Wrong-Blocker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$390

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-04 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

74% 57% -$88

Politics

10% 14% -$323

Crypto

7% 50% +$30

Sports

4% 50% -$8

Tech

4% 67% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	9	$373	290	290	+0	No	-$10	05-14 04:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$324	312	312	+0	No	-$46	04-28 04:59
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	6	$236	330	327	+4	Yes	-$233	04-13 19:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 7	2	$160	100	97	+3	Yes	+$37	04-07 16:10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$122	74	72	+1	Yes	+$23	04-28 16:24
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$117	78	78	+0	Yes	+$37	04-28 05:14
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$105	108	0	+108	No	+$3	05-12 21:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$8	05-11 13:09
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	7	$98	93	93	+0	No	+$22	06-22 18:58
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	3	$85	68	66	+2	Yes	+$49	04-07 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$72	52	52	+0	Yes	+$32	05-08 18:25
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$64	200	0	+200	No	-$64	04-07 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$60	64	0	+64	No	+$4	05-06 19:49
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$59	277	277	+0	No	-$41	05-17 18:05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$54	69	29	+40	No	-$25	05-21 20:03
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	2	$53	33	33	+1	Yes	+$13	04-21 16:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-17 18:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	-$50	05-12 21:54
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	2	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	04-08 22:25
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$49	32	32	+0	Yes	+$9	05-15 16:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	05-30 10:22
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	05-06 21:37
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$43	31	31	+0	No	+$3	04-23 04:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-08 18:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	05-13 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-13 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	05-12 12:38
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$35	56	0	+56	Yes	+$21	06-09 08:11
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?	3	$33	18	18	+0	Yes	+$3	06-05 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 10:07:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	111	17¢	$19	0x5f8a79…
06-22 18:58:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xdc457d…
06-18 21:08:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x758d75…
06-17 05:22:34	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x2f8c48…
06-17 05:22:23	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf7de61…
06-17 05:05:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x94037f…
06-17 05:04:50	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa14639…
06-14 06:47:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb083be…
06-14 06:47:03	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4db5fe…
06-14 06:46:46	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4cd38f…
06-14 06:46:24	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaee8a7…
06-13 17:01:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6cc231…
06-13 17:01:40	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x53e697…
06-13 17:01:25	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf5faaf…
06-13 17:01:12	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x004d1b…
06-11 05:57:46	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x2b646a…
06-09 08:12:00	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	37¢	$11	0x867953…
06-09 08:11:31	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x196be2…
06-09 08:10:36	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5527bd…
06-09 08:07:27	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb34c67…
06-08 18:03:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc77a10…
06-08 18:03:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x580e55…
06-05 20:22:19	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x58469a…
06-05 19:18:57	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x3cdf63…
06-05 18:14:39	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x960d4d…
06-05 18:14:03	Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x036fff…
06-03 21:20:33	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5ad3ad…
06-03 21:11:25	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0083b3…
06-01 05:01:15	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x89cc9f…
06-01 04:57:25	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x40dbb8…
06-01 04:55:35	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2281c5…
05-31 16:21:52	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	66	71¢	$47	0x2c9335…
05-30 21:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbd75b2…
05-30 21:09:27	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xa3f8a6…
05-30 19:01:18	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xe3438c…
05-30 18:40:16	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc730e7…
05-30 18:23:56	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x41b9a5…
05-30 18:22:15	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x34c7e1…
05-30 18:09:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb6b2d2…
05-30 17:41:40	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5d8886…
05-30 17:41:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x1319e1…
05-30 17:40:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x65152d…
05-30 10:37:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9600da…
05-30 10:34:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeb6629…
05-30 10:33:04	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7318ee…
05-30 10:32:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc5c9d3…
05-30 10:30:28	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x98eac3…
05-30 10:29:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x9f6b18…
05-30 10:22:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x155fe2…
05-29 12:43:55	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x74820a…
05-27 21:27:35	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4710c5…
05-21 20:03:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x84a270…
05-21 20:02:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	29	50¢	$14	0x5e6ba9…
05-20 21:01:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc10ef9…
05-18 23:26:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x59eebf…
05-17 20:45:31	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc0514c…
05-17 18:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6cdb30…
05-17 18:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x1144f1…
05-17 18:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xdadb1c…
05-17 18:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x3db01e…
05-17 18:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	277	3¢	$9	0x013b2e…
05-16 21:13:21	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbee011…
05-16 21:04:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xbd888b…
05-16 20:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe152b7…
05-16 20:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x688740…
05-16 20:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8c5e95…
05-16 20:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x85c6e0…
05-16 20:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa8ff19…
05-16 20:47:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4056eb…
05-15 16:56:00	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0xf6bcf2…
05-15 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x257b62…
05-14 21:45:56	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x500f74…
05-14 16:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xfaf16a…
05-14 06:07:42	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1a28b2…
05-14 05:15:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x0393cf…
05-14 04:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xc766bb…
05-13 22:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x168373…
05-13 22:12:08	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x17c92a…
05-13 22:04:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x2fb00b…
05-13 22:03:19	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x47df2b…
05-13 21:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	87	86¢	$75	0x37ff9f…
05-13 21:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x83226d…
05-13 21:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x693f11…
05-13 16:28:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8c0647…
05-13 16:28:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb0aa4c…
05-13 08:52:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x863133…
05-13 08:49:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb44ddc…
05-13 08:47:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa2cd35…
05-13 08:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3cc605…
05-13 08:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x582516…
05-13 06:14:42	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xa11258…
05-13 06:08:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	18¢	$50	0x89d34d…
05-13 06:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x4ea851…
05-12 21:57:46	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x11fe2a…
05-12 21:55:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3961ed…
05-12 21:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xefc346…
05-12 21:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd4daa1…
05-12 21:29:44	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x8787eb…
05-12 21:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc8539b…
05-12 15:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x701a29…