Grown-Weeder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$689

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

224

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-02 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

42% 52% -$151

Sports

29% 44% -$94

Politics

16% 33% -$506

Crypto

11% 62% +$176

Tech

2% 0% -$114

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl chi nyr 2026 03 27	2	$1.2K	995	995	+0	Rangers	-$10	03-27 15:52
fif che ger 2026 03 27 ger	2	$1.2K	1,259	1,259	+0	Yes	-$13	03-27 15:52
nba chi okc 2026 03 27 total 239pt5	2	$1.2K	1,199	1,199	+0	Over	-$18	03-27 15:52
nba lac ind 2026 03 27 spread away 10pt5	2	$1.2K	1,102	1,102	+0	Pacers	-$18	03-27 15:52
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	10	$784	639	639	+0	Yes	+$18	05-04 21:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$623	501	488	+12	No	+$249	04-27 06:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$530	595	595	+0	No	+$255	05-02 16:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$517	5,719	2,778	+2,941	No	-$183	04-02 14:07
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$496	1,477	1,477	+0	No	-$201	03-30 12:19
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	2	$482	370	370	+0	Yes	+$255	04-06 21:32
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$458	265	265	+0	No	+$9	04-21 16:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$441	300	300	+0	No	+$87	05-18 20:00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$411	249	249	+0	No	+$23	04-13 11:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$399	659	659	+0	No	-$121	04-24 17:30
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$385	4,278	0	+4,278	No	-$385	03-27 23:39
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$373	587	431	+156	Yes	+$50	03-30 13:01
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	2	$360	287	287	+0	open	—	06-06 02:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$350	222	222	+0	No	+$36	05-06 17:30
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	2	$349	244	238	+6	No	+$24	04-14 14:39
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	2	$342	217	214	+2	No	+$6	04-19 16:32
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	2	$332	240	240	+0	Yes	+$145	05-03 19:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$332	233	233	+0	No	+$92	04-17 09:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	4	$319	525	501	+24	No	-$55	04-24 11:30
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant	2	$318	185	183	+1	Sorana Cirstea	+$46	04-24 13:30
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	2	$315	239	234	+5	Yes	-$20	04-09 15:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$311	321	321	+0	Yes	+$151	06-11 13:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$303	179	179	+0	Yes	+$49	04-15 13:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$290	181	181	+0	No	+$29	05-10 19:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$288	191	191	+0	No	+$46	04-21 22:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$282	632	632	+0	Yes	-$84	04-23 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 14:45:10	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	667	7¢	$50	0x8c69d2…
07-01 17:10:34	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x928bb8…
07-01 17:10:14	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x10cf6b…
06-30 17:56:13	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x334ee4…
06-30 17:48:55	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x451a46…
06-30 16:21:02	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6c6816…
06-30 16:20:17	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x255ac9…
06-29 16:31:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x732354…
06-29 15:41:29	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x18cc7b…
06-29 15:04:08	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x7215aa…
06-29 15:03:44	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xff9b7e…
06-28 14:51:08	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xe03d44…
06-26 16:17:28	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xd6ebb1…
06-14 23:04:06	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	76	57¢	$43	0x68a9aa…
06-11 13:30:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	321	72¢	$231	0xbeaa2f…
06-06 02:00:40	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	287	71¢	$204	0x05ebd3…
06-01 09:00:11	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	42	87¢	$36	0x35858e…
05-18 20:00:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x745bb7…
05-17 13:31:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0x616bc7…
05-17 09:01:33	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x4d185b…
05-17 04:31:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	190	32¢	$61	0x9d13f9…
05-17 00:32:00	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	140	46¢	$64	0x58da62…
05-16 18:31:57	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x0b7122…
05-16 14:31:52	Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	BUY	73	84¢	$61	0x33b531…
05-16 13:32:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	71¢	$47	0x2437ff…
05-14 23:31:55	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	No	BUY	154	25¢	$39	0x060419…
05-14 18:00:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	145	44¢	$63	0x37fbe8…
05-14 17:32:11	Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner	REKONIX	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x0d0d3e…
05-14 17:00:09	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	163	16¢	$26	0x1adc09…
05-14 10:32:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	163	41¢	$67	0x3d413a…
05-14 10:00:09	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	165	25¢	$41	0x0eaa3c…
05-14 03:32:28	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	165	43¢	$71	0x7c5809…
05-14 00:30:11	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	SELL	66	48¢	$32	0x8750d0…
05-13 22:02:04	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0xaeb236…
