Realized P&L
+$12.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$845
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
32,241
Trades
228,884
lifetime
Volume
$7.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$21.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 07:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Other
72% 85% +$14,377
Sports
13% 94% +$2,235
Politics
11% 88% +$3,594
Crypto
1% 87% +$230
Tech
1% 70% -$8,599
Pop-Culture
1% 85% +$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,000 $2,530 92¢ $2.8K +$245 08-09 17:51
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,801 $1,675 64¢ $1.8K +$104 07-14 10:46
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4,145 $1,645 36¢ $1.5K -$132 07-14 16:44
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,331 $1,314 100¢ $1.3K +$14 08-07 06:57
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,331 $1,326 100¢ $1.3K +$2 08-07 06:57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,133 $974 98¢ $1.1K +$140 08-07 06:57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,113 $1,080 100¢ $1.1K +$31 08-07 06:57
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,232 $946 86¢ $1.1K +$108 09-02 20:12
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +826 $815 100¢ $824 +$8 07-09 11:21
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +992 $804 72¢ $719 -$84 07-12 10:52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +810 $474 72¢ $579 +$106 08-13 19:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +570 $569 100¢ $569 $0 10-29 08:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +570 $568 100¢ $567 $0 10-29 08:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +570 $557 98¢ $556 -$1 10-29 08:38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -1,404 -$585 36¢ $-513 +$73 07-15 15:03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +730 $318 68¢ $493 +$175 07-18 03:02
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +499 $463 97¢ $486 +$23 08-19 08:06
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +826 $715 54¢ $450 -$266 07-09 11:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +570 $452 78¢ $447 -$5 10-29 08:38
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +569 $336 70¢ $401 +$65 08-07 03:44
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +826 $113 48¢ $401 +$287 07-09 11:21
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +440 $235 81¢ $356 +$121 07-02 04:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +611 $381 57¢ $349 -$31 08-13 04:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +500 $245 68¢ $342 +$98 08-06 16:45
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +490 $433 69¢ $340 -$93 08-17 15:15
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +285 $284 100¢ $284 +$0 07-25 14:03
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $180 28¢ $275 +$95 07-12 10:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +622 $223 44¢ $271 +$47 08-13 05:37
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +625 $554 43¢ $269 -$285 04-30 22:07
Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +268 $268 100¢ $268 $0 07-27 22:06