Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423c5…15fe57
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$448
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
3,011
Trades
36,833
lifetime
Volume
$967.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$10.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 10-27 23:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
94% 53% +$9,010
Politics
3% 32% +$132
Sports
2% 51% +$68
Crypto
1% 69% +$186
Tech
0% 54% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +3,529 $2,014 85¢ $3.0K +$978 10-27 05:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,905 $1,155 96¢ $1.8K +$674 10-14 12:44
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $1,066 64¢ $1.2K +$140 10-20 15:08
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +662 $551 99¢ $654 +$103 10-09 23:35
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $546 32¢ $602 +$56 10-20 15:08
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +3,529 $1,420 15¢ $535 -$886 10-27 05:37
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +436 $226 66¢ $287 +$61 06-27 16:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $224 100¢ $225 +$1 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $224 100¢ $224 $0 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $160 96¢ $216 +$56 10-15 12:30
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $169 98¢ $197 +$28 10-10 23:14
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +175 $145 99¢ $173 +$28 10-12 11:42
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +200 $58 85¢ $170 +$112 10-19 07:33
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $149 99¢ $156 +$7 10-16 03:57
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $139 97¢ $153 +$14 10-16 03:57
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $140 80¢ $125 -$15 10-16 03:57
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +436 $141 21¢ $90 -$51 06-27 16:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,905 $474 4¢ $76 -$398 10-14 12:44
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $88 3¢ $59 -$29 10-20 15:08
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 10-25 15:00
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +70 $24 60¢ $42 +$17 09-14 01:15
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +158 $48 26¢ $40 -$7 10-16 03:57
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +200 $151 15¢ $30 -$120 10-19 07:33
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,893 $134 2¢ $29 -$104 10-20 15:08
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +70 $37 37¢ $26 -$11 09-14 01:13
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +150 $52 16¢ $25 -$27 09-27 15:02
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +436 $17 3¢ $15 -$2 07-23 14:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +225 $74 4¢ $9 -$64 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,924 $19 0¢ $9 -$10 10-14 12:44
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +662 $107 1¢ $8 -$100 10-09 23:35