Realized P&L
-$1.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$340
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
90
Trades
35,599
lifetime
Volume
$1.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$21.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 00:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 29% $-164
Other
31% 56% $-233
Sports
11% 50% $-975
Politics
4% 78% +$96
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3,000 $2,814 96¢ $2.9K +$55 06-23 02:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,200 $2,016 92¢ $2.0K $-3 06-28 17:47
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing +2,000 $1,926 96¢ $1.9K $-16 06-23 23:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,986 $1,865 96¢ $1.9K +$33 06-12 18:04
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +1,000 $950 98¢ $985 +$35 06-02 23:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,000 $935 95¢ $949 +$14 06-24 01:28
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $942 95¢ $946 +$5 07-12 18:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,000 $939 94¢ $944 +$5 07-05 13:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +1,000 $920 92¢ $915 $-5 07-07 23:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $820 90¢ $895 +$75 06-24 13:57
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? Yes +1,000 $805 88¢ $880 +$75 06-10 12:19
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +800 $648 80¢ $640 $-8 06-17 06:53
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +569 $523 96¢ $543 +$20 06-12 15:50
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +570 $483 90¢ $510 +$27 06-08 14:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +490 $416 94¢ $463 +$47 05-31 18:48
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $395 92¢ $462 +$68 05-31 01:54
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +500 $460 84¢ $419 $-41 06-22 16:04
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +407 $378 90¢ $369 $-9 07-05 21:52
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +377 $328 92¢ $349 +$21 06-13 09:40
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +358 $336 94¢ $336 +$0 07-20 07:52
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No +289 $273 96¢ $277 +$3 06-24 13:31
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +291 $249 92¢ $269 +$20 07-15 21:46
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +252 $216 88¢ $223 +$7 07-16 14:13
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +194 $173 96¢ $187 +$14 06-06 12:48
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +186 $173 95¢ $176 +$3 05-30 10:25
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +184 $171 96¢ $176 +$5 05-30 12:50
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $142 86¢ $172 +$31 07-14 05:53
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +171 $156 92¢ $158 +$3 06-02 17:35
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +400 $308 40¢ $158 $-150 06-01 12:54
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +200 $152 78¢ $157 +$5 06-01 18:16