Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,562
$22,123 in 24h
Trades
85
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$36,518
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-53.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $157
vs crowd: 53% YES on $983)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $522 | $461 | +$61 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $157 | $157 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 1 | $150 | — | +$150 |
| unranked | 40 | $370 | $304 | +$66 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sentimental-Litigation 0x0f6a…61f0 | Yes | +492 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Grown-Weeder 0xd90f…b6da | No | +222 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 05-05 16:02 |
| Perfect-Convenience 0x9150…26f4 | Yes | +172 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 19:03 |
| Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | +157 | $124 | $275 | 3 | 05-05 18:14 |
| Grumpy-Cart 0x2c19…b2f5 | Yes | +150 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-05 12:40 |
| Equal-Strike 0xc451…958c | Yes | +110 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-05 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x82f1…6a20 | Yes | +103 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 18:58 |
| Honest-Sycamore 0xd354…4d78 | Yes | +61 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-05 14:59 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | +56 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-05 19:21 |
| Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | +53 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-05 19:53 |
| Unconscious-Discipline 0x1e50…98f0 | Yes | +50 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 16:29 |
| Considerate-Wiseguy 0xa6fb…554c | Yes | +48 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 20:13 |
| Next-Leisure 0x798f…cef0 | Yes | +41 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-05 14:37 |
| Compassionate-Immortal 0xade9…9ec3 | Yes | +37 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 12:40 |
| Euphoric-Talk 0x7849…da97 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 20:34 |
| Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | No | +32 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-04 23:59 |
| Productive-Bitten 0x97cc…d3a5 | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e2d…f77f | Yes | +26 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 07:05 |
| Orange-Randomization 0x785a…6b22 | Yes | +25 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 17:47 |
| Thunderous-Kielbasa 0x4020…ce0b | No | +21 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 15:57 |
| Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 12:01 |
| Scientific-Chair 0x461e…ec51 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 15:44 |
| Useless-Robot-Statistics 0xe1c8…8874 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 14:00 |
| Essential-Proceedings 0x10cd…f37b | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb67d…2c51 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 14:24 |
| Flickering-Rag 0xb228…8efa | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 10:41 |
| Idle-Champion 0x0679…fcef | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:44 |
| Icky-Disposer-Creation 0xfe1d…d34a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:54 |
| Careless-Stepsister 0xd35e…a1e8 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x88e9…6fbd | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 19:21 |
| Diligent-Website 0x68ec…7c22 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 10:40 |
| Eminent-Inheritance 0x52f1…8fc9 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 06:04 |
| New-Segment 0xdb96…7753 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:22 |
| Weekly-Chops 0x5aba…9ddf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:52 |
| Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:25:04 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x548e03… |
| 05-05 21:25:02 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x572e4c… |
| 05-05 21:25:02 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0xb2166c… |
| 05-05 21:25:00 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x84cd2d… |
| 05-05 21:09:52 | Square-Publisher 0xfae0…b443 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x4b9385… |
| 05-05 20:34:54 | Euphoric-Talk 0x7849…da97 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x21adfc… |
| 05-05 20:14:16 | (anonymous) 0x88e9…6fbd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x728e3e… |
| 05-05 20:13:38 | Considerate-Wiseguy 0xa6fb…554c | Yes | BUY | 48 | 31¢ | $15 | 0x071b71… |
| 05-05 20:01:36 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xa0f40a… |
| 05-05 20:01:34 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x3899f3… |
| 05-05 19:53:02 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 31¢ | $8 | 0x7412b4… |
| 05-05 19:47:28 | Productive-Bitten 0x97cc…d3a5 | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x51c58f… |
| 05-05 19:41:34 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xdbca1c… |
| 05-05 19:37:28 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x23ce24… |
| 05-05 19:37:28 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x8f2f05… |
| 05-05 19:37:28 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x9b172b… |
| 05-05 19:31:26 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xb57581… |
| 05-05 19:31:26 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x36aa19… |
| 05-05 19:31:26 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x5ef5e8… |
| 05-05 19:31:26 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x04ef46… |
| 05-05 19:26:28 | Smug-Chemical 0x7546…1293 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xf17d43… |
| 05-05 19:21:12 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | BUY | 56 | 72¢ | $40 | 0x18edd4… |
| 05-05 19:21:12 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x4285c5… |
| 05-05 19:03:00 | Perfect-Convenience 0x9150…26f4 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 29¢ | $50 | 0x90c130… |
