Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
33.8%
Resolved
2,924
Trades
7,106
lifetime
Volume
$1.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$4
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-08 05:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
64% 10% -$24
Politics
18% 22% +$22
Sports
11% 14% -$28
Crypto
7% 11% -$6
Tech
1% 17% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 69¢ $3 +$3 06-06 13:25
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 05-12 02:38
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-06 07:32
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 04-28 19:55
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-07 02:16
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-08 05:38
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-23 02:18
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-27 20:47
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-28 15:06
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 10-08 05:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-17 21:08
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 05-25 16:30
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-17 19:19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-14 07:44
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-05 13:57