Monstrous-Divan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

4,813

Trades

9,900

lifetime

Volume

$328.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-25 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

94% 93% +$2,175

Politics

2% 99% -$95

Crypto

2% 100% +$2,459

Sports

2% 100% +$66

Tech

0% 91% +$16

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$5.9K	4,252	4,252	+0	No	+$2,366	06-01 17:01
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?	5	$4.5K	4,559	0	+4,559	Yes	+$18	07-24 23:32
Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 4?	8	$4.0K	4,084	0	+4,084	Yes	+$87	09-05 16:52
Will Gabriel Magalhães be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?	2	$3.4K	3,467	0	+3,467	Yes	+$51	08-25 19:16
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	4	$1.6K	5,084	3,945	+1,140	No	-$156	09-09 12:16
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	4	$1.5K	1,522	0	+1,522	Yes	+$4	08-04 17:10
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	2	$1.3K	1,093	1,093	+0	Yes	+$655	08-04 17:08
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,209	0	+1,209	Yes	+$3	08-31 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	38	$1.2K	629	629	+0	Yes	+$79	05-20 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 24?	8	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$1	05-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?	7	$1.1K	548	548	+0	No	+$43	05-19 21:53
will the end of oak street score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$947	950	0	+950	Yes	+$3	08-18 21:38
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	1	$905	908	0	+908	Yes	+$3	08-04 20:27
Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	1	$750	752	0	+752	No	+$2	09-09 01:30
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	2	$709	710	0	+710	No	+$1	09-09 08:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 28?	8	$705	354	354	+0	No	+$2	05-28 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?	6	$702	355	355	+0	No	+$6	06-07 06:53
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	23	$670	674	0	+674	Yes	+$4	07-18 18:47
Will Akira advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?	2	$666	668	0	+668	No	+$2	09-09 08:31
will ai be said 50 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505800	2	$634	642	0	+642	Yes	+$8	08-10 21:15
Will Olivia McMillan / Chloe Igleski advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	2	$622	1,136	0	+1,136	Yes	+$514	09-15 21:19
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Los Angeles FC (LAFC) next?	2	$607	609	0	+609	No	+$1	08-31 14:21
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$600	601	0	+601	No	+$1	08-27 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?	8	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	06-05 05:28
which cities face tornado risk on august 22 2026 tampa fl	1	$598	600	0	+600	No	+$2	08-23 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?	4	$597	300	300	+0	No	+$2	06-05 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	8	$592	330	330	+0	No	+$57	05-29 09:11
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	1	$582	583	0	+583	No	+$1	08-14 16:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	3	$579	291	291	+0	No	+$2	06-03 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	4	$576	290	290	+0	No	+$3	06-03 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 07:59:38	Will O'Higgins keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chile Primera?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x51c487…
10-25 07:58:02	Will GV San José keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xdbdd6e…
10-25 00:41:21	Will Internacional keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Brazil Série A?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x103623…
10-24 23:03:54	Will Santiago Wanderers win the 2026 Primera B (Chile)?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x2fdd3a…
10-24 14:02:44	Will Tartu JK Tammeka be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?	No	BUY	94	97¢	$92	0x5a1dd0…
10-24 07:24:27	Will FC Seoul win K-League?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8c8160…
10-24 07:16:50	Will Ulsan HD win K-League?	No	BUY	499	100¢	$497	0x879dd6…
10-23 23:47:30	Will St Patrick's Athletic keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6d9b2f…
10-23 23:43:18	MODUS Super Series: Tommy Lishman vs Graham Usher	Graham Usher	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd1c1fb…
10-23 23:30:45	Will St Patrick's Athletic keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?	Yes	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0xab56ab…
10-23 23:27:14	MODUS Super Series: Nathan Potter vs Jack Aldridge	Jack Aldridge	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c5a51…
10-23 23:14:41	MODUS Super Series: Graham Hall vs Tommy Lishman	Tommy Lishman	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf178a0…
10-23 21:42:33	Will Shamrock Rovers win the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaa2596…
10-23 21:02:56	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc825bc…
10-23 21:02:44	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4a0e40…
10-23 21:02:35	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaed50a…
10-23 21:01:38	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x796352…
10-23 21:01:14	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xfbc03f…
10-23 21:01:03	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xac00fa…
10-23 21:00:26	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x79827c…
10-23 21:00:24	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x197973…
10-23 19:09:02	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xcfb675…
10-23 14:43:03	MODUS Super Series: Grant Sampson vs Stuart Dutton	Stuart Dutton	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x603362…
10-21 22:34:12	Will Tesla say "Street Legal" during earnings call?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc405f6…
10-21 22:34:08	Will Tesla say "Street Legal" during earnings call?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x7c9520…
10-21 22:33:56	Will Tesla say "James Bond" during earnings call?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x241380…
10-21 22:31:48	Will Tesla say "Roadster" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x18638e…
10-21 22:31:36	Will Tesla say "Gigafactory" during earnings call?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0xd5a42f…
10-21 20:32:27	Will Meta say "SI" / "Super Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x13fae6…
10-21 20:10:53	Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x559241…
10-21 20:10:36	Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x891938…
10-21 10:54:02	MODUS Super Series: Ricardo Ulrich vs Graham Usher	Ricardo Ulrich	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x47e993…
10-21 10:40:00	MODUS Super Series: Jack Aldridge vs Grant Sampson	Jack Aldridge	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x983a55…
