Compassionate-Immortal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.03K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

1,182

Trades

4,890

lifetime

Volume

$2.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$421

Open exposure

$1.35K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-29 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

67% 90% -$4,517

Crypto

31% 90% +$498

Politics

3% 92% +$181

Sports

0% 67% -$189

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+1,350	$1,348	100¢	$1.3K	+$0	10-29 16:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?	90	$27.1K	15,000	15,000	+0	Yes	-$2,640	06-21 20:30
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 first half total 0pt5	4	$23.9K	12,000	12,000	+0	Over	+$108	06-15 19:30
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	4	$19.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$260	06-21 16:11
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	7	$18.0K	12,000	6,000	+6,000	Yes	+$4	06-23 18:17
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	11	$15.9K	8,000	8,000	-0	Over	+$52	06-17 05:43
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?	3	$15.6K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	-$120	06-23 04:46
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?	9	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$15	06-20 20:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	18	$14.6K	10,660	4,000	+6,660	Yes	+$7	10-03 16:36
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?	3	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$12	06-16 20:30
fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 first half total 0pt5	8	$11.9K	12,000	0	+12,000	Over	+$120	06-16 01:12
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic?	13	$11.9K	11,974	0	+11,974	No	+$120	06-19 02:11
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	24	$11.4K	5,689	5,689	+0	No	+$11	05-25 11:08
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?	5	$11.3K	11,300	0	+11,300	No	+$11	06-18 22:52
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?	11	$10.7K	10,740	0	+10,740	No	+$33	06-22 02:27
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Haiti?	2	$10.7K	10,700	0	+10,700	No	+$11	06-20 01:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	9	$10.4K	10,440	0	+10,440	No	+$12	06-23 15:15
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria?	14	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	06-23 04:32
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan?	7	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	06-21 04:14
Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 0 Morocco?	3	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	06-19 22:04
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	4	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	06-18 20:44
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?	11	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	06-24 00:23
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?	8	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$11	06-16 22:32
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	10	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$15	05-22 16:05
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?	4	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$45	06-16 02:25
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Brazil?	12	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	-0	No	+$40	06-24 22:50
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?	8	$9.9K	9,944	0	+9,944	No	+$10	06-22 18:58
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	11	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Under	+$0	06-20 03:55
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt?	3	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$100	06-15 19:21
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?	53	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$127	06-19 19:45
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?	29	$9.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$887	06-21 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:39:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0x853239…
10-29 14:26:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x4bbf79…
10-29 14:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfca817…
10-29 14:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	824	100¢	$822	0x421789…
10-29 14:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xa04c67…
10-29 14:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x100fb1…
10-29 14:16:32	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x3a3460…
10-29 14:15:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x387746…
10-29 14:15:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x316207…
10-29 05:09:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	605	100¢	$604	0x0589fa…
10-29 05:07:25	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	831	100¢	$830	0x454d9e…
10-29 05:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$564	0xed5696…
10-29 05:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x624f1b…
10-29 05:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	572	100¢	$571	0x21c021…
10-29 05:01:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x639788…
10-29 03:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	435	100¢	$434	0x948516…
10-29 02:03:56	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xee18ed…
10-29 01:24:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe34b85…
10-29 01:03:20	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	94¢	$90	0x62cd8a…
10-28 22:21:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe724ce…
10-28 20:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	890	100¢	$889	0x51c43b…
10-28 18:52:20	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xc86062…
10-28 18:48:02	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0x3944dd…
10-28 18:47:25	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xc6e442…
10-28 18:45:50	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x03ed58…
10-28 18:33:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	565	100¢	$564	0x6b212f…
10-28 17:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xd369bb…
10-28 17:51:14	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	324	100¢	$323	0x8eadcf…
10-28 17:50:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	390	99¢	$388	0xc3151e…
10-28 17:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdca29a…
10-28 17:46:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x80aede…
10-28 17:23:52	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0x1ed64c…
10-28 17:20:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xdf3417…
10-28 16:43:20	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	10¢	$18	0x0828f7…
10-28 16:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	299	99¢	$296	0xb7e685…
10-28 16:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2d14b6…
10-28 16:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdca940…
10-28 16:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	290	99¢	$287	0x3e1ab3…
10-28 16:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x81b340…
10-28 15:57:26	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x630cba…
10-28 15:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xfcc5ff…
10-28 15:54:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b75f7…
10-28 15:54:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x602b38…
10-28 15:42:23	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3fdc78…
10-28 15:27:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf7f21d…
10-28 14:37:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	94¢	$77	0xa937b4…
10-28 14:37:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x4663be…
10-28 12:38:22	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3baeb8…
10-28 12:22:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	751	100¢	$751	0x9d7ca2…
10-28 11:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	849	100¢	$848	0x43d802…
10-28 11:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0x044eb2…
10-28 11:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,560	100¢	$1,558	0xdc197e…
10-28 10:57:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6ae714…
10-28 10:16:10	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9cd9be…
10-28 10:16:10	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6fc96f…
10-28 09:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	681	100¢	$680	0x0273e9…
10-28 08:20:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x347675…
10-28 08:11:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0xe86cdf…
10-28 07:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0801ec…
10-28 07:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5e780c…
10-28 07:48:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd2b5b7…
10-28 07:47:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa78b13…
10-28 07:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x30bec3…
10-28 07:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd6d055…
10-28 07:46:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4ab7fd…
10-28 07:46:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x57b0dd…
10-28 07:46:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7dd6b0…
10-28 07:46:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4ca162…
10-28 07:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x7cd899…
10-28 06:50:40	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x36eda5…
10-28 06:50:28	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd90df4…
10-28 06:50:25	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x455c4f…
10-28 06:50:22	Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7ace46…
10-28 04:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0xeb6e14…
10-28 04:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x96b805…
10-28 04:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x7ae600…
10-28 04:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe9e2c4…
10-28 04:44:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x67ecc8…
10-28 04:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x8a1726…
10-28 04:43:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x3f4fdc…
10-28 04:42:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6b8e6a…
10-28 04:25:44	Will White House post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf71ad8…
10-28 04:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xbfefd2…
10-28 04:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x20a7c4…
10-28 04:16:13	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x71bbdb…
10-28 04:15:05	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xd54ba0…
10-28 01:23:59	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x955875…
10-28 01:14:50	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0xcb358f…
10-27 17:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefed7d…
10-27 17:35:42	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x337da5…
10-27 16:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0xb6c414…
10-27 15:18:11	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xc34b80…
10-27 14:30:44	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9dd7f1…
10-27 14:26:51	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xe69c59…
10-27 14:19:59	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x989f98…
10-27 10:09:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 27?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x478959…
10-27 08:22:36	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf7ad2f…
10-27 08:22:36	Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2eb96c…
10-27 08:22:36	Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x13efde…
10-27 08:22:36	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0450ce…