Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$286

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

628

Trades

3,580

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 11-04 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

57% 37% -$98

Politics

31% 29% -$95

Crypto

9% 70% -$8

Sports

2% 21% -$86

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes		+37	$25	95¢	$36	+$11	11-04 02:07
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes		+139	$47	1¢	$1	-$46	11-04 00:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	8	$813	464	464	+0	Yes	+$21	11-04 01:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	3	$331	211	211	+0	Yes	+$87	11-04 14:05
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	96	$280	1,496	934	+562	No	-$70	03-09 08:38
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	34	$226	317	247	+70	Yes	+$44	03-24 01:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$216	119	119	+0	Yes	+$19	11-04 01:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$214	116	116	+0	Yes	+$16	11-04 01:58
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 130 159	58	$213	630	630	-0	No	-$12	03-09 08:16
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	26	$211	233	233	+0	Yes	-$2	03-23 01:01
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	52	$210	279	282	-4	Yes	+$23	03-16 07:37
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	61	$197	1,704	1,619	+84	No	-$20	03-16 08:01
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	74	$188	163	210	-47	No	+$6	03-06 22:51
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 40 64	54	$188	562	436	+126	No	-$22	03-13 11:15
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 60 79	65	$182	1,427	1,579	-152	No	-$9	04-01 22:20
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	49	$161	1,580	1,578	+2	No	-$2	04-02 14:00
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	5	$152	624	594	+31	Yes	+$162	04-19 19:59
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	2	$148	247	0	+247	Yes	+$100	11-04 02:07
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	24	$143	110	120	-10	Yes	-$3	03-13 11:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$139	156	156	+0	No	-$56	11-04 01:05
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	44	$129	271	271	+0	No	+$26	05-28 00:04
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	27	$121	962	921	+41	No	-$10	04-21 02:26
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	40	$120	484	361	+123	No	-$11	05-11 23:37
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	17	$120	105	21	+84	Yes	+$3	02-28 19:42
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	34	$120	71	71	+0	Yes	-$15	02-28 16:48
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	21	$119	394	314	+80	No	+$37	05-14 19:36
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	52	$113	120	135	-15	No	+$5	03-06 00:00
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	18	$112	58	58	+0	No	+$1	02-28 16:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	21	$109	170	170	+0	Yes	+$27	06-03 07:24
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	41	$107	115	85	+30	Yes	-$23	03-02 15:18
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	19	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$0	02-27 10:02
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	25	$102	62	47	+15	Yes	-$15	02-27 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:05:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x58a8a8…
11-04 02:19:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xbbfcd4…
11-04 02:19:21	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xa17e54…
11-04 02:19:03	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xca5f96…
11-04 02:09:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0xd4c5af…
11-04 02:09:42	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x39bb72…
11-04 02:07:51	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x767a91…
11-04 02:07:49	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xf7f306…
11-04 02:07:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0xb8f293…
11-04 02:07:49	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x91e242…
11-04 02:07:49	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8ea69c…
11-04 02:07:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	125	26¢	$32	0x3a0689…
11-04 02:07:49	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x072277…
11-04 01:58:31	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	99¢	$117	0xd39c21…
11-04 01:58:31	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	119	99¢	$117	0x191609…
11-04 01:58:31	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x0e895f…
11-04 01:18:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0xebd167…
11-04 01:06:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	41	20¢	$8	0x962a43…
11-04 01:05:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	27¢	$42	0xbe04ac…
11-04 00:48:00	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	67	73¢	$49	0x00f74b…
11-04 00:47:58	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x605de4…
11-04 00:47:57	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	139	34¢	$47	0x09064f…
11-04 00:47:55	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	109	44¢	$48	0x0439f9…
11-04 00:44:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xfea646…
11-04 00:42:42	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	69	35¢	$24	0x72376f…
11-04 00:42:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	63¢	$98	0xf76d9b…
11-04 00:40:28	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	125	38¢	$48	0x2a31d8…
11-04 00:40:27	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0x24dba2…
11-04 00:40:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	142	52¢	$73	0x395556…
11-04 00:40:24	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	164	60¢	$98	0x2e664d…
11-04 00:38:52	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0x225d62…
11-04 00:33:43	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$49	0x844ab1…
11-04 00:27:03	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x392ff3…
11-04 00:22:34	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$27	0x085c31…
11-04 00:19:39	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$25	0xcc4656…
11-04 00:19:16	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0xfe67f1…
11-04 00:13:37	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	93¢	$104	0xda4835…
11-04 00:09:55	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0xb8329e…
11-04 00:09:36	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	86¢	$105	0x24d9a8…
11-04 00:08:40	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0x9558eb…
11-04 00:08:22	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0xe41ab7…
11-04 00:07:45	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	81¢	$90	0x576bbe…
11-04 00:06:30	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$99	0x241aef…
11-04 00:06:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	116	85¢	$99	0x7b4aa2…
09-18 23:52:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xaccbb6…
09-18 00:42:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbc29ae…
09-17 10:48:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x9dce14…
09-15 03:55:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x8f9c60…
09-14 21:19:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x50a118…
09-14 21:14:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa951f4…
09-14 21:14:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x3b5eff…
09-14 21:14:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x39ca9b…
09-14 21:14:27	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x60564b…
09-14 19:15:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x8b60cd…
09-14 19:15:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x86f7a5…
09-14 19:15:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x7fcf36…
09-14 19:15:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x77e09d…
09-14 17:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0xc6266e…
09-14 17:16:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x3fbd69…
09-14 17:16:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x987b57…
09-14 16:12:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x6699ae…
09-14 05:48:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe4e151…
09-14 00:54:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf1f9d1…
09-14 00:54:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xecc2e4…
09-12 15:03:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x28d868…
09-11 23:41:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xb8c9a6…
09-11 22:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xef2e86…
09-10 13:14:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x02d605…
09-08 04:56:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9059a0…
09-08 03:12:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x5b3ee6…
09-08 03:12:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd16a32…
09-08 03:11:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x244ec4…
09-08 03:11:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x929307…
09-08 00:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x2c2959…
09-07 22:45:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xbb8194…
09-07 16:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xb40135…
09-07 15:03:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe33e82…
09-07 14:22:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x1aa159…
09-07 06:25:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x39a0a6…
09-06 23:08:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x66471a…
09-06 23:07:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x7d88e9…
09-06 22:41:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x000fc2…
09-06 20:51:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe74b82…
09-06 20:51:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xed8567…
09-06 20:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x57a599…
09-06 13:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x1c3f23…
09-06 06:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xd012ac…
09-06 05:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x9cc33d…
09-06 04:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x416d0d…
09-06 02:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x577b64…
09-06 01:27:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x59b12c…
09-02 12:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0xd15d84…
09-02 05:43:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xd302fc…
08-31 12:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x396f3e…
08-31 12:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x3cd398…
08-31 12:21:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xb390a5…
08-31 12:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xda996f…
08-31 05:17:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9c6cea…
08-29 11:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xd7a26b…
08-29 05:49:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa28d83…