Royal-Knickers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$286

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

845

Trades

8,403

lifetime

Volume

$210.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$439

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-29 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

96% 47% +$20,507

Politics

4% 70% +$389

Sports

0% 12% -$345

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 288 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	+133	$100	84¢	$111	+$11	10-17 22:28
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+111	$26	84¢	$92	+$66	09-29 06:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+88	$63	84¢	$74	+$11	09-19 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+6,177	$422	1¢	$74	-$348	10-29 02:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	+30	$22	94¢	$28	+$7	09-15 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+21,189	$30	0¢	$21	-$9	10-29 01:24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	+20	$18	71¢	$14	-$4	10-20 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+4,925	$75	0¢	$7	-$68	10-28 23:59
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+21	-$17	29¢	$6	+$23	10-28 00:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$6	55¢	$5	$0	10-27 23:58
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$5	16¢	$3	-$1	10-29 01:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	+30	$8	6¢	$2	-$6	09-16 08:35
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+0	-$31	90¢	$0	+$31	07-14 03:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?	8	$10.0K	5,064	5,064	+0	No	+$84	04-24 23:58
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	5	$8.9K	4,478	4,478	+0	No	+$11	04-26 11:03
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	13	$6.1K	3,923	4,432	-509	No	+$150	04-28 23:05
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	108	$4.3K	7,459	7,179	+280	No	+$2,978	10-07 00:10
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	6	$3.5K	1,827	1,827	+0	Yes	+$164	03-06 16:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	18	$3.4K	2,228	2,228	+0	Yes	+$83	05-09 13:30
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	11	$3.0K	2,849	252	+2,597	No	+$54	04-27 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026?	5	$2.8K	2,910	976	+1,934	No	+$192	05-15 18:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026?	3	$2.5K	2,515	976	+1,539	No	+$6	05-10 01:57
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	55	$2.5K	5,941	5,891	+50	Yes	+$1,293	10-20 14:46
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	43	$2.4K	3,769	1,522	+2,247	Yes	+$2,094	03-10 15:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$2.4K	2,479	0	+2,479	Yes	+$92	06-15 18:26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	14	$2.3K	4,090	357	+3,734	Yes	+$139	10-21 06:45
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 280 299	5	$2.2K	1,215	1,019	+196	No	+$22	01-17 12:24
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	233	$2.2K	7,865	3,945	+3,920	No	+$932	04-13 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	16	$1.9K	2,914	1,444	+1,470	No	-$917	05-31 01:05
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	39	$1.9K	4,000	1,000	+3,000	No	+$1,669	04-01 15:22
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	12	$1.7K	4,017	3,000	+1,017	Yes	-$11	04-01 15:15
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	20	$1.6K	3,535	0	+3,535	No	+$163	09-29 23:22
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	19	$1.6K	6,340	2,871	+3,469	No	-$183	03-11 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	81	$1.6K	10,343	8,856	+1,488	No	+$1,259	10-08 23:37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	38	$1.5K	3,018	854	+2,164	Yes	+$125	09-28 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	19	$1.5K	4,155	909	+3,246	No	+$262	08-17 15:17
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	18	$1.5K	2,408	941	+1,467	Yes	+$907	03-09 04:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	21	$1.5K	4,265	366	+3,900	No	+$344	10-24 14:38
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	4	$1.4K	2,598	0	+2,598	Yes	+$1,175	04-14 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	14	$1.4K	3,788	0	+3,788	No	+$528	08-28 16:34
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?	14	$1.4K	3,344	767	+2,578	No	-$38	07-30 20:05
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$1.4K	708	700	+8	No	+$5	10-02 01:02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	38	$1.4K	1,782	1,782	+0	No	+$264	07-21 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:43:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	646	5¢	$32	0xf52cf5…
10-29 02:12:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	6¢	$22	0x7d62b1…
10-29 02:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x4aa405…
10-29 01:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x19885d…
10-29 01:24:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,098	0¢	$20	0xe34b85…
10-29 00:35:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x83bb83…
10-28 23:59:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,385	8¢	$111	0x84e7ff…
10-28 23:59:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa9d645…
10-28 23:59:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	391	1¢	$4	0x9bf2e6…
10-28 23:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	1¢	$3	0x30d4af…
10-28 23:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	7¢	$17	0xb20d84…
10-28 22:31:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	654	1¢	$5	0x8525bc…
10-28 21:25:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	986	1¢	$9	0xbdca73…
10-28 20:14:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x76b001…
10-28 20:14:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x55ec00…
10-28 20:14:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x14fcb1…
10-28 19:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	1¢	$3	0x60e43f…
10-28 18:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	3¢	$9	0x885b5f…
10-28 18:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xcb8fdf…
10-28 17:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x908fcc…
