Noxious-Subtitle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$42

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

8,093

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$253

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-07 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$15

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes		+1,738	$189	12¢	$200	+$11	07-07 20:24
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No		+303	$106	18¢	$53	$-53	06-02 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	5	$7.5K	3,983	3,629	+354	open	—	04-10 18:53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	10	$705	600	600	+0	Leolia Jeanjean	+$15	05-06 12:15
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 40 59	161	$427	231	290	-59	open	—	04-14 00:57
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	10	$370	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-29 18:35
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	6	$276	160	159	+1	open	—	04-08 14:18
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	10	$261	221	99	+122	open	—	04-08 09:33
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	7	$223	144	143	+1	open	—	04-08 14:18
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 80 99	155	$218	219	84	+134	open	—	04-11 16:53
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	92	$216	222	183	+39	open	—	04-18 08:12
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 60 79	156	$215	414	79	+335	open	—	04-13 15:18
zelenskyy of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 60 79	153	$211	195	208	-13	open	—	04-13 20:28
khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 4	170	$205	266	220	+45	open	—	04-16 12:39
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	5	$202	106	105	+1	open	—	04-08 17:03
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	93	$201	233	173	+59	open	—	04-17 17:14
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	3	$199	105	105	+0	open	—	04-08 14:18
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 140 159	159	$198	398	89	+309	open	—	04-12 08:03
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 100 119	150	$192	392	89	+303	open	—	04-12 10:47
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	6	$189	1,738	0	+1,738	open	—	07-07 20:24
white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 160 179	111	$186	290	252	+39	open	—	04-13 22:23
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 0 19	140	$182	183	84	+98	open	—	04-11 16:50
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 180 199	147	$182	182	89	+92	open	—	04-11 16:53
zelenskyy of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 40 59	138	$173	158	163	-5	open	—	04-13 18:13
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 120 139	136	$154	353	89	+264	open	—	04-13 13:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	14	$134	225	58	+167	open	—	04-11 16:51
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	37	$132	136	75	+60	open	—	04-11 16:56
meta up or down on january 16 2026	3	$126	150	0	+150	open	—	01-16 15:35
white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 140 159	66	$123	149	110	+39	open	—	04-14 18:34
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	58	$117	137	95	+42	open	—	04-17 21:21
atp fonseca tabilo 2026 02 11	2	$117	200	48	+152	open	—	02-12 00:49
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	52	$116	130	95	+35	open	—	04-15 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 20:24:32	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	972	10¢	$97	0xff97ce…
07-07 20:10:08	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xc1d048…
07-03 20:24:43	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x1d2d72…
07-03 14:32:19	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	697	12¢	$84	0x3486a7…
07-01 19:31:28	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xcbe98d…
06-14 05:39:45	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x2b9b12…
06-12 03:05:55	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x77af9f…
06-11 18:50:27	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0x27f049…
06-11 11:33:34	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x3bc33e…
06-10 16:33:39	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xb21158…
06-10 10:58:37	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x888f8b…
06-10 00:56:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x76fc77…
06-10 00:33:42	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbd2068…
06-06 13:03:58	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb91a4e…
06-03 07:25:30	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	218	14¢	$31	0xa73c6c…
06-02 17:36:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xa11fb8…
06-02 12:28:23	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xfe8e9f…
06-02 07:30:48	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xc1d5b1…
06-02 00:03:53	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x02607f…
06-01 05:59:00	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x32ce54…
05-31 13:38:14	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xa43933…
05-31 11:04:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	69	35¢	$24	0x413ba1…
05-29 18:35:25	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	253	18¢	$46	0x2c1f9c…
05-29 18:29:03	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	747	18¢	$134	0x012588…
05-29 15:04:58	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	315	19¢	$60	0xc8438e…
05-29 15:04:55	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x9b5d2e…
05-29 14:47:32	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	286	19¢	$54	0x063524…
05-29 14:26:09	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x3aaadc…
05-29 14:22:51	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x33a498…
05-29 14:13:51	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x7c4604…
05-29 14:08:57	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x5d4fe6…
05-29 13:58:04	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	372	19¢	$71	0xdabc8e…
05-29 13:48:39	Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xdc2af7…
05-28 23:11:40	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9ab0b5…
05-28 17:03:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	226	35¢	$79	0x5b94cf…
05-06 12:15:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	483	60¢	$290	0xee880e…
05-06 12:15:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xad50b5…
05-06 12:15:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x9cccaf…
05-06 12:15:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x569a4f…
05-06 12:15:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x08af0b…
05-06 12:15:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0xf9e402…
05-06 12:15:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc4618d…
05-06 12:15:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1a8d40…
05-06 12:11:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x0b0e6e…
05-06 12:11:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0xba214c…
04-29 03:07:58	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xcd0e23…
04-27 23:16:04	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xfb20d5…
04-27 23:15:52	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xa6a127…
04-27 17:18:42	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0x789291…
04-27 15:20:44	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xa6ba33…
04-26 16:30:16	Will Dignitas win LCS 2026 Spring?	Yes	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0x42817c…
04-22 07:19:50	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa5ef22…
04-21 10:59:58	Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0xebf308…
04-20 02:14:02	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0x2e2eb8…
04-20 01:12:14	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0xf5078f…
04-19 09:56:52	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xf4e0da…
04-19 01:47:44	Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xdd0d9e…
04-18 08:12:18	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x987343…
04-18 07:35:16	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x98dc57…
04-17 23:11:42	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xd01e33…
04-17 22:11:44	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc8941e…
04-17 21:21:12	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4cca73…
04-17 20:33:40	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x571311…
04-17 20:33:32	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x230b5a…
04-17 18:56:52	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x41b42d…
04-17 18:48:08	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf11733…
04-17 18:33:50	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x34badd…
04-17 18:29:10	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc9405a…
04-17 18:12:24	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x677cc5…
04-17 18:12:24	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2c220e…
04-17 18:09:18	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x0a13b5…
04-17 17:32:12	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xda0e0c…
04-17 17:30:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x7e9016…
04-17 17:14:44	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xce8590…
04-17 17:14:44	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc45cd6…
04-17 17:14:44	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x91e00e…
04-17 17:08:36	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc085a4…
04-17 16:57:26	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x265f77…
04-17 16:57:24	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xca658d…
04-17 16:57:24	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xbd72e2…
04-17 16:51:04	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1e8e83…
04-17 16:49:58	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7463e9…
04-17 16:48:04	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2fc642…
04-17 16:45:24	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb1a635…
04-17 16:43:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcae48b…
04-17 16:43:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xbee72e…
04-17 16:38:50	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x75b7c3…
04-17 16:38:50	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x16f802…
04-17 16:36:54	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xfb8cae…
04-17 16:36:54	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9bf665…
04-17 16:28:18	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2f8cb3…
04-17 16:26:16	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x30b036…
04-17 16:23:48	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x82c28f…
04-17 16:23:48	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x82c28f…
04-17 16:18:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xaed34d…
04-17 16:07:34	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2aad54…
04-17 15:59:50	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x45f253…
04-17 15:59:50	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x42ebd3…
04-17 15:59:06	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xf8dfe8…
04-17 15:58:12	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf58638…