Grounded-Hit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

294

Trades

2,586

lifetime

Volume

$231.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-27 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

99% 68% +$7,491

Crypto

0% 0% -$209

Politics

0% 0% -$600

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	15	$4.8K	5,951	815	+5,135	No	-$2	07-31 05:17
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	13	$4.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$346	04-03 09:29
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	53	$4.0K	2,201	2,189	+13	No	+$86	04-07 12:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	19	$3.9K	4,717	1,215	+3,501	No	+$114	06-19 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	15	$3.7K	7,478	0	+7,478	No	+$69	08-24 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	20	$3.5K	4,790	1,104	+3,687	Yes	-$329	08-03 23:45
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	37	$3.5K	5,789	7,790	-2,001	No	+$364	03-13 12:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	7	$3.3K	3,026	1,042	+1,984	No	-$135	07-24 08:16
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	4	$3.1K	1,607	1,607	+0	No	+$63	04-02 18:16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$2.9K	3,306	0	+3,306	No	+$393	07-10 07:27
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	30	$2.9K	5,258	5,289	-30	No	-$52	03-17 12:20
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	22	$2.8K	2,669	4,667	-1,998	No	+$739	03-09 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,361	1,361	+0	No	+$174	08-20 11:20
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	8	$2.5K	4,402	175	+4,227	No	-$96	04-17 13:58
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	21	$2.4K	5,123	495	+4,628	Yes	+$193	04-14 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	20	$2.3K	3,550	500	+3,050	No	+$59	08-07 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	7	$2.2K	3,778	28	+3,749	No	-$259	06-04 09:01
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	15	$2.1K	1,564	965	+599	No	-$1	03-21 05:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	13	$2.0K	4,940	999	+3,942	No	+$42	04-20 03:24
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	11	$2.0K	1,400	1,400	+0	G2 Esports	+$270	07-08 09:32
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	17	$2.0K	792	2,757	-1,965	Yes	-$53	03-17 15:43
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	1	$2.0K	0	2,000	-2,000	Yes	-$2	03-27 15:38
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	1	$2.0K	0	2,000	-2,000	Yes	-$2	03-24 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	7	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$10	09-11 16:00
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	7	$2.0K	1,143	1,136	+7	No	-$18	04-08 05:11
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	50	$2.0K	4,314	5,614	-1,300	Yes	-$1,006	03-20 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	20	$2.0K	3,721	0	+3,721	Yes	-$251	06-16 04:17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	31	$2.0K	4,041	41	+4,000	No	+$91	05-26 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	14	$1.9K	4,265	266	+3,999	No	+$143	04-26 01:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$1.9K	2,177	0	+2,177	No	+$239	07-24 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xe9046b…
10-27 08:46:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x347a9d…
10-27 03:50:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0xde0645…
10-27 03:49:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	13¢	$24	0xdd7d9f…
10-26 17:47:53	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x2ee91f…
10-26 17:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xf61497…
10-26 14:28:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x704b1f…
10-26 14:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$14	0xa75866…
10-26 13:40:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	98	37¢	$36	0x5d0aad…
10-24 20:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	10¢	$69	0xb9ea5f…
10-24 18:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4b63b4…
10-24 18:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe9aa4a…
10-24 18:44:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x802882…
10-23 15:21:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	155	80¢	$124	0x98bd21…
10-23 15:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x7f0732…
10-23 14:02:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	575	80¢	$460	0x0a0e44…
10-23 14:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0x992751…
10-23 14:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0x13e50d…
10-23 12:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$223	0x20fddb…
10-23 05:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc26233…
10-23 05:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	186	81¢	$151	0x8ce5fc…
10-23 05:53:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x82c0cf…
10-23 05:53:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	272	81¢	$220	0x849ab0…
10-22 20:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	15¢	$35	0x16c6a6…
10-22 20:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0xa381ed…
10-22 20:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xd38f7f…
10-22 12:46:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5f760d…
10-22 12:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xf076fb…
10-22 12:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xd0ba6c…
10-22 12:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x7ddd67…
10-22 12:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4f02bc…
10-22 12:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe97b14…
10-22 12:43:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xac1b9b…
10-22 12:43:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5acd27…
10-22 12:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x097713…
10-22 12:37:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x4dcbb7…
10-22 12:37:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x9eebbd…
10-22 12:37:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe9aee3…
10-22 12:34:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x683a12…
10-22 12:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdb6777…
10-22 12:31:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xbe953b…
10-22 12:31:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x63b7c0…
10-22 12:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x15f320…
10-22 02:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	160	75¢	$120	0xb3cede…
10-20 18:03:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	15¢	$45	0x6b0560…
10-20 03:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x289888…
10-20 03:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x4b268e…
10-20 03:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x44e755…
10-19 23:04:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	672	93¢	$626	0xc5409b…
10-19 20:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	3¢	$6	0x5667ac…
10-19 20:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xc73d37…
10-19 16:47:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xe8f374…
10-19 08:48:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	461	81¢	$373	0x119a14…
10-19 04:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x0a2b68…
10-19 03:29:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	105	86¢	$91	0xfdaf14…
10-19 01:04:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	172	85¢	$146	0x8f1ff2…
10-18 13:21:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	131	85¢	$111	0xf1a6d8…
10-18 07:33:14	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	SELL	949	69¢	$655	0x5d8357…
10-18 06:45:33	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	949	55¢	$522	0xbd4cc2…
10-18 06:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7bfcbb…
10-17 02:24:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	11¢	$27	0x123173…
10-16 17:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x853cdd…
10-16 17:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x09c855…
10-16 13:31:15	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7e213e…
10-16 12:51:27	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	154	66¢	$102	0x37f6c7…
10-16 12:39:57	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x542c9a…
10-16 06:59:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	378	93¢	$350	0x9e5e78…
10-16 02:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x5300f1…
10-15 02:42:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	403	12¢	$49	0x855d69…
10-15 02:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xdf6735…
10-15 02:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x51d6de…
10-15 02:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xb2eb38…
10-15 02:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0xd06f2a…
10-15 02:28:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	29¢	$59	0xd1c027…
10-15 01:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	592	89¢	$526	0x78adfe…
10-15 01:44:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$55	0xf2e369…
10-15 01:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	45	70¢	$31	0xded981…
10-14 04:26:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	20¢	$28	0x2983b1…
10-14 04:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	20¢	$73	0xf82e70…
10-14 02:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	504	91¢	$461	0x02520e…
10-13 01:55:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4060f8…
10-13 00:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	135	93¢	$125	0xc08e1d…
10-13 00:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	165	93¢	$154	0xc523df…
10-12 12:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x38f66e…
10-11 22:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x40b86e…
10-11 01:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0xf80e8d…
10-10 07:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	616	0¢	$1	0x12f7c9…
10-09 23:36:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	437	19¢	$83	0xec84d0…
10-09 20:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	14¢	$27	0xc890c0…
10-08 23:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$42	0x3e767c…
10-08 21:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	3¢	$19	0x0781dd…
10-08 21:36:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	6¢	$44	0x848723…
10-08 21:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	506	10¢	$49	0xf83e74…
10-08 12:07:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	616	5¢	$29	0xa86cdb…
10-08 05:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x261505…
10-08 05:39:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	3¢	$7	0xbcf1d5…
10-08 05:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	0¢	$1	0x109f1e…
10-08 04:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	521	11¢	$57	0xdc0e7d…
10-08 04:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0xecb1da…
10-08 04:39:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	13¢	$17	0x8f1008…