Original-Blog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

123

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-05 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 69% $-19

Other

25% — —

Politics

8% 100% +$13

Sports

3% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	3	$70	39	39	+0	open	—	04-14 06:21
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	3	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	04-20 20:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-12 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$46	33	33	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 08:09
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	04-13 08:07
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	3	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	04-08 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$40	22	22	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$32	25	25	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 08:34
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	3	$28	28	12	+16	open	—	04-15 15:21
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	3	$25	21	21	+1	open	—	04-14 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 21:59
bkbbl fc rie 2026 04 14	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-14 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 08:15
highest temperature in los angeles on april 22 2026 66 67f	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 04:15
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	1	$20	33	0	+33	Yes	+$13	04-24 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 16:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Up	$-3	05-07 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$16	11	6	+5	Down	+$1	05-07 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$15	11	5	+6	Down	+$1	05-07 16:54
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	2	$14	18	18	+1	open	—	04-24 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$14	20	20	+0	Down	$-6	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 21:58:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x1d3f79…
05-30 18:08:43	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x509651…
05-14 13:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xf6875e…
05-14 13:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x616fe0…
05-14 13:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x47c240…
05-14 13:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x717fa0…
05-13 13:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x8457bc…
05-13 13:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa11edb…
05-13 06:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x87bd39…
05-12 21:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x989b2a…
05-12 21:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x692a6a…
05-12 21:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x6b2d8f…
05-12 21:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xac95d1…
05-12 21:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9ddf93…
05-12 21:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x53c25f…
05-12 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf0939d…
05-12 21:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xba907b…
05-12 21:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x96ebec…
05-12 21:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeee88e…
05-12 21:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe7a67d…
05-12 21:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x564ea5…
05-12 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1aed78…
05-12 21:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3239d9…
05-12 21:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x46a0f9…
05-12 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5126b0…
05-12 20:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x041b0f…
05-12 20:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa20581…
05-12 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3852d5…
05-12 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x7dead5…
05-12 16:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0acb9b…
05-12 16:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x5d3d5c…
05-12 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe31675…
05-12 16:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xd5f789…
05-12 16:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x319458…
05-12 15:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x7bc946…
05-12 15:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5a2d75…
05-12 15:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb9d58d…
05-11 16:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xc78cff…
05-11 16:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xf957ec…
05-11 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x2f1d8f…
05-11 16:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb08a6c…
05-11 16:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x2bdea4…
05-11 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf20a7a…
05-11 16:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x567c3f…
05-11 16:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xfe42e9…
05-11 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x645834…
05-11 05:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x3414a4…
05-11 05:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3da321…
05-10 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x46f1d2…
05-10 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1dd991…
05-10 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x7cf9b0…
05-10 21:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1be869…
05-10 21:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa345a1…
05-10 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x103357…
05-10 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x211f4c…
05-10 21:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb2caf1…
05-10 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x2c1564…
05-10 21:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x969ba2…
05-10 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x63720d…
05-10 21:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x570476…
05-10 10:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8c4a9e…
05-10 10:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x43f96c…
05-10 10:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf94b22…
05-10 10:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc16db1…
05-10 09:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0caeb6…
05-10 09:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x87a17e…
05-10 08:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf8763e…
05-10 08:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3d3070…
05-10 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xec1925…
05-10 08:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x1d835c…
05-10 08:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xfabc7d…
05-10 08:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x44abdb…
05-10 08:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xefcd05…
05-10 08:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x325a47…
05-10 08:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0x3c26fb…
05-10 08:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x28f926…
05-10 08:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdc1289…
05-10 08:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5b75ba…
05-10 08:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x550fbb…
05-10 08:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x815744…
05-10 07:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1c996f…
05-10 07:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8bf9e5…
05-10 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd8ba40…
05-10 06:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x62d016…
05-10 06:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbafe54…
05-09 17:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xeaeb9c…
05-09 17:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xa6131c…
05-09 17:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6089dc…
05-09 17:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x46b2d9…
05-09 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcb25e7…
05-09 17:14:11	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x87a733…
05-09 12:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5741da…
05-09 12:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x044299…
05-09 12:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7fa3f4…
05-09 12:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc993bc…
05-09 11:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x593cdc…
05-09 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2dfa42…
05-09 08:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcad03d…
05-09 08:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4a01e2…
05-09 08:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8717c8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	233	$245.0K	8,053	06-06 03:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	222	$86.7K	11,770	05-30 23:50
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	221	$71.1K	9,883	05-14 13:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	208	$70.5K	19,919	05-14 13:39
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	208	$61.5K	18,555	05-14 13:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	203	$511.6K	21,114	05-13 13:44
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	203	$17.7K	4,222	05-14 13:39
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	200	$230.0K	27,037	05-14 13:39