Ill-Fated-Sampan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

178

Trades

430

lifetime

Volume

$6.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-08 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

63% 60% -$116

Sports

31% 54% -$32

Politics

3% 50% +$5

Crypto

2% 39% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5	Under		+4	$2	69¢	$2	$0	11-08 19:00
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 251.5	Under	—	+3	$2	76¢	$2	$0	11-08 19:01
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Under		+2	$2	83¢	$2	$0	11-08 19:02
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 241.5	Under		+2	$2	79¢	$2	$0	11-08 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$220	607	607	+0	No	+$0	05-14 23:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	8	$208	501	501	+0	Yes	+$48	05-11 02:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$195	469	469	+0	No	+$15	05-15 17:13
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 228.5	2	$190	113	113	+0	Under	+$36	11-05 03:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$183	1,056	1,056	+0	No	-$14	05-16 03:05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$163	360	360	+0	No	+$3	05-11 01:26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$156	428	428	+0	No	-$44	05-14 23:58
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$147	181	181	+0	Yes	+$7	05-11 18:15
Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5	2	$141	80	80	+0	Under	+$11	11-03 03:26
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5	4	$137	155	155	+0	Under	-$83	11-05 04:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	2	$131	243	243	+0	No	-$9	05-01 19:30
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	6	$129	70	70	+0	Yes	+$3	05-04 06:21
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5	2	$126	76	76	+0	Under	+$26	11-05 02:58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$120	177	177	+0	No	-$2	05-11 12:50
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5	2	$114	70	70	+0	Over	+$14	11-03 01:34
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	7	$113	143	143	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$8	05-01 16:17
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 243.5	3	$113	122	43	+78	Under	+$23	11-06 02:34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	4	$112	63	63	+0	Yes	+$8	05-02 20:55
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	2	$101	51	51	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$1	05-02 17:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$98	153	153	+0	No	-$2	05-11 13:11
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$96	95	63	+33	Magic	-$43	04-25 19:38
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$93	53	53	+0	Yes	+$3	04-25 18:41
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$89	316	316	+0	No	+$12	05-11 18:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$89	221	221	+0	No	+$49	05-06 21:37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$85	483	483	+0	No	-$70	05-18 22:37
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?	2	$75	54	54	+0	No	-$25	05-02 23:28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	2	$75	138	138	+0	Yes	-$5	05-09 23:40
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5	1	$69	108	0	+108	Under	+$39	11-06 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$64	150	150	+0	No	+$4	05-08 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 19:04:33	Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcea55d…
11-08 19:02:46	Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x57e3d7…
11-08 19:01:25	76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 251.5	Under	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xdb0bd2…
11-08 19:00:10	Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x2a154b…
11-08 03:27:52	Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x530de7…
11-08 03:24:40	Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5	Under	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x088d54…
11-08 02:49:00	Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x1381e1…
11-07 20:31:52	UCF vs. Kansas: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	46	77¢	$35	0xf01075…
11-07 20:30:24	UCF vs. Kansas: O/U 43.5	Over	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x0d68a1…
11-07 20:11:39	UCF vs. Kansas: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x88c72d…
11-07 14:30:00	Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x02f7f5…
11-07 14:27:12	Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xd66727…
11-07 14:17:58	Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xf7dff8…
11-06 12:53:10	Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	108	64¢	$69	0xf62357…
11-06 02:34:22	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x0c6a79…
11-06 02:26:42	Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5	Under	SELL	41	60¢	$25	0xa81863…
11-06 02:15:06	Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0x9accfb…
11-06 02:14:19	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 243.5	Under	SELL	43	66¢	$29	0x07a288…
11-06 00:37:52	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x415838…
11-05 04:39:15	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5	Over	SELL	155	17¢	$27	0xdee566…
11-05 04:05:55	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x961fed…
11-05 04:03:13	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xb09ff0…
11-05 03:43:01	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0xe9fadd…
11-05 03:18:10	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 228.5	Under	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x321bd8…
11-05 03:01:18	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	113	68¢	$77	0x5968d6…
11-05 02:58:19	76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5	Under	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x395cb8…
11-05 02:58:06	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5	Under	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x4a25d4…
11-05 02:10:40	Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 242.5	Under	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x500b46…
11-05 01:41:24	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x44775b…
11-04 03:33:31	76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5	Under	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x80adfe…
11-03 03:58:45	Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 200.5	Under	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9897f5…
11-03 03:26:57	Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5	Under	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x2cbae4…
