Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,495
$2,520 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$16,660
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 13:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $325 | — | +$325 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $122 | $25 | +$97 |
| Median | 2 | $60 | — | +$60 |
| Below median | 5 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $123 | — | +$123 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | +650 | $114 | $114 | 2 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Bustling-Butterfly 0x08f1…9a02 | Yes | +588 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 04:26 |
| Alarming-Restaurant 0x8848…8c30 | Yes | +350 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-14 13:49 |
| Friendly-Mailbox 0x11c5…79d8 | Yes | +235 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-13 21:08 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | +135 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 11:44 |
| Wrong-Blocker 0x1306…1468 | Yes | +109 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 05:15 |
| Snappy-Interferometer-Mandate 0xbebe…656e | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:05 |
| Timely-Religion 0x41be…5f38 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 18:43 |
| Humming-Motorcar 0xf2dd…1db4 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 21:36 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Imperturbable-Foot 0x0b73…01e3 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 07:26 |
| Growling-Musicbox 0xdb90…8472 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:30 |
| Creepy-Orient 0x14dd…c8b0 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:49:21 | Alarming-Restaurant 0x8848…8c30 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 15¢ | $52 | 0x5cf441… |
| 05-14 11:49:56 | Hidden-Bloodflow 0xce1e…851f | Yes | SELL | 10,000 | 11¢ | $1,067 | 0x550d8c… |
| 05-14 11:44:03 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 17¢ | $23 | 0x92785e… |
| 05-14 05:15:52 | Wrong-Blocker 0x1306…1468 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 18¢ | $20 | 0x0393cf… |
| 05-14 04:50:45 | Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | BUY | 500 | 18¢ | $90 | 0x471124… |
| 05-13 22:05:57 | Snappy-Interferometer-Mandate 0xbebe…656e | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xc97eb7… |
| 05-13 21:08:40 | Friendly-Mailbox 0x11c5…79d8 | Yes | BUY | 235 | 17¢ | $40 | 0x52c1c4… |
| 05-13 21:03:14 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | SELL | 28 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x72309c… |
| 05-13 18:43:28 | Timely-Religion 0x41be…5f38 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xa3f331… |
| 05-13 07:34:39 | Creepy-Orient 0x14dd…c8b0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe073ef… |
| 05-13 04:26:28 | Bustling-Butterfly 0x08f1…9a02 | Yes | BUY | 588 | 17¢ | $100 | 0x08890d… |
| 05-13 01:32:50 | Original-Broker 0x36d5…d075 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x4e631d… |
| 05-13 00:48:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0x13ebc1… |
| 05-13 00:48:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xe4e071… |
| 05-13 00:48:25 | Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | BUY | 150 | 16¢ | $24 | 0xefd5dd… |
| 05-12 23:37:08 | Narrow-Product 0x8f4e…a12f | Yes | SELL | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x0d1bbc… |
| 05-12 21:36:49 | Humming-Motorcar 0xf2dd…1db4 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x8f4eff… |
| 05-12 19:30:30 | Growling-Musicbox 0xdb90…8472 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe32523… |
| 05-12 15:18:09 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe0da1d… |
| 05-12 11:47:29 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x261492… |
| 05-12 11:42:30 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xc7e321… |
| 05-12 09:27:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x833136… |
| 05-12 07:26:05 | Imperturbable-Foot 0x0b73…01e3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xe28428… |