Realized P&L
+$3.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$150
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
10,324
Trades
90,054
lifetime
Volume
$195.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$897
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-08 16:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
85% 86% +$3,292
Politics
6% 88% +$269
Sports
6% 94% +$383
Crypto
3% 86% +$40
Tech
0% 86% -$214
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -320 -$215 96¢ $-307 -$92 06-19 04:32
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -283 -$201 97¢ $-274 -$72 06-03 03:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -78 -$32 66¢ $-51 -$19 05-09 21:56
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes -28 -$20 82¢ $-23 -$2 06-30 02:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -78 -$26 26¢ $-21 +$5 05-09 21:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -124 -$33 17¢ $-21 +$13 04-28 16:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -124 -$11 16¢ $-20 -$9 04-28 16:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -124 -$8 15¢ $-19 -$11 04-28 16:24
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes -23 -$9 66¢ $-15 -$6 08-09 07:37
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$6 13¢ $-15 -$9 05-09 02:33
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$8 12¢ $-13 -$4 05-09 02:33
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$6 10¢ $-11 -$5 05-09 02:33
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes -24 -$2 35¢ $-8 -$7 07-04 17:41
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$11 8¢ $-8 +$3 05-09 02:33
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$10 8¢ $-8 +$2 05-09 02:33
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -283 -$19 3¢ $-7 +$12 06-03 03:29
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -124 -$9 6¢ $-7 +$2 04-28 16:24
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$4 6¢ $-7 -$2 05-09 02:33
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$3 6¢ $-7 -$3 05-09 02:33
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -124 -$5 5¢ $-6 -$1 04-28 16:24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -124 -$5 5¢ $-6 -$1 04-28 16:24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -78 -$17 8¢ $-6 +$11 05-09 21:56
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -320 -$57 2¢ $-6 +$51 06-19 04:32
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$7 5¢ $-6 +$1 05-09 02:33
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$3 5¢ $-5 -$2 05-09 02:33
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$2 4¢ $-5 -$3 05-09 02:33
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$4 4¢ $-4 $0 05-09 02:33
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -124 -$3 4¢ $-4 -$2 04-28 16:24
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$4 4¢ $-4 +$0 05-09 02:33
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -110 -$4 3¢ $-4 +$0 05-09 02:33