Realized P&L
-$662
Unrealized P&L
+$375
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
302
Trades
1,495
lifetime
Volume
$107.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$2.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 06-18 13:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
66% 60% +$952
Sports
11% 38% -$409
Politics
11% 56% -$1,030
Crypto
10% 45% -$238
Tech
2% 80% +$63
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +427 $352 94¢ $399 +$47 05-14 17:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +294 $218 97¢ $285 +$67 05-11 11:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +290 $191 86¢ $250 +$59 05-11 11:53
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +267 $232 93¢ $248 +$16 05-14 18:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +256 $196 94¢ $242 +$46 05-13 01:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +213 $149 99¢ $211 +$62 05-14 03:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +192 $180 98¢ $188 +$9 05-16 12:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +173 $97 84¢ $144 +$48 05-14 05:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +150 $115 84¢ $125 +$10 05-19 13:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +117 $80 92¢ $108 +$29 05-11 11:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +117 $98 90¢ $106 +$8 05-10 20:43
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +100 $94 95¢ $95 +$1 06-04 13:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +107 $77 82¢ $87 +$10 05-11 20:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +91 $12 96¢ $87 +$75 05-19 15:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +78 $72 96¢ $75 +$2 05-12 01:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +48 $42 98¢ $48 +$6 05-18 15:38
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +200 $50 8¢ $15 -$35 05-19 00:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +8 $6 98¢ $7 +$1 06-05 15:39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +399 $80 2¢ $7 -$73 05-11 02:41
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2,143 $15 0¢ $3 -$12 05-11 11:49
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $0 05-17 16:14
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +1 $0 97¢ $1 +$1 05-17 16:13
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +1 $3 97¢ $1 -$2 05-17 11:07
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +1 $0 99¢ $1 +$1 05-12 13:23
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$0 05-17 16:20
Human moon landing in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-18 13:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $7 92¢ $1 -$7 05-17 16:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +0 -$5 96¢ $0 +$5 05-17 16:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $2 98¢ $0 -$1 05-17 16:14
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +0 -$2 94¢ $0 +$3 05-17 16:19