Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$1,187
Trades
24
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$973
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 10:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $956 | $956 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $3 | $208 | $206 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $300 | $300 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $850 | $849 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| unranked | 3 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vast-Moth 0x79e7…9c9d | No | +510 | $509 | $509 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | +300 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | No | +191 | $191 | $191 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Delectable-Firewall 0x38d7…a061 | No | +137 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | +66 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:46 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +66 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca3…8109 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:10 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-16 02:24 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 08:19 |
| Clueless-Vest 0x44ec…082c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 07:49 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 22:23 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 00:31 |
| Serpentine-Spyglass 0x036e…7a8c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 10:05:30 | Which-Morbidity 0x7c35…b650 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc56ab5… |
| 05-16 10:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xc17c…cc2b | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8cb6e5… |
| 05-16 10:05:30 | Which-Morbidity 0x7c35…b650 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x609c9c… |
| 05-16 10:05:30 | Which-Morbidity 0x7c35…b650 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc50add… |
| 05-16 10:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xc17c…cc2b | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x721961… |
| 05-16 10:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xc17c…cc2b | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe34285… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | No | BUY | 191 | 100¢ | $191 | 0x60f86b… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Vast-Moth 0x79e7…9c9d | No | BUY | 510 | 100¢ | $509 | 0x194ef6… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xdb243a… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Delectable-Firewall 0x38d7…a061 | No | BUY | 137 | 100¢ | $137 | 0x1ae30b… |
| 05-16 02:24:08 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x78b6ca… |
| 05-16 00:31:02 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x81fb56… |
| 05-15 23:24:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa012d3… |
| 05-15 15:16:17 | Dense-Span 0x9eba…ef97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa9d1b… |
| 05-15 10:40:39 | Impeccable-Circadian 0x8984…da38 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x526ac6… |
| 05-15 09:46:35 | Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd59814… |
| 05-15 08:19:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xebe55d… |
| 05-15 07:49:49 | Clueless-Vest 0x44ec…082c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x113a33… |
| 05-15 06:19:23 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe0f2e9… |
| 05-15 03:50:31 | Serpentine-Spyglass 0x036e…7a8c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x469d52… |
| 05-15 03:20:28 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0e0da0… |
| 05-14 22:23:47 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x40d9d3… |
| 05-14 16:36:37 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8199d4… |
| 05-14 12:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x0ca3…8109 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfe38fa… |