Grown-Weeder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$326

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$30.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

$259

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-14 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

37% 80% +$248

Sports

31% 10% $-486

Politics

17% 0% $-87

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		-287	$-204	72¢	$-206	$-3	06-06 02:00
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes		-76	$-43	70¢	$-53	$-9	06-14 23:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl chi nyr 2026 03 27	2	$1.2K	995	995	+0	open	—	03-27 15:52
fif che ger 2026 03 27 ger	2	$1.2K	1,259	1,259	+0	open	—	03-27 15:52
nba chi okc 2026 03 27 total 239pt5	2	$1.2K	1,199	1,199	+0	open	—	03-27 15:52
nba lac ind 2026 03 27 spread away 10pt5	2	$1.2K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	03-27 15:52
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$700	639	537	+101	open	—	04-19 15:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$623	501	488	+12	open	—	04-27 06:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$530	595	595	+0	open	—	05-02 16:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$517	5,719	2,778	+2,941	open	—	04-02 14:07
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$496	1,477	1,477	+0	open	—	03-30 12:19
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	2	$482	370	370	+0	open	—	04-06 21:32
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$458	265	265	+0	open	—	04-21 16:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$441	300	300	+0	open	—	05-18 20:00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$411	249	249	+0	open	—	04-13 11:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$399	659	659	+0	open	—	04-24 17:30
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$385	4,278	0	+4,278	open	—	03-27 23:39
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$373	587	431	+156	open	—	03-30 13:01
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	2	$349	244	238	+6	open	—	04-14 14:39
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	2	$342	217	214	+2	open	—	04-19 16:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$332	233	233	+0	open	—	04-17 09:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	4	$319	525	501	+24	open	—	04-24 11:30
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant	2	$318	185	183	+1	open	—	04-24 13:30
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	2	$315	239	234	+5	open	—	04-09 15:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$303	179	179	+0	open	—	04-15 13:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$288	191	191	+0	open	—	04-21 22:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$282	632	632	+0	open	—	04-23 18:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$281	186	180	+5	open	—	04-17 16:02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$272	233	233	+0	open	—	04-19 16:02
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$270	538	538	+0	open	—	04-19 15:32
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$263	548	548	+0	Knicks	$-66	05-05 01:00
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	2	$261	488	478	+10	open	—	04-21 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 23:04:06	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	76	57¢	$43	0x68a9aa…
06-11 13:30:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	321	72¢	$231	0xbeaa2f…
06-06 02:00:40	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	287	71¢	$204	0x05ebd3…
05-18 20:00:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x745bb7…
05-17 09:01:33	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x4d185b…
05-17 04:31:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	190	32¢	$61	0x9d13f9…
05-17 00:32:00	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	140	46¢	$64	0x58da62…
05-16 18:31:57	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x0b7122…
05-16 14:31:52	Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	BUY	73	84¢	$61	0x33b531…
05-14 17:32:11	Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner	REKONIX	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x0d0d3e…
05-14 17:00:09	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	163	16¢	$26	0x1adc09…
05-14 10:32:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	163	41¢	$67	0x3d413a…
05-14 10:00:09	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	165	25¢	$41	0x0eaa3c…
05-14 03:32:28	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	165	43¢	$71	0x7c5809…
05-14 00:30:11	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	SELL	66	48¢	$32	0x8750d0…
05-13 17:32:25	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	86	65¢	$56	0x5ff3a1…
05-13 16:32:13	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x95ea12…
05-13 02:00:10	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	SELL	143	20¢	$29	0x592116…
05-12 22:02:15	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	142	51¢	$73	0x401642…
05-12 14:31:22	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	143	50¢	$72	0x5b8d23…
05-12 05:00:08	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	69	68¢	$47	0x44e1b3…
05-12 02:30:08	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	189	42¢	$80	0x564d0b…
05-11 22:31:47	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	69	83¢	$58	0xa00a42…
05-11 16:01:46	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xcf3fb9…
05-11 12:31:43	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	189	44¢	$83	0x9d7642…
05-11 10:31:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0x1e047c…
05-10 19:31:50	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Seattle Mariners	BUY	143	72¢	$102	0x8c4078…
05-10 18:00:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	137	32¢	$44	0x615892…
05-10 11:01:57	Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xc6f402…
05-10 01:02:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	137	48¢	$66	0xc367b9…
05-09 19:01:31	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	William Gomis	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xe1b4a9…
05-09 15:31:54	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	209	39¢	$82	0x32526d…
