Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423c5…15fe57
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$587
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
2,997
Trades
36,731
lifetime
Volume
$964.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$10.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 10-27 08:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
94% 54% +$8,965
Politics
3% 32% +$132
Sports
2% 51% +$68
Crypto
1% 70% +$179
Tech
0% 54% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +3,529 $2,014 84¢ $3.0K +$964 10-27 05:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,905 $1,155 92¢ $1.8K +$607 10-14 12:44
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $1,066 64¢ $1.2K +$143 10-20 15:08
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +662 $551 98¢ $651 +$100 10-09 23:35
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $546 32¢ $612 +$66 10-20 15:08
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +3,529 $1,420 16¢ $552 -$868 10-27 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +561 $348 67¢ $376 +$28 10-27 11:04
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +436 $226 67¢ $294 +$67 06-27 16:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $224 100¢ $225 +$1 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $224 100¢ $224 +$0 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $160 92¢ $208 +$48 10-15 12:30
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $169 98¢ $196 +$27 10-10 23:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +561 $178 32¢ $178 +$1 10-27 11:04
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +175 $145 99¢ $173 +$28 10-12 11:42
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +200 $58 84¢ $169 +$111 10-19 07:33
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $149 98¢ $155 +$6 10-16 03:57
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $139 97¢ $153 +$14 10-16 03:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,905 $474 8¢ $143 -$331 10-14 12:44
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $140 80¢ $125 -$15 10-16 03:57
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +436 $141 21¢ $90 -$51 06-27 16:42
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 10-25 15:00
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $48 26¢ $42 -$6 10-16 03:57
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $88 2¢ $37 -$51 10-20 15:08
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +70 $24 52¢ $36 +$12 09-14 01:15
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +200 $151 16¢ $31 -$119 10-19 07:33
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $134 2¢ $29 -$104 10-20 15:08
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +70 $37 39¢ $27 -$10 09-14 01:13
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +150 $52 18¢ $27 -$25 09-27 15:02
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +436 $17 4¢ $18 +$1 07-23 14:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $74 8¢ $17 -$57 10-15 12:30