Narrow-Airport-Justification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

8,408

lifetime

Volume

$6.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-06 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

72% 17% $-1

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Sports

4% 20% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 1619 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	14	$383	937	937	+0	open	—	04-22 03:01
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	10	$314	720	716	+4	open	—	04-22 17:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	45	$286	1,261	1,261	+0	open	—	04-26 03:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$251	400	400	+0	open	—	05-05 09:55
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	6	$221	449	449	+0	open	—	04-18 23:51
Kash Patel out by April 30?	12	$195	793	793	+0	open	—	04-25 08:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$174	550	550	+0	open	—	05-06 03:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	12	$173	515	515	+0	open	—	04-24 21:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$172	513	513	+0	open	—	04-22 09:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	10	$161	223	223	+0	open	—	04-21 17:36
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	15	$136	513	513	+0	open	—	04-22 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	19	$135	492	492	+0	open	—	04-24 19:31
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	19	$129	543	543	+0	open	—	04-21 09:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$128	571	571	+0	No	+$0	05-03 21:19
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	8	$126	506	506	+0	open	—	04-19 20:07
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	26	$114	494	494	+0	open	—	04-24 03:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	4	$111	469	469	+0	open	—	04-22 09:51
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	4	$103	175	175	+0	open	—	04-18 13:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	11	$102	386	386	+0	open	—	04-25 14:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$102	361	361	+0	open	—	05-03 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$95	412	412	+0	open	—	05-05 12:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$95	343	343	+0	open	—	04-25 11:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$90	266	266	+0	open	—	04-18 13:43
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$77	134	134	+0	open	—	04-19 08:39
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$76	239	239	+0	open	—	04-19 07:23
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$76	280	280	+0	open	—	04-18 20:13
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	21	$74	232	232	+0	open	—	04-18 23:35
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$74	155	155	+0	open	—	04-18 20:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$67	268	268	+0	open	—	04-21 14:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$65	43	43	+0	open	—	04-18 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:21:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	308	12¢	$38	0x7f937b…
05-06 03:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0x27336c…
05-06 03:01:08	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	170	7¢	$11	0x700b18…
05-06 02:59:12	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0xf5f28d…
05-06 00:29:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x26b7dc…
05-06 00:20:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xecfee9…
05-05 19:01:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	243	20¢	$47	0x5d643f…
05-05 19:00:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	243	20¢	$49	0x990437…
05-05 17:23:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	SELL	61	53¢	$32	0x0a96f5…
05-05 17:23:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0xbc7c2f…
05-05 12:07:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	412	11¢	$46	0x7f6802…
05-05 11:58:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	412	12¢	$49	0x80dd8e…
05-05 09:55:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	26¢	$64	0x7d77d5…
05-05 09:53:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	28¢	$68	0x13b757…
05-04 11:21:26	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0x6fca13…
05-03 23:43:20	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x62d398…
05-03 23:43:18	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x72cca4…
05-03 23:43:02	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x8e789e…
05-03 22:10:10	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	323	8¢	$26	0x7cda4e…
05-03 22:05:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	323	12¢	$39	0x7041e1…
05-03 21:19:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xbd1d13…
05-03 21:19:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc0cc8c…
05-03 21:18:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x30b536…
05-03 21:18:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xb2f72a…
05-03 21:03:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xd72ed5…
05-03 21:02:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe58156…
05-03 20:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	361	13¢	$48	0x2164d2…
05-03 20:32:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	361	15¢	$54	0x66ed35…
05-03 18:46:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	111	11¢	$12	0x7772f8…
05-03 18:43:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0xa2e831…
05-03 18:41:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	112	11¢	$12	0xadb4ac…
05-03 18:40:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0xe34bd9…
05-03 18:37:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	316	11¢	$35	0xe0aded…
05-03 18:36:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	316	11¢	$35	0x3c25a0…
05-03 17:09:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	38¢	$59	0x963b29…
05-03 17:05:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	39¢	$60	0x97357c…
04-26 23:45:20	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xeed73d…
04-26 23:40:18	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8866e9…
04-26 23:19:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x300762…
04-26 23:15:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4e4b3b…
04-26 23:12:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xa97b22…
04-26 23:12:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8a50e5…
04-26 22:23:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x79b6d5…
04-26 22:20:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xa3704a…
04-26 22:08:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x7e6d68…
04-26 22:04:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xde4369…
04-26 20:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x0b88b9…
04-26 20:32:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0xae1abf…
04-26 07:30:10	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x72756f…
04-26 07:25:08	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x216ee2…
04-26 07:08:32	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x1b2362…
04-26 06:34:26	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x8ee207…
04-26 06:33:44	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x912093…
04-26 03:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0xd7addd…
04-26 02:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	12¢	$7	0x9224de…
04-25 18:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x53c01c…
04-25 17:56:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0x42392d…
04-25 17:14:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0x66676b…
04-25 17:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0xf34b9f…
04-25 17:04:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	10¢	$6	0x2f22eb…
04-25 17:04:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x829d7c…
04-25 15:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xefee7a…
04-25 15:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xccf314…
04-25 15:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xe8267c…
04-25 14:37:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	11¢	$7	0xf54c2e…
04-25 14:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	11¢	$7	0xbbac3d…
04-25 14:26:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0x764b0f…
04-25 14:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0xeb8947…
04-25 14:05:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x2c1acd…
04-25 14:01:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbeb7c7…
04-25 12:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	10¢	$10	0xb63095…
04-25 12:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	11¢	$11	0x63b2c9…
04-25 11:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	12¢	$11	0x5fd48b…
04-25 11:56:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	13¢	$12	0x02d9b9…
04-25 11:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	12¢	$13	0x4f804e…
04-25 11:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	12¢	$12	0xeeb7c7…
04-25 09:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	11¢	$13	0x2b1d1b…
04-25 09:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	11¢	$13	0x7e435e…
04-25 08:15:08	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	141	9¢	$13	0x5b0403…
04-25 08:10:48	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	141	11¢	$15	0x7df92e…
04-25 05:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	14¢	$15	0x3a741f…
04-25 05:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	15¢	$16	0xf60323…
04-25 03:39:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	12¢	$17	0xefcdff…
04-25 03:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	12¢	$18	0xec311f…
04-25 03:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x9c3deb…
04-25 03:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	16¢	$12	0x47a977…
04-25 03:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	16¢	$12	0x992ee8…
04-24 22:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	22¢	$12	0x889647…
04-24 22:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	23¢	$13	0x2bcc3c…
04-24 21:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	19¢	$11	0x1510e1…
04-24 21:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	19¢	$11	0x708285…
04-24 21:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x8ec30a…
04-24 21:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xfa5fb4…
04-24 19:31:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	12¢	$15	0xcbb48e…
04-24 19:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	13¢	$16	0x91e75a…
04-24 17:08:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	98	11¢	$11	0x2bd84c…
04-24 17:04:08	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	98	11¢	$11	0x0b6062…
04-24 15:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	18¢	$17	0x677fed…
04-24 15:38:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	20¢	$18	0xa64ec4…
04-24 14:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	11¢	$19	0x292025…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44	487	$505	6,481	05-31 17:49
(anonymous) 0x5aec…904b	465	$132.3K	5,020	04-28 00:04
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	459	$45.1K	38,795	04-28 09:29
Quaint-Marmalade 0x2651…1b4e	371	$2.98K	4,825	04-30 18:55
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	370	$7.89K	2,542	05-29 19:21
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	339	$247.1K	24,297	04-21 15:15
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	322	$11.2K	1,207	04-28 07:27
Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507	315	$124.8K	4,708	04-28 09:53