Required-Sardine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

142

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$605

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-22 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

53% 41% -$31

Crypto

23% 45% -$26

Politics

21% 55% -$6

Sports

3% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$37	782	500	+282	No	+$1	04-30 20:54
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$1	04-23 21:04
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	5	$18	17	17	+0	Division One	+$3	05-06 01:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$15	19	0	+19	No	+$4	04-14 20:20
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	4	$15	12	12	+0	INTZ e-Sports	+$4	05-04 22:48
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Xiyu Wang	4	$14	14	14	+0	Veronika Erjavec	+$1	05-02 06:45
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage	4	$13	13	13	+0	GIANTX GC	+$0	05-05 20:09
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	2	$12	9	9	+0	Imperial Academy	+$2	05-04 09:45
Karlsruher SC vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Score	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:39
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	4	$12	10	10	+0	paiN Academy	+$2	05-05 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on April 29?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	04-29 01:01
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	6	$10	14	14	+0	INOX Division	+$1	05-05 16:31
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	4	$10	15	9	+6	SPARTA	-$2	05-05 18:51
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	3	$10	17	6	+11	The Last Resort	-$2	05-04 15:46
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	3	$10	13	5	+8	INOX Division	+$3	05-03 17:20
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D	2	$9	5	5	+0	Rebels Gaming	+$1	05-05 14:28
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 1 Winner	2	$8	5	5	+0	Alzon	+$2	05-04 17:18
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$8	17	7	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 02:24
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In	3	$8	13	5	+9	Lavked	-$6	05-06 15:48
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	6	$8	14	12	+2	ex-RUBY	-$2	05-06 19:31
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$8	15	15	+0	Yes	-$4	04-30 06:26
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$8	5	5	+0	Shifters	+$1	05-03 16:01
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	2	$7	6	6	+0	ALGO Esports	+$1	05-04 10:46
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	2	$7	7	7	+0	Division One	+$1	05-04 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 30?	4	$7	12	12	+0	No	+$0	04-30 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 02:57
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	2	$7	4	4	+0	All Gamers	+$1	05-05 14:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	04-24 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 02:46:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4fbb7b…
05-18 02:20:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7aebaa…
05-18 01:39:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x8aecc3…
05-18 00:10:18	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x007d07…
05-18 00:08:38	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c8f3a…
05-17 12:49:38	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb40855…
05-17 12:44:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x693766…
05-17 09:58:48	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7f19f0…
05-17 09:58:13	Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x10104a…
05-17 09:55:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x69e2ab…
05-16 23:29:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x412715…
05-16 04:49:06	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0815f9…
05-15 19:57:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x19a07b…
05-15 13:13:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xdc8dd8…
05-12 20:19:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xff5157…
05-12 08:30:01	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1b900a…
05-12 08:25:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xf8b407…
05-11 18:58:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0cb767…
05-11 13:30:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xeb9c9f…
05-10 06:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x22e210…
05-10 06:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x405a12…
05-09 04:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7d1216…
05-09 01:10:21	Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo	Toronto Tempo	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x3e428e…
05-08 18:05:58	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd3dd28…
05-08 13:58:09	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x736d56…
05-08 04:02:13	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Under	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd0e0e7…
05-08 03:46:19	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd34752…
05-08 03:22:37	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x94f295…
05-08 02:36:14	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x62c711…
05-08 02:33:58	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf11715…
05-08 02:05:56	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf31272…
05-08 02:05:02	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xec274e…
05-08 02:04:06	Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo	Toronto Tempo	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x517497…
05-08 02:01:26	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfcbd3b…
05-07 20:16:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5c500b…
05-07 20:02:10	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcccc91…
05-07 19:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x01264e…
05-07 19:40:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xaf48c8…
05-07 19:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x03b7a6…
05-07 19:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x245769…
05-07 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1fffa2…
05-07 19:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x178699…
05-07 19:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xceac6e…
05-07 14:19:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb67fde…
05-07 14:17:14	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x83b597…
05-07 14:16:57	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea4bcc…
05-07 14:15:19	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd3240f…
05-07 14:06:53	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x24b3dd…
05-07 13:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa5b580…
05-07 13:52:04	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcf10a7…
05-07 13:48:57	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x98f372…
05-07 13:46:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x28bb75…
05-07 04:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x66c7a8…
05-07 04:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x451126…
05-07 04:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x16e6c9…
05-07 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x06004e…
05-07 03:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x4a00cc…
05-07 03:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x01f768…
05-07 03:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1f452d…
05-07 03:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x43defc…
05-07 03:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6f2fd8…
05-07 03:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x85d578…
05-07 03:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6a28f6…
05-07 03:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x21db1e…
05-07 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x86808f…
05-07 03:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x39ddc8…
05-07 03:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x422f1c…
05-07 03:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x366eed…
05-07 03:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcd5ffe…
05-07 03:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe87520…
05-07 03:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7bdc2c…
05-07 03:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd4f0fe…
05-07 03:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf47afa…
05-07 03:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x764ad5…
05-07 03:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xf98fa0…
05-07 02:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x254192…
05-07 02:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x383060…
05-07 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdf5306…
05-07 02:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xd05fad…
05-07 02:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe1b098…
05-07 02:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe60e56…
05-07 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x96f9e1…
05-07 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2cbaee…
05-07 02:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb07e5f…
05-07 02:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xde2284…
05-07 02:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdfc9c7…
05-07 02:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4bfc30…
05-07 02:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe4ec45…
05-07 02:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3016ca…
05-07 02:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x96c174…
05-07 02:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd11a30…
05-07 02:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x879746…
05-07 02:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc57683…
05-07 02:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x86facb…
05-07 02:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x92c5b4…
05-07 02:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xf68d4b…
05-07 02:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xd60260…
05-07 02:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6b676b…
05-07 02:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc6febf…
05-07 02:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x63c672…