Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$6,414
$853 in 24h
Trades
75
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$15,724
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-17 02:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $8 | $78 | $70 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $5.8K | $5.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $19 | $280 | $261 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $322 | $322 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $242 | $242 |
| Median | 9 | $14 | $302 | $288 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $26 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $8 | $6 | +$2 |
| unranked | 5 | — | $5.2K | $5.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mad-Glen 0xb42b…afe0 | No | +5,012 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 05-16 23:31 |
| Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1 | No | +264 | $263 | $263 | 1 | 05-17 00:34 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +240 | $239 | $239 | 1 | 05-16 10:06 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +227 | $222 | $222 | 2 | 05-17 02:23 |
| Glum-Curtailment 0x45e2…3eec | No | +140 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 05-17 00:23 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +66 | $64 | $64 | 8 | 05-17 00:57 |
| Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-14 17:44 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +37 | $9 | $9 | 9 | 05-14 19:37 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 19:37 |
| Decisive-Casement-Junket 0x4d57…9b92 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-16 02:36 |
| Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-16 01:30 |
| Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-16 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-14 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3748…48d0 | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:37 |
| Sympathetic-License 0x28b0…7732 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 23:40 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-15 13:36 |
| Few-Dandelion 0xd78f…cf9b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-17 00:57 |
| Guilty-Addiction 0xb912…7e38 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 20:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-12 05:25 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 11:00 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 05:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 02:23:43 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 192 | 100¢ | $192 | 0xe9a30d… |
| 05-17 00:57:58 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xeb6d11… |
| 05-17 00:57:56 | Few-Dandelion 0xd78f…cf9b | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x1a2879… |
| 05-17 00:34:47 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3459c1… |
| 05-17 00:34:47 | Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1 | No | BUY | 264 | 100¢ | $263 | 0x746541… |
| 05-17 00:23:40 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0f90a8… |
| 05-17 00:23:40 | Glum-Curtailment 0x45e2…3eec | No | BUY | 140 | 100¢ | $140 | 0x364a62… |
| 05-16 23:40:28 | Sympathetic-License 0x28b0…7732 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x6b464c… |
| 05-16 23:31:45 | Mad-Glen 0xb42b…afe0 | No | BUY | 5,012 | 100¢ | $5,000 | 0x1bd724… |
| 05-16 23:17:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6664d5… |
| 05-16 22:45:29 | Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x99df3f… |
| 05-16 22:39:27 | Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa526da… |
| 05-16 21:37:28 | Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xcbd492… |
| 05-16 19:47:05 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xfa98f2… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x5a19a4… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xe5c5cc… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x2344d7… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xf1b654… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x96db01… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xf2abc6… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x8f19fb… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x2013d8… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x50e1a3… |
| 05-16 11:00:51 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbbfb82… |
| 05-16 10:06:33 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 240 | 100¢ | $239 | 0x29ac5d… |
| 05-16 06:49:54 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x4a675c… |
| 05-16 02:36:02 | Decisive-Casement-Junket 0x4d57…9b92 | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xdd91c6… |
| 05-16 01:30:46 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x8be786… |
| 05-16 00:00:42 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x0b66ba… |
| 05-15 21:03:37 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x1cec14… |
| 05-15 19:19:58 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x765d1f… |
| 05-15 18:52:21 | Guilty-Addiction 0xb912…7e38 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x1b7565… |
| 05-15 16:56:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x15d1d5… |
| 05-15 13:53:09 | Obedient-Fragrance 0x24ea…8665 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x923b04… |
| 05-15 13:36:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5f0e5f… |
| 05-15 13:34:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe13e5d… |
| 05-15 13:32:00 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf3d399… |
| 05-15 13:32:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xac4468… |
| 05-15 12:51:40 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x62eb1e… |
| 05-15 12:42:17 | Dense-Span 0x9eba…ef97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x39a9c4… |
| 05-15 12:42:10 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0x7e9b3b… |
| 05-15 12:42:08 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x944103… |
| 05-15 05:24:29 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xf24fae… |
| 05-14 19:42:10 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xd7ff34… |
| 05-14 19:41:56 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x3fb53d… |
| 05-14 19:37:44 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xc8e1bd… |
| 05-14 19:37:34 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x8d2128… |
| 05-14 19:37:16 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xad72bd… |
| 05-14 19:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x3748…48d0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x1980af… |
| 05-14 19:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xafc364… |
| 05-14 19:37:11 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x8da890… |
| 05-14 17:44:41 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | BUY | 60 | 69¢ | $41 | 0xf5abe5… |
| 05-14 17:04:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xad552b… |
| 05-14 16:09:19 | Querulous-Dogsled 0x4d75…b263 | No | SELL | 12 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xb9be30… |
| 05-12 21:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | No | SELL | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0xd385a4… |
| 05-12 05:26:01 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xf30924… |
| 05-12 05:25:59 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x9c3abb… |
| 05-12 05:25:59 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xd5e782… |
| 05-12 05:25:59 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2188f3… |
| 05-12 05:25:57 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xde08ad… |
| 05-12 05:25:57 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x2dafff… |
| 05-12 05:25:57 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xa42812… |
| 05-12 05:25:57 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x06e084… |
| 05-12 05:25:57 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xecedca… |
| 05-12 05:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x7b4382… |
| 05-12 05:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x85166c… |
| 05-12 05:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x482ccd… |
| 05-12 05:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x57ee76… |
| 05-12 05:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x6b6227… |
| 05-12 05:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xfdbead… |
| 05-12 05:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x9068e6… |
| 05-12 01:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x2d913c… |
| 05-11 20:27:51 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xa2d985… |
| 05-11 20:27:50 | (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x928a77… |
| 05-11 14:17:40 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xc7efaf… |