Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$2,438
$12 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$893
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 10:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $4 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $88 | $88 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $958 | $958 |
| Median | 9 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $30 | $26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $9 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | No | +1,100 | $1,099 | $1,099 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | +900 | $899 | $899 | 3 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | +108 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +81 | $77 | $77 | 3 | 05-15 15:36 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-16 09:51 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 05-14 22:24 |
| Close-Sewer 0x7072…75dc | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-16 09:51 |
| Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:29 |
| Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 09:01 |
| Unruly-Heaven 0x19c6…e66c | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 23:49 |
| Likable-Reform 0xfa0f…835e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 11:12 |
| Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 22:48 |
| Better-Present 0x1948…ff2f | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:24 |
| Blissful-Runaway 0x61ca…a1b4 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 17:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 08:19 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 00:31 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Monthly-Polo 0x01d4…d272 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e0…2668 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 16:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 10:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xc17c…cc2b | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x5f8f45… |
| 05-16 10:05:30 | Which-Morbidity 0x7c35…b650 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x148303… |
| 05-16 10:05:30 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9cca5a… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xc1770b… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Monthly-Polo 0x01d4…d272 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6ff423… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x97f935… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Flamboyant-Afterlife 0xb162…9da7 | No | BUY | 1,100 | 100¢ | $1,099 | 0x0ec104… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x119587… |
| 05-16 10:05:26 | Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $108 | 0xca3f64… |
| 05-16 09:51:24 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 59 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x96b269… |
| 05-16 09:51:19 | Close-Sewer 0x7072…75dc | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xe4ea12… |
| 05-16 09:01:14 | Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xc27cd6… |
| 05-16 00:31:02 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x86db7c… |
| 05-15 23:49:00 | Unruly-Heaven 0x19c6…e66c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfeb411… |
| 05-15 23:24:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7f2052… |
| 05-15 22:48:58 | Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf25634… |
| 05-15 17:54:51 | Blissful-Runaway 0x61ca…a1b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x2284a6… |
| 05-15 16:01:17 | (anonymous) 0xc6e0…2668 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x52b888… |
| 05-15 15:36:21 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xf09b70… |
| 05-15 15:16:17 | Dense-Span 0x9eba…ef97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x557fa6… |
| 05-15 11:12:20 | Likable-Reform 0xfa0f…835e | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x48cf04… |
| 05-15 08:19:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xdcbceb… |
| 05-15 01:25:14 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xcd94ba… |
| 05-14 22:24:50 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x3d01ac… |
| 05-14 22:19:49 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x27dd04… |
| 05-14 22:04:51 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x055011… |
| 05-14 17:19:22 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x22d330… |
| 05-14 16:36:37 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x003e72… |
| 05-14 13:24:28 | Better-Present 0x1948…ff2f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x84784e… |
| 05-14 11:29:22 | Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3a7921… |
| 05-14 06:05:57 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x7e36c8… |