Unwitting-Civilization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

1,237

Trades

1,546

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-04 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 43% -$34

Other

11% 23% -$159

Sports

3% 42% -$2

Politics

1% 42% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+31	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	05-15 08:19
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+8	$2	5¢	$0	-$2	05-07 11:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	05-06 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	4	$40	155	0	+155	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$40	05-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:30 UTC	3	$36	3,600	0	+3,600	Up	-$36	06-04 12:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$13	712	0	+712	Down	-$2	05-18 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 10:39
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$11	20	0	+20	Up	-$1	05-23 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$10	500	0	+500	Down	-$10	05-18 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$10	143	0	+143	Down	-$10	05-18 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	05-18 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	15	$10	497	0	+497	Down	-$10	05-18 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	7	$10	124	0	+124	Up	-$10	05-19 01:32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$9	170	170	+0	No	+$1	05-16 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$8	21	0	+21	Down	-$8	06-02 10:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$8	75	75	+0	No	+$1	05-16 11:31
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$8	7	7	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$6	05-10 11:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$8	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-16 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$8	117	14	+103	Down	-$6	05-20 13:38
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	2	$7	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-16 11:31
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$7	68	68	+0	No	$0	05-16 16:23
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	2	$7	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-16 15:01
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$7	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-16 16:23
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	2	$7	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 15:26
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$7	75	75	+0	No	$0	05-16 15:01
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$7	94	94	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 11:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$7	23	23	+0	No	-$1	05-16 16:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$7	750	750	+0	No	-$1	05-16 15:01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$6	268	268	+0	No	-$1	05-16 15:01
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?	2	$6	12	12	+0	No	+$4	05-20 13:39
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	2	$6	22	22	+0	No	-$2	05-16 16:23
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$6	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-15 07:47
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	3	$5	11	3	+8	Team WE	+$1	05-06 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,200	1¢	$12	0x40853b…
06-04 12:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,200	1¢	$12	0xeccafd…
06-04 12:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,200	1¢	$12	0xdb6290…
06-02 11:22:53	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xdda7ea…
06-02 11:22:53	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2173c5…
06-02 10:49:41	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4f79df…
06-02 10:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x6dbca5…
06-02 10:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x76d835…
06-02 10:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x86c8ea…
06-02 07:13:30	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xe3e493…
06-02 06:50:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7d83b4…
06-02 06:50:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x52b7e8…
06-02 06:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x398f05…
06-02 06:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x918bab…
06-02 06:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xc57527…
06-02 06:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x098f73…
06-02 06:26:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xeb433e…
06-02 06:09:20	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x761667…
06-02 05:06:53	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf7c1c9…
06-02 05:06:52	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf46b0b…
06-02 02:44:44	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf9c664…
06-02 01:43:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd0a6e8…
06-02 01:26:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2ee904…
06-02 00:12:20	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x6de7db…
06-02 00:10:47	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x7ddd03…
06-02 00:10:46	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xb76ef6…
06-01 19:56:36	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xed8f10…
06-01 17:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xc08144…
06-01 17:30:34	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x5b8dd3…
06-01 16:08:54	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xd8e11f…
06-01 16:08:54	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xba6fc7…
06-01 15:28:04	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1c00c7…
06-01 15:11:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x14d68d…
06-01 15:09:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdba17b…
06-01 14:47:49	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x09bcaf…
06-01 14:39:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x653d55…
06-01 14:23:36	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xd7ca7d…
06-01 14:22:12	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2226e7…
06-01 14:01:07	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xe9c2d6…
06-01 14:01:07	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x645557…
06-01 13:58:51	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5960c7…
05-31 11:26:26	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfe54c9…
05-24 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xeeb1d7…
05-24 14:11:14	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9216d4…
05-24 14:06:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa4d2bd…
05-24 14:06:10	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x87146f…
05-24 14:05:23	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8c9925…
05-24 14:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x604ab3…
05-24 14:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa27ccc…
05-24 14:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4bff85…
05-24 14:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf18bfc…
05-24 14:01:33	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x246c32…
05-24 14:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x352b79…
05-24 13:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x277dbf…
05-24 13:55:08	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf66bb3…
05-24 13:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x63e46f…
05-24 13:55:05	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x46e53c…
05-24 13:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1459ea…
05-24 13:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdabc5f…
05-24 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x83b610…
05-24 13:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xe10107…
05-24 13:47:26	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x92b36b…
05-24 13:46:34	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4a8c68…
05-24 13:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3eb4a2…
05-24 13:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x711b99…
05-24 13:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7569bb…
05-24 13:40:04	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x07c82f…
05-24 13:38:15	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6854b4…
05-24 13:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdf9273…
05-24 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfbb971…
05-24 13:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf3c1e8…
05-24 13:31:06	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd41ba3…
05-24 13:31:06	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0ec8b6…
05-24 13:31:05	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x963e72…
05-24 13:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xefc5e1…
05-24 13:30:17	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb359f4…
05-24 12:17:12	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9d4a1c…
05-24 12:17:12	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x882369…
05-24 12:16:40	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd4c25b…
05-24 12:16:40	BNB Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x48f8be…
05-23 19:36:56	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x68b1a7…
05-23 19:36:56	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x43bbc7…
05-23 19:15:40	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe30bd2…
05-23 19:15:40	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3a743c…
05-23 19:15:10	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x301975…
05-23 19:15:08	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x23ff4e…
05-21 15:58:38	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x8240be…
05-21 15:55:12	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x20af14…
05-21 15:53:32	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4e6154…
05-21 15:53:27	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0db14d…
05-21 15:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xccc87c…
05-21 15:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x53e29c…
05-21 15:50:32	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9bf2d3…
05-21 15:45:22	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x11a4bb…
05-21 15:45:20	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x6315a5…
05-21 15:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc8ccb2…
05-21 15:45:17	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x41a0da…
05-21 15:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc899d3…
05-21 15:41:33	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x555c44…
05-21 15:41:15	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xae667b…