Realized P&L
-$1.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$551
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
90
Trades
35,468
lifetime
Volume
$1.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$23.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 10:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 29% $-164
Other
31% 56% $-233
Sports
11% 50% $-975
Politics
4% 78% +$96
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +3,000 $2,790 96¢ $2.9K +$100 06-09 06:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3,000 $2,814 95¢ $2.8K +$28 06-23 02:48
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing +2,000 $1,926 95¢ $1.9K $-31 06-23 23:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,200 $2,016 86¢ $1.9K $-135 06-28 17:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,986 $1,865 94¢ $1.9K +$5 06-12 18:04
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,000 $983 99¢ $994 +$11 06-25 00:38
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +1,000 $950 96¢ $956 +$6 06-02 23:45
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +956 $669 100¢ $953 +$284 06-14 06:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,000 $935 94¢ $936 +$1 06-24 01:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $820 84¢ $835 +$15 06-24 13:57
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? Yes +1,000 $805 77¢ $770 $-35 06-10 12:19
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +800 $648 69¢ $552 $-96 06-17 06:53
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +569 $523 96¢ $543 +$20 06-12 15:50
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +500 $462 98¢ $492 +$30 06-07 14:47
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +570 $483 84¢ $481 $-1 06-08 14:58
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +500 $460 96¢ $478 +$18 06-22 16:04
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +500 $458 94¢ $470 +$11 06-12 07:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +490 $416 92¢ $448 +$32 05-31 18:48
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $395 86¢ $428 +$32 05-31 01:54
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +423 $357 99¢ $420 +$62 06-18 21:15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +377 $328 91¢ $343 +$15 06-13 09:40
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +400 $308 80¢ $320 +$12 06-01 12:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +300 $255 100¢ $300 +$45 05-28 20:02
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +300 $225 96¢ $287 +$62 06-20 02:31
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No +289 $273 95¢ $274 +$1 06-24 13:31
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +259 $220 92¢ $239 +$19 06-24 01:18
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $179 100¢ $200 +$21 05-31 11:49
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +194 $173 97¢ $188 +$15 06-06 12:48
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +186 $173 94¢ $175 +$2 05-30 10:25
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +184 $171 93¢ $172 +$1 05-30 12:50