28 | (anonymous) 0xbe46…8b21 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x7b6660… |