10-28 17:43:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	468	1¢	$4	0xe0262b…
10-28 17:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	755	4¢	$30	0xb676aa…
10-28 16:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	1¢	$4	0xb7e685…
10-28 16:17:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	5¢	$23	0x4ea42e…
10-28 16:05:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x644f3d…
10-28 16:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xc0136b…
10-28 16:04:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x053f92…
10-28 09:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc0cb67…
10-28 09:16:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x8d0032…
10-28 06:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x9bbe22…
10-28 05:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	22¢	$24	0xc1626f…
10-28 02:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	6¢	$30	0xaa1dbf…
10-28 02:25:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd99783…
10-28 02:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	538	1¢	$5	0x083063…
10-28 02:23:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x377a27…
10-28 02:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfc3adc…
10-28 02:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xd04f5e…
10-28 02:23:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0x410ed9…
10-28 02:23:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x79e75e…
10-28 01:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x9ed93e…
10-28 01:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	679	2¢	$13	0x47c438…
10-28 01:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	422	0¢	$2	0x702ee4…
10-28 01:20:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	15¢	$17	0xbc076f…
10-28 01:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0xfa4c18…
10-28 01:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	838	10¢	$84	0x81bf0b…
10-28 01:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	11¢	$42	0x55c3fb…
10-28 00:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x3c4538…
10-28 00:22:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,764	1¢	$11	0x8dfb81…
10-28 00:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x6f9981…
10-28 00:21:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x22ed0b…
10-28 00:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x82d108…
10-28 00:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x27ccbc…
10-28 00:21:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,109	3¢	$39	0xed7b93…
10-28 00:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	20¢	$24	0xece9b3…
10-28 00:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd58606…
10-28 00:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x410388…
10-28 00:18:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x526f53…
10-28 00:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x21c10b…
10-28 00:18:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	633	4¢	$24	0x1fa63e…
10-28 00:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x21b62c…
10-28 00:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd216f2…
10-28 00:18:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	361	1¢	$3	0x27ca7d…
10-27 23:59:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	0¢	$1	0xdc9293…
10-27 23:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,886	0¢	$4	0xc949d6…
10-27 23:58:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xbf65ee…
10-27 20:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	83¢	$36	0x59eb92…
10-27 20:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	83¢	$47	0x465126…
10-27 20:27:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	818	2¢	$20	0x6fc921…
10-27 18:33:47	FK Austria Wien vs. TSV Egger Glas Hartberg: FK Austria Wien O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6614bb…
10-27 16:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xdcd04f…
10-27 16:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xa25bd9…
10-27 16:44:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xf12e28…
10-27 16:44:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xc7c270…
10-27 16:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xca2ef5…
10-27 16:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4657bb…
10-27 16:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x880719…
10-27 16:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x700136…
10-27 16:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbabbc0…
10-27 16:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1fb83f…
10-27 16:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x81fc08…
10-27 16:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7419a3…
10-27 16:32:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfa84b1…
10-27 16:32:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe22205…
10-27 16:32:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x70cd5f…
10-27 16:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc3061f…
10-27 16:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1548bb…
10-27 16:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x11a197…
10-27 16:18:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	2¢	$4	0x57c7c4…
10-27 16:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8dc84f…
10-27 16:17:44	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,001	0¢	$3	0xf14528…
10-27 16:15:00	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x54e415…
10-27 16:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x79f548…
10-27 16:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x387b84…
10-27 16:13:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x481ee8…
10-27 16:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x67efd1…
10-27 16:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x4c634d…
10-27 16:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb478a0…
10-27 16:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2a2736…
10-27 16:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x1a7618…
10-27 16:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5528fd…