Scientific-Chair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-10 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-17

Politics

26% 0% $-10

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No		+24	$20	82¢	$20	$-0	06-02 16:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	9	$60	71	0	+71	open	—	05-26 18:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$55	31	31	+0	open	—	04-22 03:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	03-13 07:01
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	2	$50	42	42	+0	open	—	02-03 21:41
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	11	$48	57	55	+2	open	—	04-17 15:27
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$44	60	58	+2	open	—	04-28 07:33
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	4	$41	34	34	+0	Yes	$-6	04-19 04:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	11	34	-23	open	—	06-01 19:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	03-21 07:32
us x russia nuclear deal by february 4	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	02-03 22:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	05-05 16:53
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	04-27 14:38
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	7	$29	31	30	+1	open	—	04-21 14:39
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	3	$27	39	0	+39	open	—	04-03 08:44
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	04-27 20:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-16 13:20
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	1	$25	92	0	+92	open	—	01-31 08:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$25	31	12	+19	open	—	04-07 21:05
nothing ever happens elon edition	4	$25	53	53	+0	open	—	03-13 21:43
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	3	$24	27	13	+15	open	—	04-03 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 05:55
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	8	$23	69	66	+3	open	—	04-12 20:49
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	9	$22	71	68	+3	open	—	04-10 08:48
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 07:30
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-30 21:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 19:54
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-12 06:35
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 20:10
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	3	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	06-02 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:19:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x017d08…
06-10 06:18:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9708ef…
06-04 21:40:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1494ab…
06-04 21:39:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf7b552…
06-04 14:41:42	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0b25c9…
06-03 05:39:12	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x048d83…
06-03 05:38:58	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x392a85…
06-02 16:30:16	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcb26af…
06-02 16:30:12	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xecaca3…
06-02 10:54:07	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x85d80d…
06-01 19:10:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc0faf0…
06-01 15:05:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc7b534…
05-31 07:23:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4dbd40…
05-28 20:13:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xe64f6b…
05-26 18:18:28	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdd4038…
05-25 15:57:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x06a02c…
05-22 16:43:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x438397…
05-20 04:19:19	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb98374…
05-20 04:12:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x6c06ef…
05-17 06:14:34	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x99eca4…
05-17 05:55:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x4a5e3d…
05-16 07:27:05	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x54a108…
05-15 14:04:47	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfafcda…
05-15 14:02:41	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x049070…
05-10 19:15:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xbdd88e…
05-08 07:05:11	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2d755a…
05-08 07:04:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbeb83c…
05-07 05:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xe41c72…
05-07 05:49:57	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xecba16…
05-06 05:38:20	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x78d0bb…
05-05 16:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfc7f85…
05-05 16:44:32	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xb73d3d…
05-03 18:09:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x8ccd92…
05-03 07:53:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd1881b…
05-03 07:45:44	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0c945d…
04-30 16:55:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x106afe…
04-29 20:46:32	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights	Knights	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xdf05cf…
04-28 07:34:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x55d85b…
04-28 07:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x23d8c4…
04-27 20:14:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xdb7688…
04-27 20:13:08	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x91945c…
04-27 20:12:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x70b9cb…
04-27 20:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xf540b4…
04-27 20:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb536da…
04-27 19:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x58e079…
04-27 19:54:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x7aee97…
04-27 15:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7916f8…
04-27 15:00:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9c242b…
04-27 14:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x7c3161…
04-27 14:38:18	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x207d7c…
04-27 13:54:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6295e9…
04-27 06:36:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x649896…
04-27 06:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0afb76…
04-27 06:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x8511ee…
04-27 06:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x459841…
04-26 20:57:54	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights	Knights	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x10767c…
04-26 16:09:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x2d7876…
04-26 16:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x118914…
04-26 16:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xd1a852…
04-26 06:18:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x47fa53…
04-25 19:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0xfca9ea…
04-25 19:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc6de41…
04-25 07:13:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf0c6a8…
04-25 07:10:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x1bc79e…
04-25 06:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7d8789…
04-25 06:48:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x14d4b4…
04-25 06:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xe3f6f5…
04-24 15:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x7a4c4c…
04-24 09:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdf8197…
04-24 09:45:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x6e917d…
04-24 09:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x416d79…
04-24 09:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xf51263…
04-24 09:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x5a531b…
04-24 09:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xa53836…
04-24 06:23:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x49b993…
04-24 06:23:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x317305…
04-24 06:23:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xb53c4a…
04-23 20:10:50	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x6a2014…
04-23 12:12:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x56a028…
04-23 11:22:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2ed2f1…
04-23 11:22:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf34a81…
04-23 11:11:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x51a3b7…
04-23 08:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x420b50…
04-23 08:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x17fcc5…
04-23 08:55:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x3e0457…
04-23 08:52:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb179c0…
04-23 08:52:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x15a7b0…
04-22 10:17:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb94b3f…
04-22 03:16:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xca3d4b…
04-22 03:16:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0bfbff…
04-22 03:13:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x10da35…
04-22 03:12:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xd9fb35…
04-22 03:09:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xef9bae…
04-22 03:08:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x151758…
04-21 16:10:32	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x5caa6e…
04-21 15:07:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x1188d1…
04-21 15:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xcf6c8d…
04-21 15:06:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x6b6661…
04-21 15:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x792aad…
04-21 14:39:58	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x79dee0…