05-13 17:32:29	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0x86af93…
05-13 17:32:25	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	86	65¢	$56	0x5ff3a1…
05-13 16:32:13	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x95ea12…
05-13 02:00:10	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	SELL	143	20¢	$29	0x592116…
05-12 22:02:15	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	142	51¢	$73	0x401642…
05-12 14:31:22	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	143	50¢	$72	0x5b8d23…
05-12 05:00:08	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	69	68¢	$47	0x44e1b3…
05-12 02:30:08	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	189	42¢	$80	0x564d0b…
05-11 22:31:47	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	69	83¢	$58	0xa00a42…
05-11 16:01:46	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xcf3fb9…
05-11 12:31:43	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	189	44¢	$83	0x9d7642…
05-11 10:31:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0x1e047c…
05-11 07:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	145	68¢	$98	0x930ddd…
05-10 19:31:50	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Seattle Mariners	BUY	143	72¢	$102	0x8c4078…
05-10 19:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	181	88¢	$160	0x2e4cba…
05-10 18:00:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	137	32¢	$44	0x615892…
05-10 11:01:57	Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xc6f402…
05-10 10:31:56	Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	103	28¢	$29	0x365fb3…
05-10 01:02:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	137	48¢	$66	0xc367b9…
05-09 19:01:31	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	William Gomis	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xe1b4a9…
05-09 18:00:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	SELL	409	12¢	$49	0x9189c3…
05-09 15:31:54	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	209	39¢	$82	0x32526d…
05-09 15:00:08	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	201	33¢	$66	0x6cb343…
05-09 07:01:50	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	72	38¢	$27	0x6f9ae2…
05-09 02:02:02	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	201	50¢	$101	0xb643cd…
05-09 01:31:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	409	28¢	$115	0x6ef691…
05-08 17:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	181	72¢	$131	0x4b40b0…
05-08 16:31:47	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	249	38¢	$95	0xcc327d…
05-08 11:31:58	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	160	87¢	$139	0x15676e…
05-08 07:01:51	Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Dane Sweeny	Mark Lajal	BUY	159	86¢	$137	0x69a3ea…
05-07 19:30:07	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	142	82¢	$116	0xb60acb…
05-07 12:02:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	114	77¢	$88	0xbfd3bf…
05-07 12:02:07	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	196	56¢	$110	0x2982e8…
05-07 09:01:41	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	142	73¢	$103	0xf8b819…
05-07 02:30:09	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	716	10¢	$72	0xf255c5…
05-06 21:02:21	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	324	25¢	$83	0x2daa78…
05-06 21:00:10	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	SELL	120	81¢	$97	0xccd02e…
05-06 20:02:19	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	191	43¢	$82	0x2946a7…
05-06 19:32:29	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	70¢	$54	0x714e26…
05-06 19:32:26	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	BUY	120	74¢	$89	0x08164d…
05-06 19:30:11	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	143	35¢	$50	0x9f6872…
05-06 17:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	222	87¢	$193	0x253cee…
05-06 12:31:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	321	25¢	$80	0xe863c7…
05-06 11:31:52	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	406	21¢	$87	0x52d1a8…
05-06 09:03:56	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	SELL	332	9¢	$30	0x5fa6a5…
05-06 09:01:58	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	143	61¢	$87	0xed4e16…
05-06 08:32:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	86	60¢	$52	0xf7e65d…
05-06 02:32:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Beatriz Haddad Maia	BUY	289	50¢	$144	0x9f28c9…
05-05 17:01:52	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	144	62¢	$90	0xf42dc5…
05-05 16:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	222	71¢	$157	0x6f6bdf…
05-05 14:02:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	716	25¢	$179	0xcd47d5…
05-05 02:32:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	454	26¢	$118	0xf3c403…
05-05 01:00:08	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	548	18¢	$99	0x9d4ad7…
05-04 23:01:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	276	56¢	$154	0x1b5492…
05-04 21:00:08	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	101	83¢	$84	0x90df0f…
05-04 18:32:16	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	548	30¢	$164	0xfc9625…
05-04 17:32:20	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	271	44¢	$119	0x6bd5fb…
05-04 15:02:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	244	67¢	$163	0x0e810a…
05-03 19:00:16	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0xe10aa5…
05-03 18:31:28	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	293	28¢	$82	0xccfc98…
05-03 18:30:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	477	5¢	$25	0x14653a…
05-03 17:01:40	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	240	39¢	$93	0xdf4b3a…
05-03 13:09:20	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	266	40¢	$106	0x078f5b…
05-03 12:02:02	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	234	51¢	$119	0xceded0…
05-03 01:01:54	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	141	44¢	$62	0xccc904…
05-03 00:02:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	477	45¢	$215	0x35d121…