Dense-Span — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

269

Trades

498

lifetime

Volume

$630

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-31 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

75% 80% +$35

Politics

15% 0% -$2

Crypto

10% 84% +$38

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	2	$98	0	200	-200	Yes	-$2	05-30 22:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	6	$68	80	81	-1	No	-$1	05-15 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?	3	$54	0	54	-54	Yes	$0	05-16 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$50	75	75	+0	Up	+$40	05-31 21:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	7	$41	80	81	-1	No	-$1	05-15 04:49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$33	0	33	-33	Yes	$0	05-15 23:37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	6	$32	80	81	-1	Yes	-$2	05-15 04:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$26	100	0	+100	Yes	+$74	05-30 17:12
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	3	$21	28	48	-20	Yes	-$8	05-15 23:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	1	$20	0	20	-20	Yes	$0	05-15 18:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	8	$19	28	29	-1	No	-$1	05-15 07:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	8	$19	28	29	-1	Yes	-$1	05-15 07:26
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?	1	$11	0	12	-12	Yes	-$1	05-15 17:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$10	62	62	+0	No	-$10	05-30 18:41
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	3	$7	0	8	-8	Yes	-$1	05-16 04:13
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?	1	$7	22	0	+22	No	-$7	05-17 13:21
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?	1	$7	20	0	+20	Yes	+$13	05-17 13:21
Will SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	1	$6	0	20	-20	Yes	-$14	05-17 13:21
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	-$6	05-16 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Up	-$5	05-31 21:34
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?	1	$5	0	5	-5	Yes	$0	05-16 17:24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	3	$4	46	47	-1	No	+$0	05-15 04:46
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17?	2	$4	20	28	-8	No	-$1	05-15 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on May 16?	8	$4	0	8	-8	No	+$4	05-14 07:41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$3	0	8	-8	No	+$3	05-15 19:27
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-05-17?	1	$3	0	3	-3	Yes	$0	05-17 13:22
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	1	$3	0	5	-5	Yes	-$2	05-15 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 16?	8	$3	0	8	-8	No	+$3	05-14 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 16?	3	$2	0	10	-10	Yes	-$8	05-15 15:18
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	05-16 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	75	61¢	$45	0x2746fa…
05-31 21:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x1e37e9…
05-31 21:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x13e98e…
05-30 22:53:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x3d1605…
05-30 22:53:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x951d43…
05-30 18:41:38	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x048e81…
05-30 17:12:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x11d8c8…
05-30 17:05:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf23b11…
05-17 13:22:32	Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x55a76f…
05-17 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xcc814c…
05-17 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xaef5c9…
05-17 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa4bd89…
05-17 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x922ddf…
05-17 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x1756a6…
05-17 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x0e15e6…
05-17 13:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xed92b7…
05-17 13:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xe862ed…
05-17 13:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x90606b…
05-17 13:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x8f2eae…
05-17 13:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x6c1549…
05-17 13:21:13	Will SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xfa7f04…
05-17 13:21:08	Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xfd286a…
05-17 13:21:08	Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xe87031…
05-16 17:24:01	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcdbfab…
05-16 16:26:33	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6a6cac…
05-16 16:26:33	Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6734ba…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xddbfab…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xdd743a…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xdbc717…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xce8ff9…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xae5fc2…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xa01d85…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7a451f…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x74370c…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x694f34…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x35b484…
05-16 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x1992f4…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xf14539…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x862f5c…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x6f715f…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x5df46b…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x563d0e…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x35e87a…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x2b481f…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x204c6b…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x16ee44…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x118ece…
05-16 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x00ba5a…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xeb4b89…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd84426…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xce355b…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xbf32d2…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xbe8243…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb82cc7…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8aa09f…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x86bec7…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x7443d0…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x653336…
05-16 05:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1cd119…
05-16 04:13:55	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfb9516…
05-16 04:13:55	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd6382e…
05-16 04:13:55	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x632a7a…
05-16 04:13:55	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4d5eb2…
05-16 04:12:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xdc9c98…
05-16 04:12:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xaadb22…
05-16 04:12:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x53155b…
05-16 04:12:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4c371c…
05-16 04:11:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xe9da24…
05-16 04:11:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9b5318…
05-16 04:11:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x8d0418…
05-16 04:11:56	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7ca01e…
05-15 23:37:39	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf09868…
05-15 23:37:27	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xe6d54c…
05-15 19:27:10	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x75c92c…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf5e0b0…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf39892…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf288a7…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xec2d33…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe18594…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb45b3d…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x92a152…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x59b688…
05-15 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3255b0…
05-15 17:34:25	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0x9ebbd9…
05-15 17:34:25	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x356d2f…
05-15 17:30:42	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd72ea0…
05-15 17:30:42	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x536044…
05-15 17:24:12	Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xfcde70…
05-15 17:24:12	Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x5b9d66…
05-15 17:24:12	Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x161233…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe845dd…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd8a6dd…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xd1b471…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xc26945…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc1860f…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xbb192f…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb4334a…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xaf8ea7…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x786276…
05-15 15:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x2a03f1…