Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?
open
Total volume
$726
$1,344 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$3,016
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 21:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $369
vs crowd: 16% YES on $687)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | $487 | $484 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $108 | $89 | +$18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | $366 | $363 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $28 | $28 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 5 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $122 | $122 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| unranked | 2 | $53 | — | +$53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8c45…398b | Yes | +533 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-06 07:19 |
| Oddball-Colonisation 0x923f…1346 | Yes | +464 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 02:24 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | +380 | $366 | $366 | 4 | 05-06 16:25 |
| Decent-Aside 0xf579…9989 | Yes | +263 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-10 00:16 |
| Incredible-Mercury 0x20d5…17be | Yes | +118 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 10:40 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 05-10 03:17 |
| Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | +65 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-10 18:45 |
| Partial-Appellation 0xac00…372f | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 05:59 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0be…6605 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:40 |
| Square-Controller 0x0c44…b8d6 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 21:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 21:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xd80382… |
| 05-11 17:22:23 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcd9464… |
| 05-11 14:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x177dc1… |
| 05-11 13:57:52 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x37aa69… |
| 05-11 13:56:49 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe8a741… |
| 05-11 10:36:02 | Courteous-Electrocardiogram 0x8401…17ec | Yes | SELL | 106 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xc857ce… |
| 05-11 10:12:44 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5e78b0… |
| 05-11 10:11:25 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xb552db… |
| 05-11 10:11:15 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xf0c0de… |
| 05-11 10:11:02 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x38035f… |
| 05-11 02:24:49 | Oddball-Colonisation 0x923f…1346 | Yes | BUY | 464 | 9¢ | $40 | 0xac4f21… |
| 05-10 18:45:24 | Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | BUY | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0x3b21e7… |
| 05-10 11:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xa0be…6605 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x66fbf9… |
| 05-10 10:40:06 | Incredible-Mercury 0x20d5…17be | Yes | BUY | 118 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x81b2cb… |
| 05-10 03:17:33 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x9d7af1… |
| 05-10 03:17:33 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xa622f8… |
| 05-10 03:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x7c4a…b3e8 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x185499… |
| 05-10 00:16:00 | Decent-Aside 0xf579…9989 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 9¢ | $11 | 0xfb0fd1… |
| 05-10 00:15:37 | Decent-Aside 0xf579…9989 | Yes | BUY | 137 | 9¢ | $12 | 0xe8fd78… |
| 05-09 21:09:48 | Square-Controller 0x0c44…b8d6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe8876d… |
| 05-09 00:24:30 | False-Immigrant 0xdc3a…47b0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd0dbdb… |
| 05-08 05:59:53 | Partial-Appellation 0xac00…372f | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4fa1a8… |
| 05-07 07:39:52 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | BUY | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x31a4d4… |
| 05-06 16:47:31 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x931f74… |
| 05-06 16:25:46 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xbc8c5b… |
| 05-06 16:25:42 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xad0e4c… |
| 05-06 16:25:40 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x0f34b8… |
| 05-06 16:15:37 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0x7799ca… |
| 05-06 15:35:39 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0113b7… |
| 05-06 12:52:08 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x457bae… |
| 05-06 07:19:18 | Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9692b5… |
| 05-06 07:19:16 | (anonymous) 0x8c45…398b | Yes | BUY | 533 | 6¢ | $31 | 0xe832e3… |