10-21 10:10:45	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%?	Yes	BUY	383	91¢	$349	0x6bef73…
10-20 21:23:59	Will Netflix say "Paramount" during earnings call?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x601cd8…
10-20 21:23:50	Will Netflix say "Gaming" during earnings call?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$86	0x900c24…
10-20 21:23:41	Will Netflix say "Rockstar" during earnings call?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xd625c7…
10-20 21:23:32	Will Netflix say "GTA" / "Grand Theft Auto" during earnings call?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x5ea3e4…
10-20 20:52:24	Will Netflix say "World Cup" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa3083f…
10-20 17:30:03	Will there be 10 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfd4141…
10-20 16:01:21	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 16 and 19 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd1cae7…
10-20 13:17:38	Will FK Auda finish 3rd in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x90a0bb…
10-20 13:14:33	Will FK Auda finish 3rd in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Yes	BUY	184	99¢	$182	0x90dcd1…
10-20 13:04:14	Will there be 15 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x898940…
10-20 13:04:00	Will there be 20 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x0ff9d9…
10-20 12:45:53	Will General Motors say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcef794…
10-20 11:26:06	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe01765…
10-20 11:26:06	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa9315e…
10-20 11:26:06	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1fae56…
10-20 11:19:29	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x098432…
10-19 23:04:00	Will there be 25 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x75f106…
10-19 23:03:53	Will there be 5 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xa6553a…
10-19 18:26:08	Will there be 30 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x8f8ad9…
10-19 18:25:35	Will there be 30 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x88e38d…
10-19 18:25:18	Will there be 35 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xd7bd79…
10-19 13:11:03	Will there be 40 or more tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$93	0xe4f5f1…
10-19 13:10:03	Will there be fewer than 5 tech pauses in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x827985…
10-18 02:46:24	Will "Prize" be in the headlines this week?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbbed38…
10-18 02:46:24	Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x025a3e…
10-17 20:53:24	Will Jinggg have the most kills for Paper Rex at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xfa6d16…
10-17 20:53:24	Will invy have the most kills for Paper Rex at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe4e5ae…
10-17 20:47:48	Will brawk have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x779278…
10-17 20:47:48	Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f9655…
10-17 19:54:45	modus davies morris 2026 10 17 75621008	Tommy Morris	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x758276…
10-17 16:16:57	Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next video?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x3192c7…
10-17 16:16:11	Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next video?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x77259d…
10-17 16:01:53	Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x9d6fda…
10-17 16:01:48	Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribes" during his next video?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xb602be…
10-17 16:01:48	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next video?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x7f2b54…
10-17 16:01:48	Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next video?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x6cb4bb…
10-17 16:01:48	Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2566a7…
10-17 16:01:48	Will MrBeast say "Africa" during his next video?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1efac5…
10-17 16:01:48	Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x1ec196…
10-17 16:01:20	Will no video be posted?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x64490b…
10-17 02:27:53	Will "Climate" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xfe53cc…
10-17 02:27:45	Will "Climate" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xa4a648…
10-16 02:43:18	Will "Oil" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59c60c…
10-16 02:43:18	Will "Brazil" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2c6b3a…
10-16 02:43:15	Will "Life" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0xcd9415…
10-16 02:43:13	Will "Oil" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xeb578e…
10-16 02:43:13	Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	157	96¢	$151	0x2a27bd…
10-16 02:43:13	Will "Brazil" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x04cf67…
10-15 19:04:58	Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4456b…
10-15 12:49:25	Will Rarga have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x570904…
10-15 12:49:08	Will Lysoar have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3f7733…
10-15 12:17:46	Will happywei have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfbaea5…
10-15 12:14:44	Will NoMan have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29430f…
10-15 07:14:52	will tsmc say memory during earnings call october 15	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb001a5…
10-15 06:33:05	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?	Yes	BUY	364	99¢	$360	0x78f88e…
10-15 06:20:14	will tsmc say taiwan 3 times during earnings call october 15	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9424b1…
10-15 06:09:58	will tsmc say agentic during earnings call october 15	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x90283a…
10-15 06:03:41	will tsmc say nanometer during earnings call october 15	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd595e5…
10-15 02:36:26	Will "Iran" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa09d1d…
10-14 21:32:48	will trump say hell 14 times during his midterm rally in arizona	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7b03f6…
10-14 01:31:04	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$563	0x34fd56…
10-14 01:30:43	Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x6bf4b0…
10-13 02:05:53	Will "Midterm" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xebd38c…
10-13 02:05:50	Will "Execution" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdc1965…
10-13 02:05:50	Will "Midterm" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xb2d42b…
10-13 02:05:29	Will "Execution" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	251	83¢	$209	0xe5dd7a…