Thunderous-Kielbasa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

435

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-11 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

38% 0% —

Other

36% 33% +$6

Sports

19% 100% +$3

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	14	$36	134	140	-6	open	—	05-29 20:46
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	4	$30	62	62	+0	open	—	06-04 05:45
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$29	43	43	+0	open	—	04-25 15:40
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?	5	$29	34	34	-0	open	—	06-02 15:49
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	4	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	06-02 18:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	3	$18	26	26	+0	open	—	06-07 19:55
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	7	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	06-06 18:25
will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	3	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	06-08 17:40
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 09:42
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	3	$13	47	47	+0	open	—	06-04 12:43
will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	3	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	06-10 12:15
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	2	$13	49	49	+0	open	—	06-03 02:35
mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	2	$13	16	15	+1	open	—	06-07 21:12
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	7	$13	115	52	+63	open	—	06-08 14:30
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 06:34
will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	2	$13	30	30	+0	open	—	06-09 13:05
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$12	86	86	+0	open	—	06-03 23:34
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	6	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 15:12
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	7	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	04-28 05:11
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 19:07
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:06
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	3	$11	16	9	+7	open	—	06-12 06:22
will trump speak to xi jinping in june	2	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	06-04 21:40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	04-01 13:26
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 14:17
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	5	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 18:31
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	06-05 22:47
will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	06-05 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 04:43:07	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x2d8788…
07-11 01:31:53	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x14edb5…
07-07 22:39:40	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xea82a0…
07-07 15:22:14	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x5f4970…
07-07 14:12:11	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd10417…
07-05 20:09:52	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x6e0de2…
07-05 15:26:20	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x950539…
07-04 23:21:47	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8fed78…
07-04 17:12:29	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x738bf1…
07-03 13:55:29	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0b0bee…
07-03 07:34:41	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf70f82…
07-02 23:17:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd8e0cb…
06-23 13:47:38	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x2d1675…
06-20 01:54:43	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa45ecb…
06-19 19:01:37	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x7ce2fd…
06-19 13:03:19	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	No	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xc6995d…
06-19 11:19:35	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x3984f4…
06-19 07:49:40	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x551d04…
06-19 02:10:37	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x7b4a58…
06-18 05:51:04	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x06b4c1…
06-18 03:19:35	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xc5724c…
06-18 02:46:02	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x69a455…
06-17 16:59:53	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb9a6ca…
06-17 12:27:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x4521c6…
06-17 02:01:03	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2174d9…
06-16 21:05:31	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd0d9e6…
06-16 20:59:13	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x94ed9b…
06-16 19:12:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe77c87…
06-16 16:30:07	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xd7805a…
06-16 15:59:58	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb7474e…
06-16 15:22:14	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x6e2356…
06-16 08:33:57	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xca03bf…
06-15 03:09:57	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xc6695e…
06-15 00:20:49	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x58b286…
06-15 00:17:04	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x111aac…
06-14 09:19:27	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x596a61…
06-14 07:54:57	will 9z qualify to the iem cologne 2026 playoffs	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x3ec4f4…
06-14 01:35:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe94b8c…
06-13 09:03:31	Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x0dbba4…
06-13 08:23:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Curaçao	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6aa247…
06-13 07:50:16	Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x972313…
06-13 07:01:49	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 2pt5	Qatar	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x56fad8…
06-13 00:34:31	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x239654…
06-12 23:15:21	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xb94488…
06-12 20:40:33	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x65c40f…
06-12 17:16:24	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x8da2c3…
06-12 15:04:34	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	BetBoom Team	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xc9fc32…
06-12 14:30:00	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Curaçao	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0e48ed…
06-12 14:20:45	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xebf3dc…
06-12 12:52:22	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2cec4c…
06-12 12:00:58	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xa93f01…
06-12 11:24:13	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x0949cc…
06-12 07:48:34	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x79f8c0…
06-12 07:00:46	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0fec3e…
06-12 06:22:16	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x418ce6…
06-12 05:03:25	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x418616…
06-12 00:57:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Curaçao	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d02f3…
06-11 23:28:34	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x19fbac…
06-11 20:47:49	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x485fe1…
06-11 20:35:48	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe84aa8…
06-11 19:30:36	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x4e3fbb…
06-11 18:41:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xe53673…
06-11 18:41:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x1bb831…
06-11 17:56:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x3b9e9f…
06-11 17:21:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbfd3fd…
06-11 04:23:03	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	FUT Esports	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfff7bd…
06-11 03:40:51	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x509f9a…
06-10 22:33:18	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xdc7f6f…
06-10 22:33:18	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	SELL	61	4¢	$3	0xa637c2…
06-10 21:56:48	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x354c29…
06-10 21:50:19	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x132fec…
06-10 21:17:39	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x4156fd…
06-10 18:20:00	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xc82d63…
06-10 17:45:25	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9bb5b0…
06-10 17:39:34	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x72ab35…
06-10 17:28:39	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xac88f0…
06-10 13:14:28	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xb80a00…
06-10 12:15:31	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xa97c57…
06-10 09:40:34	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x95f1ca…
06-10 04:47:04	mlb mil oak 2026 06 09	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xef2515…
06-10 01:29:45	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x01ea20…
06-10 00:02:40	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x6d0fd8…
06-09 23:57:48	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x73ecb1…
06-09 23:25:22	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc619e9…
06-09 17:49:55	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 2pt5	Qatar	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfcf349…
06-09 13:05:46	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xcb9201…
06-09 12:33:06	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x9dc679…
06-09 11:10:33	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	No	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xa742c9…
06-09 11:09:09	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe6bd6c…
06-09 11:09:09	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6cb227…
06-09 03:33:39	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf7bf45…
06-09 01:03:19	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 9 20260607232624533	No	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x85948c…
06-09 00:31:03	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 9 20260607232624533	No	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x3a1417…
06-08 21:49:55	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd8629f…
06-08 20:19:21	bkfr1 nan2 mon 2026 06 08	Nanterre	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x0eb1de…
06-08 19:00:30	bkfr1 nan2 mon 2026 06 08	Nanterre	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3c5c65…
06-08 17:40:49	will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	Yes	SELL	23	33¢	$8	0x3e6fec…
06-08 14:30:42	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0x9e3f6a…
06-08 13:47:27	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x433692…
06-08 11:13:30	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xceb78b…