Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
23.6%
Resolved
93
Trades
4,626
lifetime
Volume
$1.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$11
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-20 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
64% 13% $-1
Politics
18% 0% $-0
Sports
10% 0% $-3
Crypto
8% 0% $-1
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +5 $0 36¢ $2 +$1 06-06 20:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $0 29¢ $1 +$1 06-14 22:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-06 12:52
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-1 06-16 01:14
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 13¢ $1 +$0 06-05 09:00
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-19 08:55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-20 02:46
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-05 22:50
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-07 15:44
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 00:10
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-01 19:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-14 21:44
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-08 08:52
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 10:19
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 16:35
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 17:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-16 15:06
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-08 00:02
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 19:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-05 16:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 17:03
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-07 04:52
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 20:17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-11 21:27
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 19:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 22:53
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-01 19:58
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 16:58