Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026?
open
Total volume
$96
$9,837 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$6,155
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-13 09:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $25 | — | +$25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $30 | $29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 5 | $20 | — | +$20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloomy-Hashtag 0x0539…70f9 | Yes | +202 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 10:27 |
| Productive-Tank 0x421b…01da | Yes | +124 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 16:17 |
| Abandoned-Passenger 0x380f…8229 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:39 |
| Austere-Youngster 0xa135…6085 | Yes | +54 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 05:33 |
| Ready-View 0xd9e1…3fc9 | Yes | +47 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 21:02 |
| Immaculate-Squirrel 0x16b4…1ec6 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:58 |
| Delirious-Eve 0x8cec…da58 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:28 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 03:17 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 20:36 |
| Disguised-Messenger 0x38c5…de49 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 09:19:15 | (anonymous) 0xe875…8492 | Yes | SELL | 204 | 6¢ | $13 | 0xef2c48… |
| 05-13 02:21:07 | Concerned-Palm 0x3d48…4385 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $13 | 0x9d8267… |
| 05-13 00:03:27 | Ordinary-Impairment 0x4c91…b7f4 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0fa885… |
| 05-12 18:52:28 | Disguised-Messenger 0x38c5…de49 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xeda4cd… |
| 05-12 18:01:41 | Ordinary-Impairment 0x4c91…b7f4 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xd747ce… |
| 05-12 16:17:04 | Productive-Tank 0x421b…01da | Yes | BUY | 124 | 6¢ | $8 | 0xbca202… |
| 05-12 14:27:54 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe6039d… |
| 05-12 10:27:22 | Gloomy-Hashtag 0x0539…70f9 | Yes | BUY | 202 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xc5afdf… |
| 05-11 21:02:34 | Ready-View 0xd9e1…3fc9 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf7ebad… |
| 05-11 21:01:50 | Ready-View 0xd9e1…3fc9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xddec7e… |
| 05-11 20:36:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc2a3fa… |
| 05-11 20:33:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe26a9e… |
| 05-11 15:28:50 | Delirious-Eve 0x8cec…da58 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x35de0b… |
| 05-11 15:28:35 | Wide-Eyed-Pension 0xa0c4…a567 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa3c838… |
| 05-11 09:58:32 | Immaculate-Squirrel 0x16b4…1ec6 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd8ab1c… |
| 05-11 05:33:14 | Austere-Youngster 0xa135…6085 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33e285… |
| 05-11 03:07:15 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ee2b2… |
| 05-10 03:17:33 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf5bced… |
| 05-10 01:35:30 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd3e572… |
| 05-09 15:39:06 | Abandoned-Passenger 0x380f…8229 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5b79e0… |
| 05-09 00:25:36 | False-Immigrant 0xdc3a…47b0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6176a… |
| 05-06 16:47:31 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x831c0d… |
| 05-06 12:52:08 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9043ea… |