Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
217
Trades
455,268
lifetime
Volume
$3.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
68% 49% +$45
Politics
24% 44% $-46
Sports
4% 48% $-11
Crypto
2% 48% +$19
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 19863 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No -119 $-118 100¢ $-119 $-1 06-15 13:53
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -60 $-60 100¢ $-60 $-0 06-15 13:53
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -60 $-52 100¢ $-60 $-8 06-15 13:57
Epstein client list released by June 30? No -46 $-45 99¢ $-46 $-0 06-15 13:53
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-44 100¢ $-45 $-1 06-25 04:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? No -45 $-45 100¢ $-45 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-45 100¢ $-45 $-0 06-15 13:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -45 $-45 100¢ $-45 $-0 06-15 13:53
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No -45 $-39 94¢ $-43 $-4 06-15 13:58
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -45 $-42 92¢ $-42 +$0 06-15 13:53
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -42 $-39 94¢ $-40 $-0 06-15 13:53
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -39 $-36 89¢ $-35 +$1 06-17 19:58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -45 $-35 76¢ $-34 +$1 06-15 14:14
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -61 $-30 54¢ $-32 $-2 06-15 13:57
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? No -30 $-27 99¢ $-30 $-3 06-15 13:57
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No -30 $-20 100¢ $-30 $-10 06-16 09:57
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will Alberta join the US? No -30 $-29 98¢ $-29 $-0 06-15 13:53
OKX IPO in 2026? No -32 $-28 90¢ $-29 $-0 06-15 13:53
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes -31 $-27 93¢ $-29 $-2 06-15 13:57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? No -30 $-29 95¢ $-29 +$1 06-29 19:28
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 $-1 06-17 18:00
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -30 $-27 91¢ $-27 $-1 06-15 13:53
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -30 $-26 88¢ $-26 $-1 06-15 19:42
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-23 76¢ $-25 $-2 06-26 12:38
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -106 $-32 22¢ $-23 +$9 06-20 12:48