05-09 07:01:50	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	72	38¢	$27	0x6f9ae2…
05-08 16:31:47	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	249	38¢	$95	0xcc327d…
05-08 11:31:58	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	160	87¢	$139	0x15676e…
05-08 07:01:51	Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Dane Sweeny	Mark Lajal	BUY	159	86¢	$137	0x69a3ea…
05-07 12:02:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	114	77¢	$88	0xbfd3bf…
05-07 02:30:09	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	716	10¢	$72	0xf255c5…
05-06 21:02:21	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	324	25¢	$83	0x2daa78…
05-06 11:31:52	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	406	21¢	$87	0x52d1a8…
05-06 08:32:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	86	60¢	$52	0xf7e65d…
05-05 14:02:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	716	25¢	$179	0xcd47d5…
05-05 02:32:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	454	26¢	$118	0xf3c403…
05-05 01:00:08	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	548	18¢	$99	0x9d4ad7…
05-04 23:01:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	276	56¢	$154	0x1b5492…
05-04 18:32:16	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	548	30¢	$164	0xfc9625…
05-04 15:02:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	244	67¢	$163	0x0e810a…
05-03 18:31:28	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	293	28¢	$82	0xccfc98…
05-03 01:01:54	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	141	44¢	$62	0xccc904…
05-02 21:32:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x8dfbf5…
05-02 16:03:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	595	66¢	$392	0xe79f38…
05-01 14:00:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	109	90¢	$98	0x2e32f9…
04-27 15:30:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	98	94¢	$92	0x6e968a…
04-27 06:30:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	488	88¢	$430	0x5c7d4f…
04-26 21:00:08	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	SELL	83	23¢	$19	0x63f05a…
04-26 13:01:56	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?	No	BUY	305	31¢	$94	0x184a98…
04-26 03:01:48	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	84	67¢	$56	0x43a603…
04-26 02:01:50	UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	Rafa Garcia	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0xf62c90…
04-26 02:00:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	SELL	167	21¢	$35	0x115fbf…
04-25 16:32:00	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	130	78¢	$102	0x8a5e0a…
04-25 12:31:48	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x467c35…
04-25 12:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	182	12¢	$22	0x1059b5…
04-25 08:02:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	170	68¢	$116	0x85b343…
04-25 04:01:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	185	71¢	$132	0xc42956…
04-24 17:30:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	659	21¢	$139	0x26f48b…
04-24 13:30:10	Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Sorana Cirstea	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0xae157d…
04-24 12:01:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x11e815…
04-24 11:30:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	No	SELL	78	90¢	$71	0x126074…
04-24 09:31:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	No	BUY	79	84¢	$67	0x42bb6e…
04-24 09:01:48	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game handicap home 1pt5	KT Rolster	BUY	144	67¢	$97	0xebe07f…
04-24 08:30:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	422	14¢	$61	0xbef33d…
04-24 08:00:08	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xecec42…
04-24 03:01:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	169	53¢	$90	0xd04ee6…
04-23 21:31:46	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	102	64¢	$65	0x852e3a…
04-23 20:32:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	446	27¢	$120	0xebd8e1…
04-23 20:01:52	Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	185	74¢	$137	0x31746f…
04-23 18:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	109	83¢	$91	0xa8eb6e…
04-23 18:30:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	632	16¢	$99	0x09b620…
04-23 15:30:14	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	No	SELL	236	10¢	$24	0xc3aeb9…
04-23 03:31:50	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0x1bc49a…
04-23 03:31:46	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	No	BUY	242	62¢	$150	0x28da04…
04-22 22:26:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	632	29¢	$183	0xcbf8c5…
04-22 19:27:44	itc ata laz 2026 04 22 laz	Yes	BUY	824	17¢	$140	0x3c13e2…
04-22 18:51:26	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x3372bd…
04-22 18:48:52	btc updown 5m 1776883500	Down	BUY	717	4¢	$29	0xa9251f…
04-22 18:48:52	btc updown 5m 1776883500	Down	BUY	635	3¢	$21	0x7722b4…
04-22 15:00:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 22	No	SELL	469	1¢	$6	0x69adf4…
04-22 13:31:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	501	39¢	$193	0x638fe6…
04-22 11:31:38	Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkina	Daria Snigur	BUY	352	62¢	$219	0xf94892…
04-22 08:31:48	bitcoin above 78k on april 22	No	BUY	486	51¢	$249	0x3369d0…
04-21 22:30:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	191	87¢	$167	0xc188f7…
04-21 20:32:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	659	40¢	$260	0xfb2dc9…
04-21 16:32:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	595	23¢	$137	0xa5d52a…
04-21 16:30:08	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	265	88¢	$233	0x27c98f…
04-21 15:30:12	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	370	22¢	$82	0x9e3575…
04-21 15:01:56	Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Patrick Kypson	BUY	227	58¢	$132	0x764f64…
04-21 13:32:00	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	310	67¢	$209	0x6d27ed…
04-21 13:30:08	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x96b0cd…
04-21 13:27:22	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xdec1f7…
04-21 09:01:46	bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	288	82¢	$236	0x2187d4…