11-03 02:50:52	Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0xef39c6…
11-03 01:39:52	Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xb438f0…
11-03 01:34:19	Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5	Over	SELL	70	92¢	$64	0x3c79a3…
11-02 21:53:28	Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xa1ea4d…
11-02 01:09:43	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	59	64¢	$38	0x5a9190…
11-02 00:57:42	Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 200.5	Under	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x4bafd9…
11-01 23:06:00	Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 200.5	Under	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0xdf0293…
11-01 23:05:30	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 210.5	Under	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x56c8d1…
11-01 22:39:49	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	25	83¢	$20	0xd2b86e…
11-01 22:37:10	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5	Under	SELL	59	33¢	$20	0xed79dc…
11-01 22:26:52	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5	Under	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xeec6bd…
11-01 18:04:04	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 3q total 54pt5	Over	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x2b2d51…
11-01 18:02:42	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 3q total 54pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x93e539…
10-31 23:28:48	76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5	Under	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x6a1ff9…
10-31 23:15:13	Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 250.5	Under	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xba271d…
10-31 23:15:12	76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 207.5	Under	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x763e2d…
10-31 16:42:13	76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 207.5	Under	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd6474c…
10-31 14:28:45	Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3c6109…
10-31 14:27:24	Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xde9828…
10-31 14:25:57	76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd6eb79…
10-31 14:24:07	Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0ee22b…
10-31 13:50:13	Notre Dame vs. Navy: O/U 61.5	Under	SELL	14	62¢	$8	0xb8783d…
10-31 13:47:54	Notre Dame vs. Navy: O/U 61.5	Under	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe11928…
10-30 03:14:39	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x8f3711…
10-30 01:22:40	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Panthers	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x22783e…
10-30 00:53:51	Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)	Kings	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xb8894e…
10-29 15:04:50	Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)	Kings	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x073252…
10-29 11:58:41	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6bdd75…
10-29 11:55:35	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4db637…
10-29 11:53:35	Spread: Packers (-8.5)	Panthers	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0ac0e6…
10-29 05:01:17	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5	Under	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x81c35f…
10-29 04:06:16	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xa2d258…
10-29 04:00:58	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x64afce…
10-29 03:40:58	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7e562a…
10-29 03:40:08	Commanders vs. Giants	Giants	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xe16710…
10-29 03:20:55	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x156cae…
10-29 03:15:49	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Panthers	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2650c1…
10-29 03:07:22	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2e0833…
10-29 02:25:16	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ee774…
10-29 02:21:05	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb052ad…
10-29 02:06:40	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x506932…
10-29 02:01:37	Spread: Middle Tennessee (-5.5)	Kennesaw State	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa75f9a…
10-29 01:58:31	Spread: Raptors (-25.5)	Raptors	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa65d00…
10-29 01:55:52	Spread: Raptors (-25.5)	Raptors	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x431e05…
10-29 01:40:46	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2ad1f2…
10-29 01:34:38	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x29adb1…
10-29 01:34:29	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb35887…
10-28 18:07:22	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xdf02c6…
10-28 18:06:28	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1a7197…
10-28 18:05:58	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x534970…
10-28 18:05:04	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x861861…
10-27 00:51:18	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x69d5c6…
10-27 00:50:51	Spread: Heat (-5.5)	Heat	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xdc539b…
10-27 00:50:48	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xfb517b…
10-26 16:06:53	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x291f32…
10-26 16:06:51	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x052ea9…
10-26 16:06:48	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa30bc8…
10-26 16:06:45	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe45607…
10-26 16:05:17	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2c66d1…
10-26 16:05:15	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdd4435…
10-26 16:05:12	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x727938…
10-26 16:01:09	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x879060…
10-26 16:00:29	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x94ac37…
10-26 15:57:48	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6e03c1…
10-26 15:56:05	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x458568…
10-26 15:54:44	Spread: Heat (-5.5)	Heat	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xed7fdd…
10-26 15:53:09	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x726647…
10-26 15:51:26	Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)	Warriors	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0e9b09…