Realized P&L
+$4.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved
12,826
Trades
78,233
lifetime
Volume
$1.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$529
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 08-15 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
73% 91% +$3,620
Politics
12% 89% +$443
Sports
9% 95% +$467
Crypto
3% 90% +$312
Tech
2% 67% -$657
Pop-Culture
1% 89% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -108 -$79 100¢ $-107 -$28 08-08 18:03
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -112 -$65 89¢ $-100 -$35 08-08 18:07
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -89 -$76 96¢ $-86 -$10 08-08 18:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -87 -$61 67¢ $-58 +$3 08-08 18:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -106 -$42 26¢ $-28 +$14 08-08 18:06
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -86 -$44 26¢ $-22 +$22 08-08 18:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -116 -$10 18¢ $-20 -$10 08-08 18:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -40 -$13 50¢ $-20 -$7 08-08 18:08
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -115 -$32 11¢ $-13 +$20 08-08 18:06
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -32 -$15 29¢ $-9 +$6 08-08 18:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No -29 -$14 29¢ $-8 +$5 08-08 18:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes -9 -$8 92¢ $-8 $0 08-08 18:18
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No -9 -$6 78¢ $-7 -$1 08-08 18:18
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes -13 -$3 50¢ $-6 -$4 08-15 22:50
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -20 -$5 26¢ $-5 $0 08-08 18:19
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -167 -$9 3¢ $-5 +$5 08-08 18:10
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -7 -$4 55¢ $-4 +$1 08-08 18:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -4 -$3 78¢ $-3 +$0 08-08 18:21
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No -15 -$5 21¢ $-3 +$2 08-08 18:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -62 -$3 4¢ $-2 +$1 08-08 18:21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -34 -$4 6¢ $-2 +$2 08-08 18:20
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -29 -$2 6¢ $-2 +$0 08-12 06:34
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -20 -$1 9¢ $-2 $0 08-08 18:23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -83 -$8 2¢ $-2 +$7 08-08 18:17
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -86 -$9 2¢ $-1 +$7 08-08 18:11
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -9 -$3 12¢ $-1 +$2 08-08 18:22
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No -2 -$1 55¢ $-1 +$0 08-08 18:25
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -2 -$1 45¢ $-1 $0 08-12 07:55
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -29 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 08-08 18:24
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -21 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 08-08 18:24