| 05-05 18:58:20 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xd04e97… |
| 05-05 18:58:20 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x604fb3… |
| 05-05 18:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x82f1…6a20 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 29¢ | $30 | 0x567a4c… |
| 05-05 18:57:24 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xc8db41… |
| 05-05 18:22:44 | New-Segment 0xdb96…7753 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x4bf67d… |
| 05-05 18:14:44 | Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | BUY | 139 | 72¢ | $100 | 0x803837… |
| 05-05 17:49:50 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | SELL | 280 | 29¢ | $81 | 0x9e1af4… |
| 05-05 17:47:38 | Orange-Randomization 0x785a…6b22 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x5f18bb… |
| 05-05 17:24:48 | Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x4cd1f2… |
| 05-05 16:54:54 | Icky-Disposer-Creation 0xfe1d…d34a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x0c52ec… |
| 05-05 16:54:36 | Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | SELL | 108 | 70¢ | $75 | 0xe43f52… |
| 05-05 16:52:42 | Weekly-Chops 0x5aba…9ddf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x6adbb5… |
| 05-05 16:49:26 | Equal-Strike 0xc451…958c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x876d99… |
| 05-05 16:47:34 | Equal-Strike 0xc451…958c | Yes | BUY | 103 | 30¢ | $31 | 0x3d2e0e… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x725df5… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xab4e72… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x929484… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xb21e9d… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x5c93ce… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x3702be… |
| 05-05 16:44:56 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xb3d69a… |
| 05-05 16:44:54 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x2b9f1b… |
| 05-05 16:44:54 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x0c3558… |
| 05-05 16:44:54 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 23 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x4dc163… |
| 05-05 16:44:52 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x8ec1db… |
| 05-05 16:44:52 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 31¢ | $16 | 0xdb55a4… |
| 05-05 16:44:52 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0xcbdd9e… |
| 05-05 16:39:54 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x45883c… |
| 05-05 16:39:54 | Sentimental-Litigation 0x0f6a…61f0 | Yes | BUY | 492 | 30¢ | $150 | 0xfd29a1… |
| 05-05 16:39:54 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x97d9f8… |
| 05-05 16:29:48 | Unconscious-Discipline 0x1e50…98f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0xece3b6… |
| 05-05 16:17:30 | Essential-Proceedings 0x10cd…f37b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x44a6d7… |
| 05-05 16:07:20 | Careless-Stepsister 0xd35e…a1e8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x9f994b… |
| 05-05 16:02:26 | Grown-Weeder 0xd90f…b6da | No | BUY | 222 | 71¢ | $157 | 0x6f6bdf… |
| 05-05 15:57:26 | Thunderous-Kielbasa 0x4020…ce0b | No | BUY | 21 | 70¢ | $15 | 0x79b48d… |
| 05-05 15:44:54 | Scientific-Chair 0x461e…ec51 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xe19744… |
| 05-05 14:59:42 | Honest-Sycamore 0xd354…4d78 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 31¢ | $19 | 0x6c9a97… |
| 05-05 14:37:26 | Next-Leisure 0x798f…cef0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xec793e… |
| 05-05 14:24:52 | (anonymous) 0xb67d…2c51 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xf619d4… |
| 05-05 14:24:38 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 36 | 30¢ | $11 | 0x1559ac… |
| 05-05 14:24:38 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xb79b62… |
| 05-05 14:00:34 | Useless-Robot-Statistics 0xe1c8…8874 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x64fd8c… |
| 05-05 12:45:22 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x9e6695… |
| 05-05 12:40:30 | Compassionate-Immortal 0xade9…9ec3 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xe635a5… |
| 05-05 12:40:22 | Grumpy-Cart 0x2c19…b2f5 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 25¢ | $38 | 0x319a30… |
| 05-05 12:01:56 | Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x48e854… |
| 05-05 11:26:42 | Next-Leisure 0x798f…cef0 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x27fd5f… |
| 05-05 11:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x1246…785a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x7b2f15… |
| 05-05 11:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x1246…785a | Yes | SELL | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xbec483… |
| 05-05 11:05:24 | Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | BUY | 126 | 79¢ | $100 | 0x502668… |
| 05-05 10:41:28 | Flickering-Rag 0xb228…8efa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x95c47f… |
| 05-05 10:40:10 | Diligent-Website 0x68ec…7c22 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3d0a7b… |
| 05-05 09:40:16 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xb19b74… |
| 05-05 09:40:06 | Bony-Fritter 0x024b…85ca | Yes | SELL | 382 | 21¢ | $80 | 0x2404ee… |
| 05-05 09:16:08 | Oddball-Canteen 0x5c3f…4590 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 21¢ | $27 | 0x6cbeb7… |
| 05-05 07:05:08 | (anonymous) 0x4e2d…f77f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xca1dca… |
| 05-05 06:04:54 | Eminent-Inheritance 0x52f1…8fc9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x345e9a… |
| 05-04 23:59:44 | Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | No | BUY | 17 | 76¢ | $13 | 0xcb6122… |
| 05-04 20:44:42 | Idle-Champion 0x0679…fcef | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xce945e… |
| 05-04 20:02:38 | Required-Earrings 0xcc13…c991 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd36b0c… |
| 05-04 20:01:26 | Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | No | BUY | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0xead00f… |