Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
open
Total volume
$669
$5,221 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$7,376
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-19
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 14:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $271 | $329 | $58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $118 | — | +$118 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $24 | $24 | +$0 |
| Median | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Below median | 5 | $47 | $5 | +$42 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| unranked | 7 | $40 | $324 | $284 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumpy-Mallard 0xfdc7…e49a | Yes | +422 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-09 14:33 |
| Kind-Raspberry 0x7354…430f | No | +300 | $225 | $225 | 1 | 05-10 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c40…05ee | No | +132 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-10 14:06 |
| Equal-Gopher 0xed79…64b8 | Yes | +130 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 13:08 |
| Striking-Teepee 0x77b9…0d39 | Yes | +106 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 03:31 |
| Impure-Lode 0xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | +100 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 04:01 |
| Foolhardy-Vertigo 0x482d…74a3 | Yes | +91 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 01:15 |
| Timely-Religion 0x41be…5f38 | Yes | +84 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-09 18:30 |
| Square-Publisher 0xfae0…b443 | Yes | +62 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa67b…af43 | Yes | +43 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 19:53 |
| Polite-Sort 0x6e73…8294 | Yes | +31 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +31 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-09 10:05 |
| Icky-Knight 0xcd32…f0f3 | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| Nutritious-Household 0xdb91…9d70 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:44 |
| Rural-Close 0x4198…7be2 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:04 |
| Stormy-Sculpture-Ligula 0x5ced…2c7e | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 12:58 |
| Calm-Discount 0xa809…2c2d | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 10:55 |
| Ignorant-Vanadyl 0xe2d6…7cc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 23:41 |
| Babyish-Shed 0x94a9…1baf | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Required-Sardine 0x6a77…3ce5 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Likable-Plot 0x4852…2da9 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c44…cfb8 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x2c44…cfb8 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x614371… |
| 05-10 14:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x7c40…05ee | No | BUY | 132 | 75¢ | $99 | 0xeddd76… |
| 05-10 13:51:12 | Kind-Raspberry 0x7354…430f | No | BUY | 300 | 75¢ | $225 | 0x77d520… |
| 05-10 08:44:43 | Nutritious-Household 0xdb91…9d70 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x7f369e… |
| 05-10 08:24:27 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 25¢ | $15 | 0xbaf3c3… |
| 05-10 08:21:28 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 25¢ | $15 | 0x8ca35f… |
| 05-10 08:04:16 | Rural-Close 0x4198…7be2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xca3c64… |
| 05-10 07:47:24 | Square-Publisher 0xfae0…b443 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 24¢ | $15 | 0xf660bb… |
| 05-10 06:52:57 | Required-Sardine 0x6a77…3ce5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x22e210… |
| 05-10 04:56:01 | Multicolored-Chopsticks 0x25b2…3b9e | Yes | SELL | 70 | 22¢ | $15 | 0xe747c2… |
| 05-10 04:42:49 | Icky-Knight 0xcd32…f0f3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xe91628… |
| 05-10 04:36:08 | Likable-Plot 0x4852…2da9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x292384… |
| 05-10 04:01:13 | Impure-Lode 0xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x425bf5… |
| 05-10 03:31:25 | Striking-Teepee 0x77b9…0d39 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 22¢ | $23 | 0x0da386… |
| 05-10 01:15:24 | Foolhardy-Vertigo 0x482d…74a3 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 22¢ | $20 | 0xea25c2… |
| 05-10 01:00:39 | Polite-Sort 0x6e73…8294 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xa8e790… |
| 05-09 23:41:22 | Ignorant-Vanadyl 0xe2d6…7cc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x8f4ba8… |
| 05-09 19:53:21 | (anonymous) 0xa67b…af43 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0xa73b28… |
| 05-09 18:30:22 | Timely-Religion 0x41be…5f38 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 22¢ | $18 | 0x4cb12c… |
| 05-09 14:33:55 | Jumpy-Mallard 0xfdc7…e49a | Yes | BUY | 422 | 24¢ | $100 | 0x92102d… |
| 05-09 13:08:29 | Equal-Gopher 0xed79…64b8 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 23¢ | $30 | 0x846b57… |
| 05-09 12:58:15 | Stormy-Sculpture-Ligula 0x5ced…2c7e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xa66d28… |
| 05-09 12:00:49 | Babyish-Shed 0x94a9…1baf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf9822e… |
| 05-09 10:55:05 | Calm-Discount 0xa809…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x90fe59… |
| 05-09 10:05:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x11e044… |
| 05-09 10:05:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 29 | 79¢ | $23 | 0x8cef9e… |