Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,255
$6,070 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$16,599
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 12:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+67.3¢
(top1%: 82% YES on $43
vs crowd: 15% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $14 | $25 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $11 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $248 | $39 | +$209 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $35 | $8 | +$28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $25 | $23 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 4 | $26 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Below median | 9 | $134 | — | +$134 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $46 | $50 | $4 |
| unranked | 8 | $20 | $17 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ill-Fated-Sampan 0x12a8…2111 | Yes | +428 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 11:37 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | +270 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 05-14 11:49 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +83 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 11:49 |
| Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | +80 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 03:27 |
| Spiteful-Future 0x3a44…0196 | Yes | +67 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 19:38 |
| Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | +61 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 17:37 |
| Snappy-Interferometer-Mandate 0xbebe…656e | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:05 |
| Foolhardy-Vertigo 0x482d…74a3 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 15:08 |
| Equal-Gopher 0xed79…64b8 | Yes | +56 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 18:37 |
| Male-Titanium 0x911b…2529 | Yes | +55 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 17:12 |
| Treasured-Pearl 0x4fbf…6cf7 | Yes | +45 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 03:33 |
| Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | +31 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 07:51 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Idle-Recognition 0x3599…c6bb | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 04:53 |
| Delicious-Fawn 0xb0e1…0fa0 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 09:47 |
| Outrageous-Belief 0xaef7…0e53 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x10ea…02ed | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:50 |
| Tense-Silicon 0x58a6…70c3 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 02:44 |
| Spry-Bondsman 0x5569…c927 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 01:51 |
| Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 08:31 |
| Beautiful-Tech 0x47ce…bd56 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:07 |
| Adored-Online-Eavesdropper 0x728d…3d1a | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:38 |
| Mad-Halibut 0xf619…8e3e | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:50 |
| Bold-Faucet 0x6bd0…eda6 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:57 |
| Creepy-Orient 0x14dd…c8b0 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:29:08 | Mortified-Hatchling 0xe97f…413a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb55ca1… |
| 05-14 11:49:56 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 17¢ | $23 | 0x707d93… |
| 05-14 11:49:56 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 83 | 17¢ | $14 | 0xc96ece… |
| 05-14 11:44:03 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 17¢ | $23 | 0x524682… |
| 05-14 11:14:51 | Fearless-Pike 0x7fd1…7dbf | Yes | SELL | 40 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x775232… |
| 05-14 11:14:47 | Outrageous-Belief 0xaef7…0e53 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x36d11c… |
| 05-13 22:05:50 | Snappy-Interferometer-Mandate 0xbebe…656e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x4a4897… |
| 05-13 21:38:06 | Adored-Online-Eavesdropper 0x728d…3d1a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x3c7463… |
| 05-13 21:07:49 | Beautiful-Tech 0x47ce…bd56 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb6f106… |
| 05-13 20:18:09 | (anonymous) 0x03a5…1f68 | No | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x9cb544… |
| 05-13 20:18:05 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | SELL | 700 | 85¢ | $595 | 0x0007da… |
| 05-13 20:17:48 | (anonymous) 0x03a5…1f68 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xe6b781… |
| 05-13 20:17:46 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | SELL | 2,000 | 85¢ | $1,700 | 0x7a9187… |
| 05-13 19:59:06 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x3da60d… |
| 05-13 19:38:55 | Spiteful-Future 0x3a44…0196 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xd01d0d… |
| 05-13 08:31:26 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x963689… |
| 05-13 04:53:11 | Idle-Recognition 0x3599…c6bb | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x8812a5… |
| 05-13 04:47:25 | Fumbling-Soot 0x9061…b871 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x03c73e… |
| 05-13 03:33:13 | Treasured-Pearl 0x4fbf…6cf7 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x743834… |
| 05-13 03:27:26 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 14¢ | $11 | 0x9c3bf5… |
| 05-13 02:44:00 | Tense-Silicon 0x58a6…70c3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x3ec6af… |
| 05-13 01:51:16 | Spry-Bondsman 0x5569…c927 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x44266d… |
| 05-13 01:33:06 | Original-Broker 0x36d5…d075 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe07278… |
| 05-13 01:08:47 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xb42140… |
| 05-13 01:08:47 | Jumpy-Mallard 0xfdc7…e49a | Yes | SELL | 260 | 14¢ | $37 | 0xdbb8f2… |
| 05-13 01:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x03a5…1f68 | No | BUY | 17 | 85¢ | $15 | 0x73ef5d… |
| 05-13 01:01:38 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | BUY | 1,742 | 84¢ | $1,463 | 0x0cbe85… |
| 05-13 00:50:59 | Mad-Halibut 0xf619…8e3e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x78be47… |
| 05-13 00:48:43 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xf4d3e0… |
| 05-13 00:48:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 83¢ | $12 | 0xf3e5ec… |
| 05-13 00:48:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 83¢ | $13 | 0x413172… |
| 05-12 20:46:31 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 16¢ | $17 | 0x55d205… |
| 05-12 18:37:16 | Equal-Gopher 0xed79…64b8 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xb6ee39… |
| 05-12 17:37:10 | Whispered-Blessing 0x85eb…d068 | No | BUY | 61 | 82¢ | $50 | 0x84278f… |
| 05-12 17:12:19 | Male-Titanium 0x911b…2529 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x4a2a58… |
| 05-12 15:08:12 | Foolhardy-Vertigo 0x482d…74a3 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xae2b41… |
| 05-12 12:12:51 | Creepy-Orient 0x14dd…c8b0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x943ac4… |
| 05-12 11:37:30 | Ill-Fated-Sampan 0x12a8…2111 | Yes | BUY | 428 | 23¢ | $100 | 0x54279c… |
| 05-12 10:57:43 | Bold-Faucet 0x6bd0…eda6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x74f915… |
| 05-12 09:47:22 | Delicious-Fawn 0xb0e1…0fa0 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x6a1b25… |
| 05-12 07:55:59 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xfa6975… |
| 05-12 07:51:16 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | BUY | 31 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x94b66d… |
| 05-12 04:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x10ea…02ed | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xdff6a5… |