Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
open
Total volume
$457
$3,943 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$7,055
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-19
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 14:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-69.3¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $40
vs crowd: 86% YES on $420)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $360 | $17 | +$343 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $7 | $34 | $27 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $130 | — | +$130 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $58 | $27 | +$31 |
| Median | 3 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| Below median | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $93 | — | +$93 |
| unranked | 7 | $36 | — | +$36 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irritating-Duty 0x15ce…d47e | Yes | +459 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 05-10 13:36 |
| Striking-Teepee 0x77b9…0d39 | Yes | +340 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-09 13:02 |
| Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | +313 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-10 07:38 |
| Jumpy-Mallard 0xfdc7…e49a | Yes | +256 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 09:31 |
| Regular-Bribery 0x7187…4859 | Yes | +100 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 01:45 |
| Pastel-Mark 0xc14f…0ee1 | Yes | +95 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 13:47 |
| Male-Titanium 0x911b…2529 | Yes | +75 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 12:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa67b…af43 | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 19:53 |
| Dishonest-Fortress 0xd969…b9b9 | Yes | +56 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 14:07 |
| Separate-Ramie 0x5034…3f34 | Yes | +35 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 13:56 |
| Polite-Sort 0x6e73…8294 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Icky-Knight 0xcd32…f0f3 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +31 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-09 10:05 |
| Rural-Close 0x4198…7be2 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f48…c20e | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:11 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-09 18:53 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 08:04 |
| Elementary-Hovel 0xe901…2b01 | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 13:45 |
| Massive-Footrest 0x98d5…36b6 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Plain-Music 0x1a41…7932 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 21:20 |
| Meek-Slip 0x4871…ab39 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:07:30 | Dishonest-Fortress 0xd969…b9b9 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 20¢ | $11 | 0x76c82e… |
| 05-10 13:56:41 | Separate-Ramie 0x5034…3f34 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x9f7815… |
| 05-10 13:47:26 | Pastel-Mark 0xc14f…0ee1 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 21¢ | $20 | 0x129a30… |
| 05-10 13:45:54 | Elementary-Hovel 0xe901…2b01 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x1eaf84… |
| 05-10 13:36:06 | Irritating-Duty 0x15ce…d47e | Yes | BUY | 459 | 20¢ | $93 | 0x0b39fe… |
| 05-10 12:35:36 | Male-Titanium 0x911b…2529 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 20¢ | $15 | 0x1fee4b… |
| 05-10 12:10:33 | Defensive-Legislator 0xe2bc…d182 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xfe6ed1… |
| 05-10 09:31:34 | Jumpy-Mallard 0xfdc7…e49a | Yes | BUY | 256 | 19¢ | $50 | 0x8c1549… |
| 05-10 08:33:15 | Massive-Footrest 0x98d5…36b6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x9438da… |
| 05-10 08:24:27 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x160792… |
| 05-10 08:04:16 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x83b543… |
| 05-10 08:03:53 | Rural-Close 0x4198…7be2 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xe5bf49… |
| 05-10 07:38:43 | Meek-Slip 0x4871…ab39 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe772df… |
| 05-10 07:38:18 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 313 | 17¢ | $53 | 0xcb9a07… |
| 05-10 07:18:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 16¢ | $19 | 0xca9a7b… |
| 05-10 04:42:43 | Icky-Knight 0xcd32…f0f3 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x70caba… |
| 05-10 04:01:20 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xd7f905… |
| 05-10 01:45:15 | Regular-Bribery 0x7187…4859 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x72ca54… |
| 05-10 01:00:30 | Polite-Sort 0x6e73…8294 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x650dbc… |
| 05-09 21:20:07 | Plain-Music 0x1a41…7932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x223fb3… |
| 05-09 19:53:14 | (anonymous) 0xa67b…af43 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x16c0ad… |
| 05-09 18:53:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xdc2dca… |
| 05-09 13:02:48 | Striking-Teepee 0x77b9…0d39 | Yes | BUY | 340 | 15¢ | $51 | 0x79fcfe… |
| 05-09 12:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x8f48…c20e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x7f139d… |
| 05-09 10:05:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa25618… |
| 05-09 10:05:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 29 | 87¢ | $25 | 0x4069cd… |
| 05-09 10:05:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x3946a4… |