Partial-Appellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-16 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 70% $-14

Other

7% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	3	$119	69	69	+0	open	—	05-14 06:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$114	74	74	+0	open	—	05-14 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$112	80	56	+24	Down	$-24	05-13 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$83	89	89	+0	open	—	05-14 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$72	47	47	+0	Down	+$22	05-14 06:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$67	49	49	+0	open	—	05-14 08:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$64	41	41	+0	open	—	05-14 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$57	47	47	+0	open	—	05-14 06:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$55	162	113	+49	open	—	04-28 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$53	31	31	+0	Down	+$3	05-14 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 06:30
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	05-14 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$40	64	64	+0	open	—	05-14 07:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$39	68	68	+0	Down	$-11	05-13 16:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$39	400	400	+0	open	—	04-28 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$36	53	53	+0	Down	$-24	05-13 18:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$35	23	23	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-14 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$28	27	27	+0	open	—	04-28 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	04-28 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 17:40
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$16	22	22	+0	open	—	05-14 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 14:24
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-16 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$9	18	18	+0	open	—	04-28 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 14:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xcbe741…
05-16 14:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x6909c1…
05-16 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x9ac0e1…
05-14 13:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x0504cc…
05-14 13:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x25bbba…
05-14 13:03:19	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	30¢	$6	0xb7bf46…
05-14 13:01:22	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8276b7…
05-14 11:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x11c8f0…
05-14 11:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x738d73…
05-14 11:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x45d85a…
05-14 11:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x023f4f…
05-14 11:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xb29188…
05-14 11:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x58d33c…
05-14 09:03:32	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xfc4065…
05-14 09:01:02	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7e4f96…
05-14 08:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x931d1d…
05-14 08:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf097a2…
05-14 08:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0x6fb450…
05-14 08:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x93ba78…
05-14 08:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	49	86¢	$42	0xb1cfd7…
05-14 08:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3ac116…
05-14 07:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	64	23¢	$15	0xe7cf53…
05-14 07:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x402c5a…
05-14 06:45:14	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xc0d9d8…
05-14 06:43:53	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x6180b6…
05-14 06:43:46	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xf901f7…
05-14 06:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	47	67¢	$32	0x5197a5…
05-14 06:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x7762bf…
05-14 06:38:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x18b7ee…
05-14 06:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x32b869…
05-14 06:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xf4cb3c…
05-14 06:33:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbfd1a5…
05-14 06:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	48	80¢	$39	0x309e14…
05-14 06:32:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x7842c1…
05-14 06:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x92bd9d…
05-14 06:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x68d738…
05-14 06:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x9f0434…
05-14 06:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x537edc…
05-14 05:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0xd0f3bd…
05-14 05:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xde5b0d…
05-14 05:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1f07bc…
05-14 05:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe70201…
05-14 05:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x962b42…
05-14 05:40:25	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb49951…
05-14 05:37:46	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd746ab…
05-13 18:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x8afd9c…
05-13 18:51:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4b5fa9…
05-13 18:50:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0e5bab…
05-13 18:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe8df4e…
05-13 18:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	53	12¢	$6	0x73d069…
05-13 18:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc46afe…
05-13 18:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3a3cfc…
05-13 18:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x84939a…
05-13 18:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xad1e0e…
05-13 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x7948da…
05-13 18:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x1d98b5…
05-13 16:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0x0352b4…
05-13 16:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x27ecd4…
05-13 16:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x207c2d…
05-13 16:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1a17bd…
05-13 16:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb7d121…
05-13 16:41:26	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	72	9¢	$6	0xb35ccf…
04-29 18:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdf5e0c…
04-29 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xe31b2d…
04-29 18:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x32cdf7…
04-28 17:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f9186…
04-28 17:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8724a0…
04-28 17:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xa485f8…
04-28 17:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x507cb5…
04-28 17:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x21dd63…
04-28 17:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x169666…
04-28 17:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	24¢	$4	0x75250d…
04-28 17:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc9de00…
04-28 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	42¢	$10	0x5c637e…
04-28 17:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	45¢	$8	0x813bf8…
04-28 17:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x738474…
04-28 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x906043…
04-28 17:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$8	0xe00d55…
04-28 15:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x3a31de…
04-28 14:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xedf71a…
04-28 14:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x94f443…
04-28 05:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	26¢	$11	0x7132e1…
04-28 05:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$11	0xb8cb93…
04-28 01:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	7¢	$17	0x9f2ddf…
04-28 01:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	7¢	$11	0x0887cf…
04-27 18:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	27¢	$30	0x465568…
04-27 18:16:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	11¢	$13	0x133042…