Original-Blog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

123

Trades

669

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-30 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 69% $-19

Other

35% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$13

Sports

3% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	3	$70	39	39	+0	open	—	04-14 06:21
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	3	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	04-20 20:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-12 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$46	33	33	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 08:09
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	04-13 08:07
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	3	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	04-08 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$40	22	22	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$32	25	25	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 08:34
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	3	$28	28	12	+16	open	—	04-15 15:21
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	06-20 18:38
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	3	$25	21	21	+1	open	—	04-14 15:41
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	06-21 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 21:59
bkbbl fc rie 2026 04 14	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-14 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 08:15
highest temperature in los angeles on april 22 2026 66 67f	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 04:15
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	1	$20	33	0	+33	Yes	+$13	04-24 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 16:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 13:14
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	06-26 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Up	$-3	05-07 05:30
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	06-20 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$16	11	6	+5	Down	+$1	05-07 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$15	11	5	+6	Down	+$1	05-07 16:54
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 0pt5	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	06-30 17:42
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	2	$14	18	18	+1	open	—	04-24 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:58:05	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa2e1cf…
06-30 22:55:35	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xad8a22…
06-30 20:15:40	btc updown 5m 1782850500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa97a53…
06-30 20:14:58	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x66e140…
06-30 20:12:35	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa48a45…
06-30 19:02:50	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x90d4f5…
06-30 18:05:19	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x607547…
06-30 17:57:50	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xf258b8…
06-30 17:44:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd8f713…
06-30 17:42:04	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x04f981…
06-30 17:32:17	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x184dc3…
06-29 03:01:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbbfd47…
06-29 03:01:29	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x9c9aca…
06-29 02:59:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x0a5a84…
06-28 16:27:19	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa180a0…
06-28 16:26:14	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcda359…
06-27 22:06:13	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5f883a…
06-27 15:01:56	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x522e37…
06-27 07:29:31	btc updown 5m 1782545100	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5cbb00…
06-27 07:27:55	btc updown 5m 1782545100	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6313c5…
06-27 07:27:35	btc updown 5m 1782545100	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x3564f5…
06-27 07:24:43	btc updown 5m 1782545100	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbe7855…
06-27 07:20:01	sol updown 5m 1782544500	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x182915…
06-27 07:16:46	sol updown 5m 1782544500	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1cbd66…
06-27 05:01:50	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf3396c…
06-26 22:18:37	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb7f2fb…
06-26 22:13:46	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5bdcb6…
06-26 20:31:32	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4bcef2…
06-26 20:18:34	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xb35ba5…
06-26 20:18:14	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x7bf07b…
06-26 20:15:37	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xeadb64…
06-26 15:21:13	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5f715b…
06-26 15:20:35	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x386a1a…
06-26 15:15:26	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfa7a85…
06-26 14:45:34	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xab5def…
06-26 05:52:52	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9d3bbd…
06-25 22:00:29	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x57d71a…
06-25 21:36:22	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x49a9e5…
06-25 21:36:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4723d0…
06-25 17:27:31	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8dee1e…
06-25 17:00:40	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe24c19…
06-25 16:56:32	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x308dc8…
06-24 22:06:08	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4feec5…
06-24 21:58:34	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x79d0b2…
06-24 21:54:20	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfb2fbb…
06-24 18:39:31	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 btts	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x37ccdd…
06-24 18:39:14	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf3fa6b…
06-24 10:28:11	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4ba599…
06-23 21:45:52	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x170c63…
06-23 20:12:37	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7523bb…
06-23 20:11:02	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0031bf…
06-23 17:34:49	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x75b11a…
06-23 17:34:46	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x10ad64…
06-23 15:07:19	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa3f357…
06-23 15:05:10	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x430bc8…
06-23 15:01:01	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x07f1cb…
06-22 22:43:28	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x29716f…
06-22 22:38:23	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x053f9d…
06-22 21:26:20	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe96e9c…
06-21 22:19:32	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1a73c5…
06-21 21:10:52	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x671266…
06-21 20:16:59	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x205db2…
06-21 15:45:29	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xecb100…
06-20 21:48:43	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5e737f…
06-20 21:35:01	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x336ad5…
06-20 20:27:02	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd676db…
06-20 20:22:50	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91af84…
06-20 19:02:58	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x35b99b…
06-20 18:56:10	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x1b5d9c…
06-20 18:40:55	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdd05d7…
06-20 18:38:58	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb73a97…
06-20 15:28:20	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6c7e9d…
06-19 11:32:28	btc updown 5m 1781868600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeeb93e…
06-19 11:14:41	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf5ff1b…
06-18 17:59:50	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc85d28…
06-18 17:59:38	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x93bbd8…
06-18 17:24:10	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x476130…
06-18 17:14:17	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5990a4…
06-17 18:35:38	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8ba255…
06-17 16:39:32	btc updown 5m 1781714100	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5a7abd…
06-13 10:09:46	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13	Natus Vincere	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x62e9d0…
06-13 09:20:07	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa910db…
06-10 18:36:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x528f83…
06-05 21:58:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x1d3f79…
05-30 18:08:43	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x509651…
05-14 13:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xf6875e…
05-14 13:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x616fe0…
05-14 13:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x47c240…
05-14 13:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x717fa0…
05-13 13:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x8457bc…
05-13 13:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa11edb…
05-13 06:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x87bd39…
05-12 21:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x989b2a…
05-12 21:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x692a6a…
05-12 21:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x6b2d8f…
05-12 21:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xac95d1…
05-12 21:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9ddf93…
05-12 21:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x53c25f…
05-12 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf0939d…
05-12 21:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xba907b…