Realized P&L
+$20.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$92
Hit rate
77.3%
Resolved
848
Trades
8,570
lifetime
Volume
$210.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$327
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-30 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
96% 47% +$19,921
Politics
4% 70% +$389
Sports
0% 12% -$345
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 288 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +133 $100 82¢ $110 +$10 10-17 22:28
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +111 $26 68¢ $75 +$49 09-29 06:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +88 $63 80¢ $71 +$7 09-19 14:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +30 $22 94¢ $28 +$7 09-15 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +10,000 $40 0¢ $15 -$25 10-29 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +20 $18 59¢ $12 -$6 10-20 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +21 -$17 41¢ $9 +$26 10-28 00:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $6 60¢ $6 +$0 10-27 23:58
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +30 $8 6¢ $2 -$6 09-16 08:35
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +87 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-28 20:14
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +0 -$31 90¢ $0 +$31 07-14 03:00