Thunderous-Kielbasa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

307

Trades

715

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-13 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

49% 38% -$1

Politics

32% 32% -$38

Sports

13% 40% +$22

Tech

4% 21% -$12

Crypto

2% 10% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	8	$38	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:21
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	15	$37	60	55	+6	Yes	-$6	06-12 20:10
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	15	$36	135	140	-5	No	-$4	05-29 20:46
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	7	$35	23	23	+0	No	+$6	05-26 23:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$32	21	21	+0	No	+$2	05-07 01:24
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	4	$30	62	62	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 05:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$30	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-01 03:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$29	21	21	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 23:13
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$29	43	43	+0	No	+$19	04-25 15:40
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?	5	$29	34	34	-0	Yes	-$5	06-02 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	4	$26	31	31	+0	No	-$2	05-06 05:15
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	4	$26	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 18:30
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	4	$24	36	36	+0	Yes	-$3	05-26 23:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	4	$22	59	30	+30	Yes	-$6	05-04 06:22
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	2	$21	17	13	+4	No	+$9	05-20 01:39
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	3	$18	26	26	+0	Yes	+$4	06-07 19:55
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	7	$18	23	23	+0	No	-$2	06-06 18:25
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	2	$17	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 19:49
will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	3	$17	23	23	+0	No	-$2	06-08 17:40
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$17	20	20	+0	No	-$1	05-05 20:35
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	5	$16	16	16	+0	No	+$1	06-05 00:23
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?	4	$15	21	21	+0	No	+$2	06-03 10:59
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-06 09:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$15	19	0	+19	No	+$4	05-08 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	+$5	05-11 03:33
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	4	$14	16	16	+0	No	-$3	06-13 19:04
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	2	$14	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 03:11
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$14	98	98	+0	No	+$0	05-21 20:37
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	4	$14	14	14	-0	Yes	+$2	06-06 01:51
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	3	$13	47	47	+0	No	-$3	06-04 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 17:26:17	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xea69f2…
07-11 12:51:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x88de86…
07-11 11:03:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xa78857…
07-11 04:43:07	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x2d8788…
07-11 01:31:53	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x14edb5…
07-10 22:17:07	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xbdf009…
07-10 16:45:43	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf20ee2…
07-09 19:40:10	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xf0f430…
07-09 17:17:52	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x864744…
07-09 15:10:52	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd091ff…
07-09 03:49:16	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2f8d24…
07-08 19:15:44	Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x7a6034…
07-08 00:37:49	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x722687…
07-07 22:39:40	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xea82a0…
07-07 15:22:14	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x5f4970…
07-07 14:12:11	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd10417…
07-07 06:53:04	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9cd19b…
07-06 09:25:44	Will Erling Haaland record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb556eb…
07-06 04:55:43	Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf7aebc…
07-05 20:09:52	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x6e0de2…
07-05 19:35:32	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf6e9f1…
07-05 15:26:20	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x950539…
07-05 03:36:40	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe1513e…
07-04 23:21:47	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8fed78…
07-04 17:12:29	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x738bf1…
07-03 13:55:29	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0b0bee…
07-03 12:48:50	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x989ea6…
07-03 10:38:08	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x4a3baf…
07-03 07:34:41	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf70f82…
07-02 23:49:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xabcb45…
07-02 23:17:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd8e0cb…
07-02 23:12:34	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xc9e309…
06-23 13:47:38	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x2d1675…
06-20 17:30:29	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd96a83…
06-20 01:54:43	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa45ecb…
06-20 01:54:43	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-10 House seat?	No	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x14f405…
06-19 19:01:37	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x7ce2fd…
06-19 13:03:19	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	No	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xc6995d…
06-19 11:19:35	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x3984f4…
06-19 07:49:40	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x551d04…
06-19 02:10:37	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x7b4a58…
06-18 05:51:04	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x06b4c1…
06-18 03:19:35	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xc5724c…
06-18 02:46:02	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x69a455…
06-17 16:59:53	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb9a6ca…
06-17 12:27:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x4521c6…
06-17 02:01:03	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2174d9…
06-16 21:05:31	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd0d9e6…
06-16 20:59:13	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x94ed9b…
06-16 19:12:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe77c87…
06-16 16:30:07	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xd7805a…
06-16 15:59:58	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb7474e…
06-16 15:22:14	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x6e2356…
06-16 08:33:57	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xca03bf…
06-15 20:36:27	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xd679b2…
06-15 03:09:57	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xc6695e…
06-15 01:00:16	Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xb5cee2…
06-15 00:20:49	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x58b286…
06-15 00:17:04	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x111aac…
06-14 22:51:48	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x871d9a…
06-14 17:49:13	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x601afb…
06-14 14:54:52	GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xe4bfc8…
06-14 13:30:12	Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x7f3ae7…
06-14 10:38:06	Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?	No	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xb92561…
06-14 09:19:27	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x596a61…
06-14 07:54:57	will 9z qualify to the iem cologne 2026 playoffs	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x3ec4f4…
06-14 07:06:48	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Curaçao	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x0175de…
06-14 06:30:48	Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x63d742…
06-14 01:35:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe94b8c…
06-13 19:04:37	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x17f2e2…
06-13 09:03:31	Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x0dbba4…
06-13 08:23:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Curaçao	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6aa247…
06-13 07:50:16	Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x972313…
06-13 07:01:49	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 2pt5	Qatar	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x56fad8…
06-13 07:01:48	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x691959…
06-13 00:34:31	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x239654…
06-12 23:15:21	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in june 2026	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xb94488…
06-12 20:40:33	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x65c40f…
06-12 20:10:22	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x263059…
06-12 18:45:19	Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x82c02a…
06-12 17:16:24	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x8da2c3…
06-12 15:04:34	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	BetBoom Team	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xc9fc32…
06-12 14:30:00	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Curaçao	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0e48ed…
06-12 14:20:45	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xebf3dc…
06-12 12:52:22	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2cec4c…
06-12 12:00:58	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xa93f01…
06-12 11:24:13	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x0949cc…
06-12 09:51:51	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb86975…
06-12 07:48:34	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x79f8c0…
06-12 07:00:46	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0fec3e…
06-12 06:22:16	Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x418ce6…
06-12 05:03:25	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x418616…
06-12 03:48:48	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb02e0d…
06-12 00:57:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Curaçao	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d02f3…
06-11 23:28:34	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x19fbac…
06-11 21:46:43	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x70550f…
06-11 20:47:49	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x485fe1…
06-11 20:35:48	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe84aa8…
06-11 20:32:09	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xe23509…
06-11 19:30:36	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x4e3fbb…