Straight-Apprehension 0x0362bb…b6449e
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$41.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$446
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
6,135
Trades
41,643
lifetime
Volume
$1.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$33.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 286 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 78% -$4,371
Other
39% 61% -$10,485
Sports
9% 56% -$18,537
Politics
8% 66% -$7,646
Tech
2% 79% +$240
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$160
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,845 98¢ $4.9K +$70 09-28 23:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,510 -$3,431 96¢ $-3373 +$58 08-25 15:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,000 $2,541 82¢ $2.5K -$73 10-22 22:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,796 $1,739 97¢ $1.7K +$7 10-02 12:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,357 -$1,378 98¢ $-1326 +$52 08-24 18:00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$1,137 39¢ $-1176 -$39 10-28 16:57
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,100 -$1,023 96¢ $-1058 -$35 08-24 21:45
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -1,000 -$852 100¢ $-997 -$145 08-24 17:25
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -1,000 -$994 98¢ $-983 +$11 09-02 23:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +1,000 $920 98¢ $978 +$58 07-07 23:44
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -1,000 -$974 98¢ $-978 -$4 08-24 21:47
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $942 96¢ $964 +$22 07-12 18:05
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$1,000 96¢ $-955 +$45 08-28 13:16
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -1,000 -$883 96¢ $-955 -$73 08-25 17:11
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +1,000 $800 94¢ $945 +$145 08-19 15:09
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $930 92¢ $920 -$10 10-03 03:33
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $920 88¢ $885 -$35 10-03 04:21
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $890 88¢ $885 -$5 10-28 16:42
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -900 -$837 95¢ $-855 -$18 08-25 19:33
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,000 -$636 43¢ $-853 -$217 08-24 11:48
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -1,100 -$1,001 70¢ $-764 +$236 08-25 00:30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +771 $678 92¢ $705 +$27 10-28 16:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,000 -$726 16¢ $-642 +$84 10-28 17:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +600 $480 94¢ $564 +$84 08-12 21:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,000 -$516 13¢ $-510 +$6 10-28 17:10
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +500 $415 100¢ $500 +$85 06-09 20:20
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -500 -$497 100¢ $-499 -$2 08-24 17:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $410 99¢ $496 +$86 10-06 14:13
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -500 -$480 97¢ $-484 -$4 08-25 17:08
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +500 $450 96¢ $481 +$31 08-14 15:37