Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?
open
Total volume
$676
$1,860 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$2,413
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 18:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $348
vs crowd: 18% YES on $569)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $468 | $468 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $100 | — | +$100 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $348 | $348 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 8 | $48 | — | +$48 |
| Below median | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $17 | $121 | $104 |
| unranked | 7 | $27 | — | +$27 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddball-Colonisation 0x923f…1346 | Yes | +378 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 02:24 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | +360 | $348 | $348 | 4 | 05-07 02:58 |
| Splendid-Ashtray 0x6402…fa3a | Yes | +253 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-11 14:33 |
| Sentimental-Litigation 0x0f6a…61f0 | Yes | +200 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-09 18:15 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 05-10 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c6e…5a68 | Yes | +68 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 10:36 |
| Giant-Agriculture 0xe6e6…ebf2 | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 15:06 |
| Nutritious-Pan 0x40b2…5125 | Yes | +37 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 13:26 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 03:17 |
| Tall-Allegation 0x00ed…7b53 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:48 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0be…6605 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:40 |
| Anchored-Blackfish 0x17c9…5d62 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 20:44 |
| Disastrous-Duffel 0x9aef…2d14 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:51 |
| Marvelous-Platform 0xd2d2…6b6b | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:21 |
| Fitting-Aglet 0xf9ba…0bd4 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 15:47 |
| Mad-Shopper 0xf747…6429 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:22 |
| Little-Subsidiary 0x24eb…345e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:22 |
| Red-Mattock 0xcf18…b9e3 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:22 |
| Agreeable-Mansard 0x7acb…9414 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:14:34 | Irresponsible-Retouching 0x0f63…95ff | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc209bc… |
| 05-11 14:33:29 | Splendid-Ashtray 0x6402…fa3a | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x804bcc… |
| 05-11 14:32:21 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x84d208… |
| 05-11 14:13:16 | Splendid-Ashtray 0x6402…fa3a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xa18bf1… |
| 05-11 13:43:08 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xdf9378… |
| 05-11 13:43:07 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x73ab35… |
| 05-11 13:43:07 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x8b3da7… |
| 05-11 13:43:05 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x86ea6d… |
| 05-11 13:43:05 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x200f0a… |
| 05-11 13:43:03 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x1d2d64… |
| 05-11 13:43:01 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x95b216… |
| 05-11 13:42:58 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xfe049d… |
| 05-11 10:38:12 | Agreeable-Mansard 0x7acb…9414 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x61aebd… |
| 05-11 10:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c6e…5a68 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x0628e5… |
| 05-11 02:24:54 | Oddball-Colonisation 0x923f…1346 | Yes | BUY | 378 | 11¢ | $40 | 0xfa4251… |
| 05-10 15:47:50 | Fitting-Aglet 0xf9ba…0bd4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5c6d37… |
| 05-10 15:06:13 | Giant-Agriculture 0xe6e6…ebf2 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xb71a1d… |
| 05-10 14:06:24 | Irresponsible-Retouching 0x0f63…95ff | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfe5d06… |
| 05-10 14:06:19 | Irresponsible-Retouching 0x0f63…95ff | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd5a95b… |
| 05-10 13:51:51 | Disastrous-Duffel 0x9aef…2d14 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1fbef5… |
| 05-10 13:27:29 | Weekly-Bed 0x99a5…71a5 | Yes | SELL | 467 | 7¢ | $34 | 0xf54776… |
| 05-10 13:26:07 | Nutritious-Pan 0x40b2…5125 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x48fddc… |
| 05-10 13:22:37 | Red-Mattock 0xcf18…b9e3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9f622b… |
| 05-10 13:22:23 | Mad-Shopper 0xf747…6429 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x392aaa… |
| 05-10 13:22:21 | Little-Subsidiary 0x24eb…345e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd1b1f5… |
| 05-10 13:21:01 | Marvelous-Platform 0xd2d2…6b6b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x14f210… |
| 05-10 11:40:11 | (anonymous) 0xa0be…6605 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2ea3a8… |
| 05-10 03:17:33 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x2a10b0… |
| 05-10 03:17:33 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x2f0a27… |
| 05-09 20:44:29 | Anchored-Blackfish 0x17c9…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xdd0472… |
| 05-09 18:15:38 | Sentimental-Litigation 0x0f6a…61f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xf8391f… |
| 05-09 18:15:26 | Sentimental-Litigation 0x0f6a…61f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x7ed3c0… |
| 05-09 13:08:13 | Splendid-Ashtray 0x6402…fa3a | Yes | BUY | 138 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x94d84e… |
| 05-09 00:24:35 | False-Immigrant 0xdc3a…47b0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x52af02… |
| 05-08 19:35:08 | Conventional-Crush 0xbe90…9590 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x9ed422… |
| 05-08 08:55:33 | Ordinary-Impairment 0x4c91…b7f4 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x2fa864… |
| 05-07 08:48:18 | Tall-Allegation 0x00ed…7b53 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3f7fbd… |
| 05-07 02:58:06 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0x54e6a8… |
| 05-06 16:32:28 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xcf3451… |
| 05-06 16:30:45 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x8e3578… |
| 05-06 16:30:41 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x235913… |
| 05-06 15:33:38 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf1012a… |
| 05-06 12:52:06 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe98626… |